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In episode 735, join Rob Walling for a solo adventure where he categorizes the different levels of SaaS platform risk. He introduces a framework with three key factors: Replacement, Customer Concentration, and Lead Flow. Rob then defines eight levels of risk according to these factors and other vulnerabilities such as relying on open source – a hot topic with recent news about WordPress, WP Engine, and Automattic.
Episode Sponsor:
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Hiring senior developers can really move the needle in your business, but if you bring on the wrong person, you can quickly burn through your runway. If you need help finding a vetted, senior, results-oriented developer, you should reach out to today’s sponsor, Lemon.io.
For years, they’ve been helping our audience find high quality, global talent at competitive rates, and they can help you too.
Longtime listener Chaz Yoon, hired a senior developer from Lemon.io and said his hire ”definitely knew his stuff, provided appropriate feedback and pushback, and had great communication, including very fluent English. He really exceeded my expectations.”
Chaz said he’d definitely use Lemon.io again when he’s looking for a senior level engineer.
To learn more and get a 15% discount on your first four weeks of working with a developer at lemon.io/startups.
Topics we cover:
- 2:32 – Are replacements available for this platform?
- 4:56 – How concentrated are your customers on this platform?
- 5:31 – What is your lead or customer flow?
- 8:54 – Level 1: almost no platform risk
- 10:04 – Level 2: reliant on a commoditized platform
- 11:49 – Level 3: using large cloud providers like AWS
- 15:33 – Level 4: deeply tied to open source software like WordPress
- 18:11 – Level 5: high switching costs, but replacements exist like in no-code
- 20:00 – Level 6: 100% lead flow risk
- 21:44 – Level 7: a friendly app ecosystem
- 23:24 – Level 8: aggressive platforms, few replacements, customer concentration
Links from the Show:
- Get Tickets for MicroConf US 2025, New Orleans
- TinySeed
- Rob Walling (@robwalling) | X
- Ask a Question on SFTROU
- How to find and validate business ideas from 75+ SaaS Marketplaces
If you have questions about starting or scaling a software business that you’d like for us to cover, please submit your question for an upcoming episode. We’d love to hear from you!
Subscribe & Review: iTunes | Spotify
Welcome back to another episode of Startups For, the Rest, Of Us. I’m your host, Rob Walling. In this episode, I’m going to talk about the eight levels of platform risk as well as the three factors that contribute to platform risk. And I’m not just going to talk about the traditional, I have a Shopify app, or heaven forbid, your WordPress web host this week, but I’m going to look at platform risk from a sense of any type of reliance on an external platform. So if you use SendGrid to send email, how does that factor in? If you use AWS for your hosting or you use an open source package like WordPress, and honestly, this is a framework I came up with a few months ago and I jotted it down in a Trello board. I keep for a podcast episode topics, and I was just going to pull it out at some point, probably put it in a book, I’m sure talk about it on the podcast.
And then the WordPress WP Engine kerfuffle flared up by now, that’s a couple weeks old, but it did remind me that I had this and had never really done a full refinement on it. And so this podcast episode is a way for me to kind of bring that out and talk through my thoughts of platform risk as I see it, especially it’s probably any startup, but realistically, there’s a little bit of a B2B SaaS bent to it, right? Because that’s the 191 investments I’ve made. And so I’ve seen different forms of platform risk blindside companies in different ways, and that is the basis for today’s episode. Before I dive into that, tickets for MicroConf New Orleans are on sale. You can go to MicroConf dot com slash us if you’d like to grab your ticket. The event is being held next March of 2025. Speakers are yet to be announced, and of course, I will be there in New Orleans. And if you want to get together with about 250 of your favorite bootstrapped founder friends, head to MicroConf dot com slash us. The tickets right now are the least expensive they will ever be, and they will go up in price, I don’t know, in a few weeks or a month or whatever. In addition, we are going to sell out. We sold out our Europe event, I believe we sold out at Atlanta last April. So if you want to get a ticket, there is no reason to wait. microcomp.com/us.
Let’s dive into platform risk. So I’m going to start with these three factors that contribute or define platform risk. And each of these you might think of on a scale, whether it’s one to 10 or one to a hundred, there can be a small amount of risk for a specific factor or a large amount. So the first one I think of is a replacement. So if you are on a platform, whether that is using SendGrid to send email, whether it is hosting on AWS, whether you built a no-code app in Airtable or Bubble, whether you are a Heroku app or Shopify app, is a replacement available for this platform? And how hard is it to switch? And is the pricing approximately the same? So there are more questions than that, but those are kind of the high level, so it’s replacement. So we might think of, well, what is an easy replacement where it’s available?
It’s not that hard to switch and it’s a commodity, so the pricing is the same. Well, that is something like I would say SendGrid postmark, mandrel mail gun. The switching cost is real. It is a thing, but it’s connecting to a new PI. And it depends on how deeply you’re integrated, obviously, but that switching cost is not catastrophic. And pricing in that space of sending email or even SMS, I think of Twilio and the cajillion, SMS APIs out there are a lot of replacements available, so that’s going to be a much easier spot. But what if you are built on Shopify’s API and you’re in the Shopify app store? Is a replacement available? How hard is it to switch? And is it priced the same? Well, the pricing doesn’t necessarily make sense in that context, but is a replacement available? How hard is it to switch?
It’s kind of like, no, there really isn’t a replacement. And switching is basically impossible, right? Because if you were just a Shopify app and you’re like, well, they kicked me out of the app store, or they took my API access away, it’s like, well, we can go build a BigCommerce, a Magento, a WooCommerce version, but it’s not the same. It’s not a replacement, and that’s not really switching costs, that’s just building spinning up a whole new product. So the hard to switch is just astronomical. So when we think about replacement from one to 10 or one to a hundred, that takes you from easy to hard, at least in my mind. So the first factor was replacement, second one is customer concentration. And the question here is, are the majority of your customers on this platform, meaning that if you were kicked out or the API access were shut off, or somehow the platform suddenly said, you’re on Twitter’s API, and they say, we need you to pay us $12,000 a month.
Now to maintain it are 80%, 90%, even 70, 60% of your customers on this platform in a way that essentially will decimate a huge amount of your revenue. Now, what’s interesting is this is separate from the third factor, which is I’m saying lead flow or customer flow. That’s on an ongoing basis receiving new customers, say from an app store listing or a marketplace listing. And that’s different, it’s related, but it’s different than customer concentration because in theory, I could go build a Twitter client, I could be getting zero lead flow from Twitter, but a hundred percent of my customers could be concentrated on Twitter or on Facebook’s API. Again, if I’m an app that postponed, for example, that helps you post to Reddit, Instagram, Facebook, Twitter, and all those Grant, he’s a TinySeed founder, started Postpone and it was just for Reddit. And so when we funded him, we said, your customer concentration is basically a hundred percent Reddit.
We think you should diversify into other platforms. And he was already on board with that. So now he has a little more diversity across the different platforms. Now, great example with Postpone. Does postpone receive any lead flow from being in a Reddit app marketplace? No. So you can have concentration and you can have the risk of that concentration without the lead flow, and you can have the lead flow. I guess in theory, you could have, let’s say I was on four platforms. I was like Shopify, BigCommerce, WooCommerce, and Magento, and I had 90% of my customers on Shopify and only 10% across the other three. But let’s say the other three were sending me a lot of leads, I just branched into ’em, and usually this is not the case. Usually actually branching into other platforms is a lot harder than you think. We’ve seen Tiny, I’ve seen TinySeed companies and non TinySeed companies try to do it and it can work, but in the majority of cases I’ve seen it hasn’t worked.
So the example there though was to say you could have lead flow in those three smaller non Shopify apps, but not very much customer concentration kind of still early. So these three of is there a replacement, customer concentration and lead flow are the three factors that I think of when I try to rank order these levels of platform risk. So now that I’ve defined these three factors, the contributing factors of platform risk, I want to walk through the eight levels of platform risk, and I will talk through the contributing factors and how they relate to each of them. Interesting data point. As of a week or two ago, I had seven levels of platform risk, and the WordPress WP Engine kerfuffle basically begged the question of, well, let’s say you are built on WordPress, what’s the platform risk of that? And there’s different things. WP Engine uses WordPress and they’re a web host, but what if you had a B2B SaaS company that was built on WordPress as the core, so it was kind of a no-code thing hacked together with plugins.
That’s almost a related, but a different question. And so I added that as another layer. The answer of course is always, well, it depends on a lot on the specifics of how you rank these. All of these are valid levels. It’s just comparing being built on WordPress versus being hosted on AWS. I have ordered those in a certain way, and I think in different situations they could be swapped a little bit, but to me, this list is directionally correct and it takes those three factors and applies it to a bunch of different scenarios that I’ll give examples of. So moving from least amount of platform risk, what I consider the least amount up to the most amount of platform risk, basically where you have the most exposure and the most risk of your business being killed. And so I’m going to go one through eight again, where one is the lowest, eight is the highest, the most dangerous level one is almost no platform risk.
It is where you own your own server in a cage with redundant power, you run your own SMTP servers to send emails. The platform risk here is any development language you use, right? Plus your internet service. I mean, basically you are not reliant on a host, you’re not reliant on anything to send email. You’re not built in no code. I guess your oh, and your risk there is where are you getting leads from and do you have customer concentration and where are you’re getting leads from? And in this case, I’m assuming there’s just almost none, right? You have this great variety of leads coming from all over the place, and there’s no customer concentration in terms of them being reliant on an external API. So this ones, it’s so unrealistic, I just kind of want to skip by it. None of us are going to do that, right?
The second level of platform risk, I think of it as you being reliant on a platform that is a relative commodity and it’s easy to switch away from. Again, relatively easy. I know we could make an argument, I’m going to say SendGrid and Twilio, an SMS provider, email provider, those are commoditized and they are relatively easy to switch. There’s no lead flow, there’s no customer concentration. It truly is just a replacement decision. And one might say, well, SendGrid integration will take you months to migrate away from. Usually that’s not the case. Usually it’s a couple of weeks. I believe we did this with Drip because we went from, we had three or four different email providers that we were using that were APIs that sent emails, and it would take us a matter of weeks to switch, and we were sending hundreds of millions of emails a month.
So again, this is why it’s probably the most realistic one that a lot of us are exposed to, and this is where it always bothers me. I’ll be on X Twitter and someone will say, oh, man, you build on Airtable or Bubble and there’s platform risk. And some smart outlet comes in and says, oh, yeah, well, you host on AWS and that’s a platform, and you send emails through SendGrid, and so that’s also a platform, and you have risk too. And it’s like, but they’re not the same. And that’s the point of this list is to have them in order of increasing risk or exposure. And I think being reliant on a commodity, whether it’s hosting or whether it is an API of some sort, I think at the same level as imagine if you have a VPS or you have a Docker container and you’re on commodity hosting somewhere, and you can basically just pull that and spin it up in, I don’t know, half a day, a day, two days, whatever.
It’s that relatively low switch in cost and it is commoditized. I think that fits in this category as well. So the third level of platform risk, which is just a little riskier than the one I just is when you’re using these large cloud providers, Amazon Web Services, Google Cloud, Azure, this is where you still don’t have customer concentration or lead flow, that’s irrelevant. Obviously those are more dangerous. And so those are in the higher levels of platform risk, but moving away from A-W-S-G-C-P, Azure, whoever else, it’s not just spinning up a Docker thing and moving the VPS or whatever. I think the switching costs is significantly more than moving away from an API, like a SendGrid or an SMS because this is the infrastructure where your entire app is, and you start to get reliant on a lot of services. And so this one also has a varying degree.
It’s a slider of like, well, if I’m only using an EC2 instance and everything’s there, then maybe low-ish switching costs. But by the time I have auto scaling and I have six different types of servers, I have the front end and the API and I have a database and I have Redis servers and I have sidekick workers, and I am using Amazon’s not proprietary, but they’re more like the Redshift thing, and I’m using a bunch of stuff in Amazon. Switching away from that at that point becomes very, very painful and migrating to another platform. You just, again, that’s why it’s the third level I think a platform is. Now, if it’s such a pain to switch, why do I think the risk is relatively low? Because at least to date, A-W-S-G-C-P and Azure are not, they’re not in the business of being aggressive. They have no motivation to, their business model is selling you stuff for a certain amount of money, and so they want you to be happy.
They keep rolling out new stuff, they keep dropping prices. It’s the opposite of, I’ll get to it in a second, but the no-code providers where they keep raising prices and where any of those could go out of business any day, and they’re not profitable. For most part, I think most of the no-code providers have raised a bunch of money and are still not profitable. And that’s where Judgment McCall like A-W-S-G-C-P and Azure, I don’t think are going to be aggressive and make people want to migrate off, unlike other startups that are still in that early, say, monetization or growth phase. So that was the third level, which was medium to higher switching costs. There are replacements available, again, A-W-S-G-C-P, Azure and others, but there’s no lead flow or customer concentration.
Hiring senior developers can really move the needle in your business, but if you bring on the wrong person, you can quickly burn through your runway. If you need help finding a vetted senior results oriented developer, you should reach out to today’s sponsor lemon.io. For years, they’ve been helping our audience find high quality global talent at competitive rates, and they can help you too. Don’t just take my word for it, listener. Dylan Pierce had this to say about working with lemon.io. The machine learning engineer, they helped me hire was very professional and even learned a new tech stack to set up an environment to train and deploy machine learning models. He documented his work clearly so I could train it in the future with additional data. I’m super happy with the results. And longtime listener, Chaz Yun hired a senior developer from lemon.io and said his hire quote, definitely knew his stuff, provided appropriate feedback and pushback and had great communication, including very fluent English. He really exceeded my expectations. Chaz said he definitely used lemon.io again, when he’s looking for a senior level engineer to learn more and get a 15% discount on your first four weeks of working with a developer head to lemon.io/startups. That’s lemon.io/startups.
The fourth level of platform risk is the one that I added for the WordPress kerfuffle. And here’s an interesting thing. I have an open source software like WordPress, and so that’s kind of vague as the fourth level. Here’s the thing, there’s no customer concentration, there’s no lead flow. The question is, is there a replacement? Is it easy to switch and is it priced the same? Well, open source software doesn’t have to be free as in price, free as in beer, but most of it is, I think the majority of it is. So price is probably less relevant. The question is how hard is it to switch and is a replacement available? And the further question that begs is, well, how deeply are you integrated? If we look at WP Engine, that is obviously reliant on WordPress. Couldn’t WP Engine just fork the WordPress code? I believe it’s GPL, right?
They fork it now, I guess then there’s a whole plugin ecosystem. I don’t know what happened with there. So that’s an, I don’t know. It feels like there’s risk there, but they have options. If you were a SaaS company and you had built your entire SaaS or your, I guess no low-code SaaS or your entire productized service, say around WordPress, and suddenly WordPress changed their licensing or they, I don’t know, broke all the plugins that you use and they just broke your business, what would be the replacement for that? Well, you’d have to go and build it somewhere else, right? You’d have to go build it in no code, have code written, do it manually. I don’t think a replacement in this case, it’s the job to be done. I know Ghost is similar to WordPress, but the job to be done of what you’ve built in WordPress, I don’t know that it translates so well to just another CMS.
And so this one’s interesting in that longer term, I have this at four right now, meaning it’s higher risk than say your A-W-S-G-C-P or cloud provider. This would’ve been probably down around two or three before the WP Engine, WordPress kerfuffle, and this is how weird these things are, is that given that WordPress has shown that they are going to be aggressive, not making themselves out to be a friendly platform right now. And so I think that is why for sure I kicked them up in terms of the actual risk, the big question is if you had a business built on WordPress, how hard would it really be to switch? And if oh, in a week or two we could build it in bubble, then this really should probably be down more around SendGrid. The number two right SendGrid SMS providers are where it’s a commodity and it’s easy to switch.
That’s more of how I would feel about it. But if your business is a 2 billion business that completely relies on the plugin ecosystem and you’re at the mercy of WordPress than I do think that there is a significant level of platform risk. So level five is high switching cost, but there are replacements and there’s no lead flow or customer concentration. The best examples I can think of here are no code. It’s building on Airtable Bubble. I was putting Stripe in there. I don’t know that Stripe fits or doesn’t. I guess switching from stripe’s kind of a pain. And I guess it depends on are you in their subscription ecosystem as to whether it’s like a medium or a high switch in cost. But in any case, this is where in order to switch, you kind of have to rebuild everything from scratch, right? There is no export your code from any no-code platform I’ve heard of.
And if you could, how do you import it into a different platform where it’s all just proprietary tech, right? And this again, is where the argument that some no coders make or just some people make is like everything has platform risk. And it’s like, yeah, but they’re not all the same. It gets worse if you’re a Shopify app, there’s a super aggressive platform that’s worse than all the ones that mentioned so far, and we’ll get to that one in a minute. And so the idea here is that if you’ve built a million dollar business and it’s a bubble app, how long would it take you to completely rebuild that in another platform if bubble 10 x their pricing if bubble went out of business, if Bubble had two weeks of outages and one might say, well, couldn’t AWS 10 X their pricing? Yeah, highly, highly unlikely.
I just don’t see it. That’s not been the pattern. But what about AWS going out of business? Highly, highly unlikely. And that’s why I put ’em down at the two level and is AWS going to have a two week outage? Again, highly, highly unlikely. A small no-code startup is more likely to have any of those black swan ish events happen. And that’s why I have them at number five. Coming in at number six, I have all your leads coming from a single marketing channel such as Google. So basically it’s 100% lead flow risk. Now, I’m not including app stores in this like app marketplaces I will get to those are seven and eight, but in this case, I’m thinking of being solely reliant on a single flow of leads. And I think is that a platform risk? I do think there is risk there. There is no replacement usually, right?
There’s no direct replacement. If you rank in Google and you get amazing organic search trying to replace that with something else, switching costs is irrelevant. You can’t do it, right? Customer concentration is irrelevant because they’re not reliant on Google once they come through SEO, but your lead flow and your plateauing feasibly, it could kill the business. And here’s what’s interesting is you’ll notice in these eight levels, the lower end ones are all kind of technology and it’s the business factors, it’s the growth and new customers and customer concentration that I’ve put at the six, seven, and eight spot. Those are the ones that are so hard to replace. And I’ve seen several businesses killed. You talk about Google changing their algorithm every what, 3, 6, 9 months and entire affiliate businesses that were doing millions of dollars basically go to zero overnight. So the reason I have this as number six is that if bubble 10 x their pricing or had a big outage, you could rebuild that.
And if you’re hosted on AWS or using SendGrid or using WordPress, you can rebuild it. The risks are there, but they’re lower than if you lose Google where there is no replacement and you lose all your organic rankings, it can be existential to the business. The seventh level of platform risk, I’ve put a friendly app ecosystem. So an example of this is Heroku, like Heroku apps in general, thrive. Heroku has not, at least to date, and this could change, but they have not screwed their developers unlike number eight level of platform risk or aggressive platforms. But Heroku is one example. I’m sure there are many, many others. In fact, we have a list of I think 80 SaaS marketplaces and it’s microcomp.com/latest/ SaaS dash marketplaces. We link it up in the show notes, but there’s Salesforce app exchange, Zoho Marketplace, HubSpot app, marketplace, Pipedrive, less Knowing, CRM, Microsoft App Source, slack app directory, on and on and on.
There are 80 of ’em. I won’t read them here. And look, here’s the thing, can I name all of the ones that are friendly and all the ones that are aggressive? No, I don’t know enough about them. I would guess that big companies like Salesforce and now Slack because it’s owned by Salesforce are kind of a pain in the ass. And if they’re not yet that they will become that. And I would guess that smaller companies and those that have not yet been acquired by a bigger player, a public company or private equity are going to be likely more friendly. But those are just guidelines. If you think about this, it’s theoretical in a way of like, well, a friendly platform is friendly until it’s not, and that’s really what platform risk is. When we think about the aggressive platforms that I’ll name in level eight, they all were friendly at one point.
And so that really is the scary part of being built on in that marketplace and why being in a marketplace holds the seventh and eighth spot in terms of platform risk. And the eighth and final level of platform risk is of course an aggressive platform. This is where there is no replacement. You basically have a hundred percent customer concentration. You have a hundred percent of your lead flow from this platform, and the platform is not developer friendly. So this is Shopify, Twitter, Facebook, I’m sure there are more that I could pontificate about. I’m naming these because they have completely decimated companies that we’ve heard about or that I’ve invested in. You hear Jordan Gaal talk about Shopify coming after Cart Hook, and that’s not the first nor the last time that Shopify will do that. We heard Twitter jerk around anyone using their API once Elon Musk bought it, and I think they did this.
Didn’t they do this about eight or 10 years ago with Twitter clients? I actually don’t remember, but they did something big back then. Facebook, do you remember? I think it was Zynga, right? It was doing tens of millions of dollars on the Facebook app marketplace, and Facebook just pulled the rug out from under room because they don’t give a shit about their developers. I mean, they’ve been pretty obvious about that. They care about Facebook and no one else. And so there are other aggressive platforms. Again, I do not have an exhaustive list. I just don’t have experience with all of the 80 platforms that we’ve listed at that MicroConf link I said earlier. And so this is where there’s just an existential risk if that you have a Shopify app that’s doing millions of dollars a year and they come and knocking, you’re getting all your leads from them, your customers are concentrated on their platform, and there just literally is no replacement.
There’s nowhere to switch. Again, we can say, oh, we could go to BigCommerce, WooCommerce, and these other things, but it’s not the same. That’s starting a brand new business. And that risk that we’ve seen play out many times, and that’s why these app marketplaces are number eight in my list of eight levels of platform risk. Hope you enjoyed this episode. I think the list is directionally correct, and I could see either there being another one added if someone were to email in question that started For the Rest Of Us dot com, or you hit me up on X Twitter at Rob Walling, I think there might be another one that I’ve maybe not thinking about, or I could see them gently reordering. There is a little bit of an, it depends, right? I said it’s like if you’re built completely under WordPress and completely in it, it depends on is your switching costs low, medium, or high to rebuild it somewhere else?
That could move that one up or down by one, but it’s not going to move it to three slots. It’s not going to suddenly become as bad as having a Shopify app where they are just known to be really aggressive with it. So that’s what I mean when I say I think the factors are in line, and I think the list is pretty tight. And again, directional correctness such that next time someone on X Twitter says everyone has platform risk, you can chime in with, well, there’s different levels of it, and here are eight of them. This podcast episode, they’ll obviously be listed out in the show notes, and I’m certainly going to be referring back to this in the future, probably included in a book or course at some point. I do think it’s helpful for us all to have a paradigm in a framework around it. So thanks so much for listening this week and every week. It’s great to have you here. This is Rob Walling signing off from episode 735.
Episode 729 | 9 Things I’ve Learned Investing in 170+ SaaS Companies
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In episode 729, join Rob Walling as he shares insights from the 170+ SaaS investments he’s made through his B2B SaaS accelerator, TinySeed. Key patterns include the survivability of SaaS, the lucrative value of these companies, and commonalities across the ones that grow the fastest. To see even more patterns that didn’t make this episode, be sure to check out the MicroConf YouTube channel.
Episode Sponsor:

Hiring senior developers can really move the needle in your business, but if you bring on the wrong person, you can quickly burn through your runway. If you need help finding a vetted, senior, results-oriented developer, you should reach out to today’s sponsor, Lemon.io.
For years, they’ve been helping our audience find high quality, global talent at competitive rates, and they can help you too.
Longtime listener Chaz Yoon, hired a senior developer from Lemon.io and said his hire ”definitely knew his stuff, provided appropriate feedback and pushback, and had great communication, including very fluent English. He really exceeded my expectations.”
Chaz said he’d definitely use Lemon.io again when he’s looking for a senior level engineer.
To learn more and get a 15% discount on your first four weeks of working with a developer at lemon.io/startups.
Topics we cover:
- 2:24 – Survivability of B2B SaaS in TinySeed
- 4:09 – SaaS is extremely valuable
- 8:26 – Vertical and orthogonal SaaS face fewer headwinds
- 12:36 – A supermajority of TinySeed companies want a big exit
- 15:51 – TinySeed founder count aligns with the broader MicroConf ecosystem
- 17:04 – Ruined cap tables have prevented deals
- 19:35 – A quarter of TinySeed companies raise subsequent fundraising
- 21:17 – Common advisory topics: pricing, plateaus, cofounders, funding, selling
Links from the Show:
- Apply for TinySeed
- Invest in TinySeed
- MicroConf YouTube: 6 Lessons From My Most Successful Investments (B2B SaaS)
- Episode 727 | Gymdesk Sells for More than $32.5 million, Hiring Gets Easier, and More Hot Take Tuesday Topics
- Episode 728 | Bootstrapping Gymdesk to a More Than $32.5M Exit
- State of Independent SaaS Report
If you have questions about starting or scaling a software business that you’d like for us to cover, please submit your question for an upcoming episode. We’d love to hear from you!
Subscribe & Review: iTunes | Spotify
Welcome back to another episode of Startups For, the Rest, Of Us. I’m your host, Rob Walling, and in this episode I talk through lessons that I’ve learned investing in more than 170 companies, specifically through my startup accelerator TinySeed. And if you’re a B2B SaaS founder who’s looking for the right amount of money, mentorship, community advice for me and our amazing mentors, you can head to TinySeed dot com slash apply. Applications are open right now for about the next two weeks, and I’d love to see you apply. Now between TinySeed and mine and Sherry’s personal investments, we are over 190 companies, but I wanted to limit the percentages, the numbers, the takeaways to only those where TinySeed has written a check in the past. I guess the first check was written about five years ago, and so that gives us a pretty tight timeframe and a more cohesive decision-making approach because we’ve been much more deliberate about the types of businesses that we fund.
So today’s episode is stemmed from a question I got in a private slack group by man where someone said, you’re basically five years, we’re six years from the announcement of TinySeed almost, but we are just over five years from the first check being written. And he asked, are there any patterns or takeaways that you’re noticing across these 170 plus companies? And that’s what I’m going to share today. Now, I want to make a note. I have almost two dozen of these takeaways and that’s too long for a podcast episode. It would run well over an hour. So what I did is I split off six of them and I put them in a YouTube video on the microcom channel, and it has a name similar to this. It probably just came out a couple days ago, and it’s six things that I’ve learned investing in more than 170 companies over five years, something like that. So if you head to microcomp.com/youtube, it should be one of the last couple videos published, or you can look in the show notes of this podcast and click through directly to that video. If you want to get the other takeaways that I didn’t include in this podcast.
I am going to list these in no particular order. They just came to me in this order as I was trying to think of what are the patterns that we’ve seen. First one is the survivability of B2B SaaS and maybe specifically within our portfolio because obviously we are pretty picky, pretty cosy about the companies we let in, but broader than that B2B SaaS in general, once you get a little bit of traction, it doesn’t fail very often. So more than 170 investments, approximately 2% of those have been written off, have shut down, not sold, and basically moved on to their next act. So very, very small, what I’d call a failure rate, much, much smaller than you would see in a traditional more risky venture fund. Now, I want to couch this. It’s still early. We funded, I don’t know, approximately 45 companies in the past 12 months.
And so obviously the failure rate of those would be much lower because they haven’t had time to fail. So I don’t want to act like for eternity for the next 10 20 years, there’s going to be a 2% failure rate, but we did start writing checks five years ago, and even among those companies, a failure rate is still extremely low. The other number that I found interesting, and I just confirmed these in our as of this morning, is that 4% of TinySeed companies have exited, meaning sold for enough cash that TinySeed at least got our money back. And in some cases, as you’ve heard with Iran GRE’s exit on this podcast, we received many, many times our money back, but 4% have exited, 2% have been written off. So there’s still a lot of companies in play, and as I said before, it’s still early.
I mean, we are in the first inning in terms of B2B SaaS taking five years when a traditional startup might take two years because the long slow SaaS ramp of death just takes a long time for things to unfold. Now, my second takeaway is just how valuable SaaS is. You’ve heard me say this on this show where I talk about if you’re over say 2 million in annual recurring revenue and you’re still growing at 40, 50% a year, whatever it is, you can sell at a four to seven x multiple. And so this is all loose numbers. Please don’t I get quoted on Twitter saying this stuff, but I’m just trying to give you a general idea, but let’s say a five x multiple. So if I add 1000 MRR to my company this month, that is 12 KARR multiply that times a five x multiple if I were to sell it, and I’m adding $60,000 in theory to my net worth every single month that I had one K of MRR.
So now think about adding 5K of MRR, which many, many tiny C companies are doing 5K times 12 is 60 times five is $300,000 to the value of that company. So I’ve been talking about how valuable SaaS is for many, many years. There’s a reason that I began focusing on SaaS, what 12 was it? 12, 13 years ago? And part of it’s the recurring revenue, part of it’s the cheat codes, the net negative churn, but a big part of it is it’s just really, really valuable and that value can be seen in the profits you take out or it can be seen in the exits. So in our coined this term that I really like, it’s called the TinySeed millionaire rate. And what it is is of all the companies that are no longer in operation, so this includes those that have sold and those that have been written off that have shut down of all of those.
So I told you before, it’s 4% exits, 2% written off. So 6% of those companies, 43% of the founders are now millionaires. Let that sink in for a minute. I’m not saying 43% of the exited companies made the founders millionaires. I’m saying 43% of all companies that are no longer autonomously operating, meaning they’ve either sold or they’ve shut down, 43% of those founders are now millionaires. Now, that doesn’t mean TinySeed one in all of those exits because imagine if we invest at for round numbers, let’s say TinySeed invest at a million dollar valuation or 1.2, whatever it is, and someone sells their company for $2 million and they’re a single founder, they are now a millionaire and TinySeed received whatever it is, not quite two x back on our money. That’s not a home run for us as an investment fund investing in bootstrapped SaaS, we do have to return a lot more than two X to our investors or a bit more than two x.
And given that some companies will fail, we obviously need higher returns, but that doesn’t discount the fact that the TinySeed millionaire rate is 43%. If you’ve known me for any length of time, you know me as someone who is truly out to help raise the tide, help raise all boats, obviously with TinySeed, with MicroConf, it’s a for-profit entity. Everything I do makes money, but I’m genuinely here to help people and it brings me no end to joy to know that that many individuals join TinySeed received are mentorship, our advice, our investment, and are now millionaires and they can move on to their next act. I’m sure someone in the audit is saying, oh, a million bucks isn’t what it used to. And it’s like, I get it. They can’t live for the rest of their life on that. But I would say that if this is your first startup or if you don’t already have a million dollars in your bank account, that a million dollars is absolutely life changing money.
It’s not never have to work again, money, but it does change your life. It changes the way that you can think about the financial safety of yourself and your family. And every time I think about this number, I smile ear to ear, I’m just so happy the TinySeed is having this impact. People ask me, why do you still do what you do? You could write off into the sunset or you could just write books or you could just record podcasts. This is why, this is exactly why I still record 52 episodes of this a year, 26 YouTube videos, why I’m kind of on track to ship a book every 18 to 24 months because I love doing things that have an impact on people. And to me, while the end goal of everything is not wealth, it’s not all about money. This is changing people’s lives and I’m here for it.
The third learning is something I mentioned on this podcast. It was a prediction for this year, and it’s that vertical and orthogonal SaaS appear to have fewer headwinds than horizontal SaaS. You know what horizontal is? It’s like competing against MailChimp where it’s every SMB, every business in the entire country can use it. Versus vertical is where you build MailChimp for realtors, for example, and orthogonal is if you were to build a piece of software that focuses on a specific role or title at a company. So applicant tracking systems, for example, target HR directors, so that’s orthogonal, vertical and have their own because they’re niche, right? The idea is that when we think of niche, we think of vertical only. And so I’ve started using this term orthogonal to describe this other way to niche in to slice it. And what we’re seeing is in general, horizontal companies are competing with big venture funded incumbents, really successful folks where there’s a lot of money in the space and it’s hard to differentiate, and you don’t really know who your ideal customer profile is.
You kind of have an idea, but you don’t know exactly where to find them. There’s no in-person event you can afford to go to. There’s no ad targeting say on Facebook or Instagram where you’re targeting by demographics and psychographics that will work for horizontal. I shouldn’t say there isn’t any, but it’s very, very hard to do. Versus if you know exactly who your customer is, whether it’s this type of business or this role at a company, it is easier to do cold outreach and ads and just all the marketing approaches become easier. And you don’t have to be the best marketer in the world, you just have to be the best marketer in your niche. And that’s the difference that we see. And so I’m not going to go through exact numbers here. Obviously we don’t give out our performance numbers in public, but in general, the trend is that we do see vertical and orthogonal SaaS companies not only growing faster, they tend to have lower churn.
Honestly, if they’re doing well in these spaces, there are net negative churn and it’s still early, but it does seem like the exit multiples are higher because there is more appetite from acquirers, from strategics and private equity to go after these niche plays, presumably because they also know their numbers, they know how hard it is to market, and they know what negative churn can do for a business. And so with all that in mind, the metrics are better, blah, blah, blah. So it’s still early. And here’s the thing. I know someone on the internet is going to come and post, but that’s not true across all 10,000 SaaS companies. Look, my one counter example is going to try to disprove up. I’m not trying to state a physical law like gravity in this podcast. What I’m doing is I’m looking at trends across things that we are seeing. These are not statements of fact. I’m not saying that every horizontal product TinySeed has is not growing, is nothing like that. It is trends, it’s numbers, it’s bell curves. So yes, you can do your post and say, I’m a horizontal, and look, I have net negative turn. Great. I ran a relatively horizontal play called Drip, and that had net negative turn too. So that was a great business. So I’m not saying don’t start horizontal either. I’m just telling you vertical and orthogonal. There’s some real advantages to doing that.
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He really exceeded my expectations. Chaz said he definitely used lemon.io again when he’s looking for a senior level engineer to learn more and get a 15% discount on your first four weeks of working with a developer head to lemon.io/startups. That’s lemon.io/startups. Takeaway number four is we’ve done some, it’s really back of the napkin surveys, show of hands where I’ve said, okay, the original thesis of TinySeed was some people will want to grow quickly, be ambitious and sell for some number. They have in mind 10, 15, 20 million or more as we’ve seen, versus run a company for years, decades and take out profits. What we didn’t know is what the breakdown would be. Is it 50 50 to more people want to take up profits? With my show of hands surveys that I’ve done in several TinySeed Zooms, it appears that it’s about 15%, maybe 20 that want to grow a company for the longterm and take out profits.
So it is the, call it the super majority that do want to have that big exit. And I think there are reasons for this, right? We are choosing for more ambitious founders. Like if you want to be a lifestyle bootstrapper and truly run a 10, 20, $30,000 a month company and pull it all out, that’s great, but the numbers don’t work for TinySeed to invest in you. And so I do think a much bigger chunk of those folks, whether you call, I call ’em lifestyle, you could call ’em indie hackers, although I think that is actually a different definition, but you get the idea those folks really do want a lifestyle business, and that’s great. I’ve had some of those, but the idea of joining TinySeed and taking funding and then wanting to do that is obviously a super minority of folks. I do think there’s some selection bias in that for sure.
And I also think that when people hear me do this analysis where I went through the whole one K goes to 12 KARR times five is 60 grand, and someone puts a check in front of you that you’re like, I don’t really want to sell. And they’re like, cool, here’s your relatively early stage business and here’s $3 million. Suddenly things really shift. Things really shift. I remember the first time I saw a seven figure number written down in an email for a potential acquirer to acquire one of my companies, and I was like, this is it. If I say yes to this, I am set for a very, very long time, and this will be absolutely life changing. I remember almost being in a weird, it’s not euphoric state, but it’s hair stands up on the back of your neck and kind of lose time and even kind of can hear ringing in your ear.
It was that. I was like, whoa. I was so shocked how in theory I had been thinking, oh yeah, if we sell this company someday, of course it’ll sell for a lot. But the moment that I saw that number, it changed everything. I was like, that’s real. That could really be cash in my bank account. And I think that as folks think about that, especially if you are either a first time founder or a founder who’s never had a big exit who has $50,000 in their bank account and a couple hundred grand a retirement account, and you realize that, yeah, maybe I could see this for the long term. Maybe I could grow this company for 10 years, but if I sell now, I’m set for life and I can work on whatever I want forever. The calculus really changes. So whatever way you choose, if you’re listening to this, maybe you’re thinking about, I want to be able to retire for three to six months, as most entrepreneurs do before they get back in the game, or you want to run it for the longterm, that’s okay.
I’m just calling out some patterns that I’m seeing with our companies. The fifth takeaway is I looked at only our seven and eight figure a RR companies. So if companies doing millions or north of 10 million in annual recurring revenue, and I found that the founder count for these types of companies are very close to being in line with all the founders across the ecosystem from the state of independent SaaS reports. So in this example, 53% of seven and eight figure TinySeed companies are single founders, 33% are two founders, 14% have three or more founders. And just to compare again, the successful TinySeed companies, 53% are single founders and in the broader state of independence, SaaS, MicroConf, startups, the rest of us ecosystem, 51% are solar founders. So 53 versus 51 with two founders, it’s 33 versus 34, and with three or more founders, it’s 14 versus about 15 and a half.
So the route, why do I bring this up then? Well, I don’t think founder count, at least in this analysis, has that much of a difference on success. I know that growth numbers in the state of independent SaaS show that for some reason there’s an anomaly with three founder companies. I’m still curious to figure out why that is, but I find it fun to often compare to the broader ecosystem with this much smaller and tighter dataset that we have. My sixth learning, really it’s just a thing to share, is that we have had to turn down many deals where we have made offers or we’re about to make offers, but their cap tables were ruined. So an example of this is founder left and took their equity and whether they own a third or half the company, they didn’t have vesting in place. And now the company is kind of unfundable.
If you come to us and we’re typically the first money into a company and the founders own less than 70%, that’s not a good sign. And sometimes we are the second money in. So there are exceptions to that, but certainly you want the founders to own 80%, 70 to 80% and up. And so we’ve seen companies where again, there’s one or two founders left and they own like 50% of the equity and they can’t raise funding in the future. They’re basically working to put money in someone else’s pocket. It’s just a really bad scene. The other thing we’ve seen is that there are some really sharky investors out there that give extremely low valuations, or they have these exploding terms where if you raise before paying them back, then suddenly they own three times the equity that their original document said. And these investment terms can make the company uninvestible unfortunate, but we’ve especially seen it in Europe where an angel will invest at, I dunno, I’m trying to think of an example.
There was $50,000 check for 25% of the company, so they invested a $200,000 valuation and that it’s just rough. So now you have this investor who’s not doing anything, not providing a value add, and it’s on the cusp for us of like, Ooh, would we be willing to do that? But realistically, I’m just giving you examples of ways that it’s easy to torture cap table. Be careful. We are less picky, I would say, than bigger venture funds if they see that, they just walk away. So with your ownership percentages, which is what I’m referring to with cap table, you just want to be careful with that. I’ve been shocked at the number that we have seen, and it’s common enough that we ask for the cap table after the first round. If we do a verbal interview and then you go to the second round, we just say, give us a spreadsheet with your cap table.
And probably half the cases, I have a question about it, who is this person? What did they contribute? If someone owns 10%, 12% of your company, I’m always like, how did this happen? It also shows a judgment thing. If someone’s like, oh, they helped us a few years back and they did some design work and gave us some advice, and so they got 12% of your company. Like that to me shows a questionable judgment is maybe a strong, maybe a lack of knowledge of the space of how things work, but it’s at least something that we have to dig into to be sure that you don’t make that mistake in the future. A next thing that we’ve seen is subsequent fundraising. So when you join TinySeed, you do not commit to raising additional funds. You just keep the option to do so if, if it makes sense for you.
And within the first few years, it was about a third of our companies went on to raise additional funding after the 2022 crash where funding valuations hit 10 year lows and money is just not as easily accessible. I think it’s probably closer to about a quarter, like 25% of TinySeed companies, and this is not, you have to discount the prior year that we’ve invested. Like the most recent year, probably zero to a handful of those companies have even thought about fundraising because they still have the TinySeed money, they’re in the batch year. But we look at anybody who’s a year or 18 months prior to now, what percentage and ballpark. I would say it’s around that one In four mark, we had a company apply with six co-founders. That was an interesting one. They had a lot of products were very scattered and we weren’t able to fund them.
Can you imagine? I mean, none of them owned more than 16% of the company and making decisions would be very, very challenging. So that was a red flag of frankly, decision making. When we got into that, then we saw a company apply with zero founders. There was actually one founder of course working on it, but they owned 25% of this early stage company. So I am kind of like, are they really a founder when they are basically working for someone else? To me, that feels like a nice equity grant to an employee. He called himself a founder, but in essence, this is one of those cap tables that we could not fund because a founder working for 25% equity, it just doesn’t make sense. Alright, to wrap things up, the most common topics that I advise on the people pull me into one-on-one conversations during my office hours are the following four things.
Number one, raising prices or fixing, changing, correcting pricing. It’s not always about raising sometimes the value metrics off. Sometimes they just don’t feel right about the pricing, so we talk through it. The second is, I’m at a plateau or I’m about to hit a plateau. How do I break through it? And those are the conversations that have fueled this mythical doc that I’ve put together, which is just a bulleted list of all the plateau reasons that I know of with B2B SaaS that someday I’ll figure out a way to package it up in a way that’s actually helpful. But plateaus are a common thing. Someone wrote into this podcast I believe, and said, I heard the most bootstrap SaaS companies plateau at 20 or 30 K. Why is that? And the answer is, that’s not true. It’s not that most do. I see SaaS companies plateauing early because they don’t have product-market fit.
I see them plateauing at 20 or 30 K because they only have one marketing approach and the top of funnel is her churn is too high, and I see them plateauing it a million a RR because their churn is too high or they’ve tapped out the market or there’s all these reasons and then they can plateau at 3 million because competitors, blah, blah, blah. So lots of different reasons for plateauing and it is a very common topic of conversation. The third one unfortunately, is co-founder disputes where one co-founder is living, wants to leave, thinks the other should leave, is asking for advice about a buyout or should they just walk away? Should they give some equity back? It gets really complicated. It is like a divorce because folks have worked together, have been friends, have built and started something that is valuable, sometimes not valuable enough.
If it was worth $20 million, then maybe you sell it and split the money. But if it’s worth half a million or a million and you’ve spent years working on it, do you really want to liquidate that to the what’s going to be the lowest bidder because you’re not going to get a great price for it and distribute a few hundred thousand dollars to each person that they get taxed on. It is tough. So I don’t mediate co-founder disputes per se. I’m not a mediator. We do have folks that we recommend our founders talk to if they need that, but I definitely am someone that people talk to about advice. Hey, here’s going on. How should I think about it? What are my options? That’s usually the big one is what are my or our options in this case? And of course, now I have a whole laundry list of options when these things come up.
And the fourth one that folks get my advice on is raising funding or selling a company. And usually it’s not like, how do I raise funding? How should I think about this? Should I raise funding or sell the company? There are questions then about what are next steps and how should I think about it? What are typical valuations? All of that. But as you can see, I get brought in at big strategic points. Now, I also get brought in, I got brought in for some great just nitpicky questions the other day of per seat licensing advice on how to optimize a marketing channel, what marketing, let’s brainstorm marketing channels to go after next. But if I’m grouping them, it really is those four that I mentioned. As a reminder, I have six more learnings that I did not mention in this episode that I mentioned over on the YouTube channel.
You can click the link in the show notes or go to MicroConf dot com slash YouTube and look for a video of approximately the same title as this episode. And another reminder, if you are a SaaS founder and you want the right amount of funding advice, mentorship community TinySeed dot com slash apply. Applications are open now, and if you are an accredited investor and you’re interested in investing in companies like this, the tiny C millionaire rate is 43% on companies no longer in operation. So obviously we’re having some success. Head over to tiny c.com/invest can fill out a form. There it goes, straight to my good friend, Einar Vollset, whom you’ve heard on this podcast before. Thanks so much for joining me for this week’s episode. It’s great to have you this week and every week. This is Rob Walling signing off from episode 729.
Episode 728 | Bootstrapping Gymdesk to a More Than $32.5M Exit
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In episode 728, Rob Walling interviews Eran Galperin, founder of Gymdesk, about his incredible exit. Eran shares his journey of transforming Gymdesk from “Martial Arts on Rails” into a successful gym management software company. He discusses how they succeeded in a competitive market, the role of TinySeed in their growth, and how feelings of burnout eventually led to a majority buyout for the company.
Topics we cover:
- 2:02 – Gymdesk Announces a $32.5 Million Strategic Growth Investment
- 5:13 – How the investment will be used
- 6:38 – Eran’s projects before Gymdesk
- 9:21 – Sticking with one idea long enough to see success
- 12:45 – Entering a competitive market
- 16:37 – Rapid growth as a marketing leader
- 20:54 – Dealing with burnout and entertaining an acquisition
- 26:45 – Handling a stressful sales process
- 32:19 – The future of Gymdesk
Links from the Show:
- Apply for TinySeed
- Gymdesk Announces a $32.5 Million Strategic Growth Investment from Five Elms Capital
- Episode 727 | Gymdesk Sells for More than $32.5 million, Hiring Gets Easier, and More Hot Take Tuesday Topics
- Gymdesk.com
- Eran Galperin (@erangalperin) | X
- Eran Galperin | LinkedIn
- Eran’s Website
- Financial Independence, Retire Early (FIRE) Explained: How It Works
- Discretion Capital
If you have questions about starting or scaling a software business that you’d like for us to cover, please submit your question for an upcoming episode. We’d love to hear from you!
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It’s Startup To The Rest Of Us. I’m Rob Walling, and this week I talk to Eran Galperin, the founder of Gymdesk, about how he bootstrapped and frankly mostly bootstrapped Gymdesk to a more than $32.5 million exit. It really is an incredible story of Eran launching this product on the side and working for years, nights, and weekends until it clicked. And this is a good example of if he had launched it and expected it to just work in a month or three months and was launching 10 things, Gymdesk would not be where it is today. It was the sheer focus and the relentless execution and showing up night after night, weekend after weekend until he could quit his day job that got Gymdesk to such an incredible life-changing generational wealth-generating opportunity.
I sometimes have TinySeed founders on this show, not because they are TinySeed founders, but because they have really interesting stories and most TinySeed founders are also part of the Startup To The Rest Of Us and the MicroConf community and Eran is no exception. I do ask Eran why he applied to TinySeed in this episode and you’ll hear his answer if you feel like TinySeed could be a fit for you as a bootstrapped SaaS founder, head to TinySeed.com/apply. We are opening applications for our fall batch within the next week, and that will run for about two weeks. If you hear this after September of 2024, you can always go to TinySeed.com/apply to get on our email list and learn about our next open enrollment. In addition, if you are an accredited investor and you’re interested in investing in companies like Gymdesk, ambitious B2B, bootstrapped SaaS founders, head to TinySeed.com/invest. And with that, let’s dive into my conversation with Eran.
Hey, Eran Galperin, welcome to the show.
Eran Galperin:
Hey Rob, how’s it going?
Rob Walling:
It’s good, man. It’s been a long time coming. I’m glad to have you on here. So folks have probably noticed from the title of this episode that you had a $32.5 million strategic growth investment from Five Elms Capital. And I want to start the show by asking you what did it feel like that moment where you’ve refreshed your bank balance and you saw more zeros than you probably ever imagined that you would have?
Eran Galperin:
It’s surprisingly a large feeling of relief. It was the end of a very grueling, even though not long, maybe in competitive terms, but for me, long process of three months where basically every day I doubted that this would actually end up well. And many times as sort of a psychological trick, I would kind of let myself feel, “So what if it falls apart? It’s all good.” When the money hit the bank account. Actually it happened very fast. We closed the deal on a Friday, 30 minutes before the wire cut off time and the funds were in the bank account the same day. I did not expect that before the weekend and I’m just like, “I guess it’s over. I guess it’s done. I can have a real night’s sleep today and maybe the entire weekend.” And I literally slept 14 hours a day for the entire weekend. That mainly just a massive feeling of relief. All this weight just washed down.
Rob Walling:
That’s incredible. And had you been planning in your head of, “Once I have this money, I’m going to do XYZ with it.” Or did it just come in and you thought to yourself, “Well, this is it, I’m set for life at this point”?
Eran Galperin:
It’s kind of a mix of both. So I didn’t really have an idea for things to buy, but I already had in my head financial plan of how I’m going to deploy this. I’m a proponent of the FIRE methodology, if you heard of it. Financial independence retire early and it’s basically revolves around investing in fund indexes that return a very stable amount every year and with this amount of money, I’m basically set for life if I follow this approach. So I knew I was going to do that. I ended up upgrading my car to basically the same model but newer and higher trim because I really liked that car. And now we’re in the process of, we bought a piece of land here in Tokyo where I live and we’re building a house on it. So that’s super exciting. Not something that I actually planned, but a month after the sale was completed, it’s like, “You know what? We should start looking into it.” And we’re now in the process. Those are the major things.
Rob Walling:
What kind of car do you have?
Eran Galperin:
So now I have an Audi RS3 for people who are into that kind of stuff.
Rob Walling:
Nice.
Eran Galperin:
It’s a nice car. It’s still compact, which fits with the very narrow streets of Tokyo, but it’s just a slight upgrade from the previous car, which was an S3. Basically exactly the same car on the inside, but a small upgrade that I felt like was well-deserved.
Rob Walling:
Yeah, no doubt. And for folks listening, when I say you received a 32.5 million strategic growth investment for your company, Gymdesk, and we’ll get into what Gymdesk is and what it does in a minute, what does that term mean? Because a lot of folks might be thinking, “Oh, a growth investment, that means you raised money that went into the company.”
Eran Galperin:
So our investor is a private equity firm and they did a majority acquisition of the company. They bought a majority stake of the company. I am left with a minority stake in it, and some of the funds are going to be used to grow the company. The majority of it is for them to acquire the controlling stake of the company. This is what the amount that is on the public statement is for.
Rob Walling:
And so that means it goes to you and other shareholders and full disclosure, you’re a TinySeed company and so TinySeed obviously received some money as well, but that’s not why you’re on the show. You’re on this program because your story is pretty remarkable in terms of how you executed, how fast you grew and how you went about the sale process.
So I want to roll us back a few years. Before I do that, I want to let folks know Gymdesk. Gymdesk.com, your H1 is gym management software that frees up your time and helps you grow simplified billing, enrollment, member management and marketing features that help you grow your gym or martial arts school.
So take me back before you started Gymdesk and I know the inside baseball, Martial Arts on Rails was actually what Gymdesk was called, which is such a cool name for developers. I’m like, “Well of course I know exactly why he named it that.” But such not a cool name for non-developers, right? Because clunky, it’s long. People are like, “What do you mean on rails?” Did you get a lot of that? Is that why? Because you rebranded the company in ’21 or ’22 I think.
Eran Galperin:
Most of our customers just referred to us as MA on Rails or just MAOR or some reason. I hated that acronym, but a lot of them used it and I just ran with it. So yeah, at the time I just winded down a previous company, a VC-backed company called BinPress that raised a seed round and just didn’t grow enough to raise another round and I was kind of burnt out on the VC model. It’s like I felt that company had potential, but because it didn’t fit the VC timeline, it had to shut down.
So I wanted to go in a different direction. Me and my co-founder kind of split paths. He moved to the dark side and became a VC partner, and I started a bootstrap company back then that was called Martial Arts on Rails. I wanted to combine my hobby of many years, which was training in Brazilian jiu-jitsu, nine years at the time with my professional skills in software development.
I did a lot of market research initially, I kind of tried avoiding going into the vertical we ended up going in, which is business management software because there’s some very entrenched players in this space. Now I know that that’s actually an advantage. They do a lot of the customer education for us. There’s obviously a lot of potential revenue to be had because they’re so big, but back then it looked very intimidating.
Eventually I did decide to go that route just because everybody I talked to in this space said the current incumbents were just so awful. So I don’t want to name any names, but anybody in this space knows exactly who they are and I felt with my experience in user experience and software development, I could bring something better to the market. We launched in 2016 and me being a technical founder in every stop previously I was the CTO, some kind of engineering leader. I quickly realized that I had zero idea on how to acquire customers. And so began this kind of slow trial from zero to a livable wage over the course of three and a half years during which I got a full-time job as initially a software engineer and eventually a CTO of a e-commerce company in L.A. And only in 2019 I started working full-time on the business.
Rob Walling:
Got it. So you were three years in, three years and nights and weekends on Martial Arts on Rails, which became Gymdesk. So that’s interesting. So it’s not the overnight success that people might paint it out to be, right?
Eran Galperin:
It actually, it didn’t feel quick to me the last couple of years went in a blur when we were growing pretty fast every year, but the first five were a slog for sure.
Rob Walling:
This is something I talk a lot about online or on this podcast is folks who don’t stick with an idea long enough and they launch one thing and then one thing and then one thing, “Nothing’s taking off so I’m just going to…” You were three and a half years in before you even had a full-time income, and then there was kind of a, I’d call it like a bootstrap or hockey stick moment where we saw this because you applied to TinySeed, I believe in 2021. You were cranking up, I think you were. Do you remember you were 30, 40K MRR by then?
Eran Galperin:
Yeah, I was around 35K and by the time the program started already 40 and I remember having chats with some of the founders and the meetup we had in Arizona and they’re like, “You’re at 40K, why did you join TinySeed?”
And I had a different calculation than them in my mind because I had the same kind of dilemma when I was thinking about applying. It’s like, “We’re doing pretty well. What can I get from TinySeed that I can’t get by myself?” And the framework that I use is if TinySeed helps increase the value of the company by more than the equity that they take, which was 10%, then it’s worth it. And it ended up being way worth it. So I think in that regard, it doesn’t matter that we were at 35 because we came in for maybe different reasons than some of the other companies in the batch.
Rob Walling:
There are different reasons why some folks come in because they’re super early stage and they really do want guidance help finding product market fit. You didn’t need that. You already had it pretty strong. Some folks come in like I could really use the 120 to 250K investment. You didn’t really. Now I know it was a little bit helpful, but that’s not why you were doing it. Why did you decide, and really I think the question is what did you ultimately get out of TinySeed that makes you say it was worth it?
Eran Galperin:
A lot of it, well, it started with me following your content on Startups For The Rest Of Us. I’ve talked to many investors and I can tell when somebody actually knows what they’re talking about. They’re not just repeating stuff they read on somebody else’s blog, listened to on a podcast, which is the case with a lot of the investors that I see. And I was coming in to get that kind of advice one-on-one.
This is my first company that I’m building bootstrap first company that I got to a certain scale that I haven’t been able to at previous companies and I’m going into a lot of uncharted territory. I remember that we had pricing realignment engagement together. Me and you sat together and talked it over. That was a very scary process for me. We had a lot of long-term customers and I’m about to really ramp up the pricing on them and it helps so much that I can do it with somebody that already ran this playbook, also seen it fail at other companies, even your own after acquisition, I guess. That really helped me do this confidently and it went super well and actually kickstarted the next upward strand in our revenue growth and there were multiple such instances. This is the main reason that I joined TinySeed.
Rob Walling:
I think that makes a lot of sense. Community and mentorship are the two things most people name most often and it sounds like the mentorship and advice was a big piece for you.
You entered an extremely competitive space. There’s one 900 pound gorilla who as you said, no one likes, but there are dozens. I mean I’ll say every TinySeed batch we get one or two applicants at least that make it into calls that do something similar to this. Why did you succeed?
Eran Galperin:
I think I can tell pretty accurately why we succeeded and it’s because we went against what everybody else in the market is doing. So we have the 900 pound gorilla like you mentioned, and a lot of the similar competitors kind of copied their playbook. They have a product and I think this is coming in a lot of B2B verticals that is very outdated and difficult to use. I guess the thinking is that business software doesn’t need to be accessible or easy to use and they just have a very strong sales motion and a lot of our other competitors are pretty much the same. I mean their products started at different points in time, so you can kind of tell, “Oh, this one is from ’08, this one is from 2011.” But they never bothered updating it afterwards.
When I started Gymdesk without any sales knowledge, the only thing I can do was just talk to customers and make the product better. I myself went through a transformation with this company where I used to be that technical person that engineering lead that it would come to with customer complaints and it’s like, “Yeah, they’re using it wrong. They’re not very smart.” I would say mean things like that. And with this product I kind of realized it’s actually the opposite. The dumber, the feedback looks like the more opportunity there is to make the product better, and I really took that to heart and through this endless feedback loop made a product that just makes everything so much easier than our competitors. We might have a similar feature set, but the way those features and flows are implemented is completely different. And this is where I feel we really made our first kind of differentiation in the market.
The other side of it is with the customer service. So anybody who works with me knows how responsive I am to emails, and it was the same with customers in the going when I was the only one talking to them. And when I started hiring for customer service, I made sure that we stayed with that mentality. Somebody sends a report that something is not working, we have to get back to them as early as possible and resolve it as quickly as possible. Not just issues, but also small feature requests where it seems like it’s a no-brainer. We would roll those out sometimes same day. You can find reviews of us on Capterra and other websites where the guy’s like, “Yeah, I messaged customer service, I talked to the CEO, and on the same day I get a new feature that solves our use case.” And you can’t beat that kind of experience. So this is how we kind of build our brand in this space.
Rob Walling:
Got it. So you’ve referenced product that you built your product differently. It’s not just great product, but it is actually zigging when others were zagging, sales motion, they were really heavily on sales and you were more allowed self-serve I’m assuming, but.
Eran Galperin:
I’m 100% optimized for self-serve, so it’s maybe a bit ridiculous, but in the early days, I actually refused doing demos. I just hate getting on video calls with people I don’t know. And people would email in, “I want the demo.” It’s like, “Yeah, we don’t do that. I’ll be happy to answer your questions over email, which is the medium I’m comfortable with.” But for years we just didn’t do any demos. We do do demos now. We have a full team, they help with onboarding, but because we didn’t have any demos and none of that motion at all, I really had to make the product shine in those aspects. So every time people would say, “Oh, I can’t do this in onboarding.” It’s like, “Okay, let me go back to the product and fix it like that instead of getting on a call and explaining to you how to do it.”
Rob Walling:
And then support, as you’re saying, was exceptional. There’s one other thing you didn’t touch on that I watched firsthand. I watched you execute exceptionally well, like top 10%, top 5% of founders that I work with, and you are a technical founder who in 2016 launched Martial Arts on Rails and you didn’t know how to market. By the time I knew you in 2021, you knew enough about how to market that you were driving consistent, consistent, consistent growth. I say that word three times because it was just every month there were no plateaus. And then it just got better. I mean, the growth got faster. You eventually hired a head of growth and I mean you coming from development to marketing, a lot of people, as much as I say it on this podcast of all the successful TinySeed companies, all the TinySeed companies doing seven figures, pretty much inevitably one of the founders runs marketing from the start.
Now you can eventually hire someone to do it, blah, blah, blah, but trying to outsource marketing when you’re 10K MRR, you and I both know that’s probably not a good idea. So my question is there’s a long way of asking how did you figure this out? How did you get good at driving tons of leads because everything else you said, building a great product, great support, self-serve people do that, and then they flounder and they plateau at 10K because they don’t know how to drive traffic. So I don’t know how to drive traffic or leads. How did you figure this out?
Eran Galperin:
Yeah, I mean that’s definitely the part of building this company that took me the longest to figure out. I do have some background in writing, so I’ve written a lot over the years, mostly technical writing, but eventually moved into, I wrote about startups going through accelerators, stuff like that. So I had that in my back pocket. Also, some experience with technical SEO, so I thought for sure with SEO I could drive some leads to the product. Turns out that was also naive. It took me quite a while to figure out the SEO for this company, but now I have such a good handle on it that I advise other SaaS companies on this particular topic.
I just had a call with one of the TinySeed companies where I analyzed their entire SEO structure and gave them actionable items. This is one of the things, it’s not like this with every marketing channel. Maybe it is, I haven’t figured it out yet, but specifically with organic traffic, you can approach it almost like an engineering challenge and really figure out a plan to attack it. And we built a really structured repeatable process there to expand and also retain the land that we acquire in SEO because to keep your rankings, it’s very difficult in a competitive market.
It took me, I want to say five years to really figure that out. In 2021, when we hired the first full-time employee that was a content marketing editor, I knew this is our strongest channel and this is our best writer and I want to just keep investing in this channel. And it paid off. We still drive most of our leads through SEO. I think it’s over 60, 70% of our leads come through that channel, and they’re all extremely qualified leads. It’s a channel with a lot of buying intent. So yeah, it’s definitely something I had to work on. But just persistence with everything else, trying and failing, trying and failing and figuring it out, that’s how we did it.
Rob Walling:
And to give folks an idea from ’21 to ’22 you doubled, from ’22 to ’23 you doubled, from ’23 to ’24 is not over, but you’re on pace to double. So it is like a really interesting growth curve. I like to call this because you started in 2016, it’s eight years to overnight success because all the people on X-Twitter want to know, how many people do you and I know that would stick with something for five years kind of grinding it out to figure it out?
Eran Galperin:
I follow some people on Twitter that literally what they do is they build a tiny SaaS product and they give it a couple of months and then they sell it for peanuts on microacquire.com, I think it just acquire.com now. And just move on to the next. And they keep hoping that one of those will blow up, but that’s not how it works. If you’re going to only stay with it for a few months, it’s never going to happen.
Rob Walling:
I want to dive into the acquisition because you received a lot of inbound interest. You told me offline, you said you initially ignored it. So it was what, 2021, you start receiving private equity firms that are reaching out, and this is a very common thing. People hit mid six figures, get into the seven figures, and it just happens. So how are you thinking about and dealing with all that inbound interest?
Eran Galperin:
When it started initially, first of all, the language that they use in a lot of this inbound, it is very vague. I didn’t think it was about buying the company. I thought it was venture investment basically. They talk about growth equity, like we said at the beginning. At that time, I didn’t know exactly what that meant. It’s like, “Oh, are you interested in growth investment into your company?” I’m like, “No, I’m bootstrapped. Not interested in that.”
Eventually one of them actually used direct language and I’m like, “Okay, interesting. I think we’re too small, but let’s talk and see where it’s at.” And we were too small at that time, but I started to get a sense of how things might go. And between 2021 and 2023, I must have taken close to 40 calls with different private investors, search funds, all sorts of different constellations. And I really got a pretty good lay of the land as to what a potential outcome might look like and at what revenue numbers it would make sense to sell. And I started having this kind of mental funnel in my head. It’s like, “Okay, if we hit those benchmarks, maybe it’s time to start thinking about running a process.”
Rob Walling:
Got it. Why not run the company forever and take out profits?
Eran Galperin:
That’s definitely an option. And some people do this, but I started to feel some burnout even in 2021. I ran the company with a bootstrapper’s mindset, always hiring maybe a couple of steps later than I really should have because I’m optimizing for profits. It’s really hard to disconnect the revenue going into the company from your own finances. At the end of the day, anything that’s left over in the company is your revenue personally, and I was doing a lot, just maybe doing too much was feeling burnout. And at some point it’s like, “You know what? I would be happy to take a step back and let somebody else run the company.”
There’s also when you’re at a smaller scale and you self-select for the customers, everybody’s nice and it’s a pleasure to work with, but as you hit a certain scale, the small percentage of people that, I can’t think of a better word, just nasty people and you have to deal with them. And it gets to the point those people are above the level of even a full-time customer service person to handle, it leaves a dent in you. It always feels like they’re going to ruin your company’s reputation. We had people like trash us and all the social media channels for the pettiest stuff. I have stories that just make my blood boil when I think about it and I just don’t want to deal with it. Does this emotional connection as a founder, CEO, that maybe a professional CEO would not have because they didn’t build the company, they don’t feel it in their bones and somebody is just saying nasty things about them online and I just wanted to kind of remove myself a little bit from that.
Rob Walling:
Yeah, I experienced the same thing. We don’t talk about that very much, but that stuff takes a toll on you. I don’t know if you got threatened, but I got threatened multiple times with where I’m like, “Do you mean that? This is becoming a safety issue.” It’s a law of large numbers. It’s like at a few hundred customers you kind of know everybody, at 1000 users, customers, it becomes a lot. And then we eventually had a free plan, so we had 30, 40,000 users at a certain point. It’s like you’re going to get some mentally unstable, demanding, narcissistic folks. And yeah, I can see it. Everyone sells. Like I say this, everyone sells eventually. I never thought MailChimp would sell and they eventually sold. I mean really, I had all these examples and they’ve all sold except for I think Basecamp is probably the one that I think about.
So then I guess the question then is you start feeling like, all right, I’m burning out. This business is obviously worth a lot of money, but how did you know when it was time to sell? Because you could have sold it at a million ARR or two. It’s like do you just arbitrarily pick a point? What was it like for you?
Eran Galperin:
So because we received so much inbound interest, I did really have a lot of insight into where an optimal result might happen, and it did seem to really funnel around a few million in ARR. That’s where a lot of the bigger players that can actually pay the big multiples start getting interested. At the lower ARR there’s definitely interest, but people would try for bargain. The multiples are lower, the terms are not as good, and I saw a very direct line to that number. With our growth numbers I was running this kind of projection P&L where if we continue at the same pace that we’ve been growing and add a little bit to it every few months, and it ended up being almost to the dollar accurate all the way up to 3 million. So as long as I was continuing with the trend that I built there, I’m like, “You know what? I’m good. I don’t need to sell now.”
Unless I see crazy warning signs. And by the way, those crazy customers, those were the warning signs, like, “Is this it? Is this where I’m taking a tumble down death row for the company?” That did make me wonder, maybe it’s time to sell now before I really run into that customers that tries to ruin our business. But as long as we kept on that trend I could see the path. It didn’t seem too long. So if it was like five years into the future, I would not be able to do it. But it was about two years into the future I was like, “I think I can hold on for that and have a life-changing outcome there.”
Rob Walling:
And let’s talk through the sales process because you’re one of the few people that I can talk to about how painful this is. And here’s the hard part is if you go on social media, if I say on this podcast, “Oh, it was so stressful. It was really stressful. No, trust me, it’s really stressful.” People say, “I’m sure it wasn’t that stressful. And also you walked away with money that you never had to work again. So really just deal with it.” But it drives people, it can drive people to the edge, to the brink, to the point of not sleeping to the point of I started having, hallucinations is not the right word, that would take it too far, but I started making shit up in my head that just wasn’t true. And at a certain point, Sherry, my wife was like, “Hey, do you know that that’s not, you’re in a weird place. You’re really fighting with people in a way that’s not healthy for you.”
So for you, you worked with Discretion Capital folks on the podcast. No, A&R runs that and helps as a sell side advisory for SaaS doing multi-millions. And what was the process like for you? You can talk maybe a little bit about the mechanics of it, of how it actually panned out, but also personally, emotionally, what that all felt like.
Eran Galperin:
Yeah, the process was much more stressful that I anticipated, and it’s mostly psychological in its core. First of all, it’s a very technical process. That’s another thing that I didn’t anticipate everybody reads about due diligence. It seems like a very straightforward thing. You just provide the documents for the company, you let them look at your code base, la-da-dee-la-da and you’re done. And it’s so great, but it’s actually so technical and complicated. There were times during due diligence and it’s mostly around stuff like taxes and company structure that the other side’s legal team would just disappear for three, four days a week looking into something. And I’m like, “Is this a big problem? Is this a small problem? Is this taking down the deal?” I just have no idea. And this kind of ambiguity where you have no idea if things are going well or not for weeks at a time, it really gets to you eventually.
And it’s a lot very minute things written in some contract from few years ago, and it’s like, “Is this a problem? It looks so minor. Is this really a problem?” And they’re like, “We don’t know. We’re going to need more time to find out.” It’s like, “Sounds bad.” But you just stick with it and eventually you get through due diligence and then you have the purchase agreement aspect. I thought once we’re done with due diligence, we’re done. We just need to sign the contracts and get on with our lives. But hell no. That was just half of the process. It was crazy.
Rob Walling:
You keep spring [inaudible 00:29:21]. Yeah, you just don’t know.
Eran Galperin:
Yeah, you just don’t know those things. Luckily I had Einar to provide some emotional support. He told me that basically his role once the process starts is to be therapist for the founders. And it pretty much ended that way. Every time I would go to him, it’s like, “How big is this issue?” And it’s like, “Don’t worry. It happens in every sale process.” Like, “Okay, if Einar says it happens every time, it’s fine.”
Rob Walling:
It’ll be okay.
Eran Galperin:
So he would calm me down and this would happen a lot. Him and my lawyer, I want to give credit to Kaiser, just did an amazing job, especially during the purchase agreements. Every word in those agreements can have such a long-term effect on your life and you’re like, “I don’t even know what any of this means.” So having a really good lawyer that is patient and kind enough to explain it in a way that you can understand is so important.
And still, we would get hung up on things where us and the buyer had some sort of disagreement on, and is this solvable? I don’t know. And again, days would go by, weeks would go by from my end, this is the only thing going on in my life other than running the business, but they’re dealing with multiple deals at the same time. So I don’t know if they’re just ghosting me or actually busy. Is this a tactic that they’re using to get me to come to their side? It’s super stressful. I usually consider myself a very even-keeled person, and I was taken aback by how stressed I got near the end of the deal. Even though we had all this inbound interest, I felt like if this deal falls apart and we go back to market, we will be able to get a really good outcome regardless.
But I just didn’t, once you get too deep into it, you hate so much to go back to the beginning, do the due diligence again, like, “Oh my god, to go for that will be a nightmare.” So yeah, near the end of the process, I literally got insomnia. I would lie down in my bed, refreshing, looking for emails from the lawyer that I felt like, “Okay, I have to get out of bed, respond to this now, otherwise I’m going to stop this deal for the weekend because it’s a Friday.” And it’s got to the point where once I turn the phone off and I’m trying to go to sleep, I just can’t fall asleep. So it’s like, “Okay, it’s eight A.M. I’m just getting up. I didn’t sleep today. I’ll just keep going.” And, “Oh, what do you know? Another email came in from the lawyer. So good thing I didn’t go to sleep.” And it just stayed like that for the last couple of weeks of the process.
Rob Walling:
Yeah, it’s brutal. It’s brutal on your mental health and on your physical health. Not sleeping is rough too. Then that, just everything else is distorted. You can’t get through that, but you made it to the finish line. We started with this conversation, hearing you refreshing that bank balance and seeing all the zeros, huge sense of relief. You’re still a CEO of Gymdesk, but what are you doing now as you look ahead over the next six months, five years? What’s on your mind and what are you doing with regards to Gymdesk and with other projects?
Eran Galperin:
Yeah, so as I mentioned, one of the goals, or rather one of the reasons for selling the company was due to burnout. And when I was talking the terms with the buyer, I mentioned that I would like to step down as CEO after the company is sold and probably over the course of maybe a year or two, eventually walk away from the company or at least have the ability to do that. So currently I’m still the CEO. We closed the deal two and a half months ago. We’re in the process of recruiting a professional CEO to come in and take over for me.
I literally had an interview just before this call, an hour long interview, by the way, it’s been a fascinating process interviewing for the CEO position. I’m talking to really incredible people and I’m super excited to potentially work with those people. With me taking a small role in the company, mainly focusing on product. That’s where I feel I can make the most impact at the company. I’ve been doing well in the other aspects, but those are definitely not my strong suits. So going back to focusing on product and over time, reducing my involvement in the company. I still hold some minority stake in the company, so I want it to do well, but maybe more on a consultancy basis eventually.
The main thing for me right now, and I already started doing that, is I’m looking to help mentor other B2B SaaS founders from that zero to one and a potential sale process, and also do some angel investing in that same realm. So I’m talking to a few founders already. Those conversations actually are incredibly invigorating for me.
Rob Walling:
You get to see the other side.
Eran Galperin:
Yeah, I’m just incredibly happy to talk about those topics. It’s like I have somebody who also understands what I’m talking about and having those conversations kind of like what we’re doing right now.
Rob Walling:
Yeah, this is the best job I’ve ever had, what I do both on this podcast, but running my heart on a TinySeed, I get to do that every day. And you see the appeal of it. It keeps you in the game, it keeps your head sharp, but you don’t necessarily have to do the grind that you did for so many years where everything’s hanging by a thread. If someone just heard you talk about, “Hey, I am mentoring and potentially angel investing, they wanted to reach out to you, what would be the easiest way for them to reach you?
Eran Galperin:
So I have my personal website, it’s EranGalperin.com if you just Google my name, you’ll find it. You can contact me through there. Also, I’m on Twitter and LinkedIn, easy to find. Feel free to reach out if you want to talk. I’m super excited to talk to founders about B2B SaaS. It’s kind of my thing right now.
Rob Walling:
Yeah, and it’s not just, “Hey, talk to me if you want me to invest or something.” But it’s like you’re pretty free with your advice and you have obviously a lot of knowledge and experience having grown this company in extremely competitive space and having an incredible life-changing exit.
Eran Galperin:
Yeah, it always gets me worked up to talk to a founders in the early stages and hearing about what they’re doing. It’s like, “Wow, that’s so exciting.” So yeah, I love having those calls.
Rob Walling:
Eran Galperin, thanks so much for joining me on the show today.
Eran Galperin:
Thank you so much, Rob. Been a pleasure.
Rob Walling:
It was an absolute pleasure having Eran on the show. I hope you enjoyed this episode and took away some motivation and some lessons and some learnings that will help you grow your business this week. This is Rob Walling signing off from episode 728.
Episode 709 | The 7 Greatest Investments of My Life
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In episode 709, join Rob Walling for a solo adventure as he shares his story of growing his personal wealth over the past few decades. Selling companies was the major driver of wealth, but he also explores the role of cryptocurrency, running profitable companies, and angel investing. Rob emphasizes the power of entrepreneurship in achieving financial freedom, while acknowledging there are ways to do so while keeping risk relatively low.
Episode Sponsor:
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Topics we cover:
- 2:50 – A lesson on how to build wealth
- 4:31 – Entrepreneurship was our biggest tool
- 6:37 – Building, acquiring, then selling companies
- 10:45 – Building slowly while staying risk-averse
- 13:27 – Investing in riskier assets like cryptocurrency
- 19:39 – Running profitable companies
- 20:56 – Angel investing, and WP Engine
- 23:44 – Traditional, salaried employment
- 24:53 – Typical investments: stocks, bonds, REITs
- 27:36 – Real estate investing
Links from the Show:
- MicroConf Connect
- Christopher Gimmer (@cgimmer) | X
- Christopher’s tweet
- Sherry Walling (@sherrywalling) | X
- The Stair Step Method of Bootstrapping
- Start Small Stay Small by Rob Walling
- This Took 11 Years to Be An “Overnight Success” – SaaS Exit Strategy
- Zen Founder
- The SaaS Playbook by Rob Walling
- WP Engine
- TinySeed
- Barbell Strategy Explained for Stock and Bond Investors
If you have questions about starting or scaling a software business that you’d like for us to cover, please submit your question for an upcoming episode. We’d love to hear from you!
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Welcome back to another episode of Startup For the Rest of Us. I’m your host, Rob Walling, and every week on this show, I talk about building an incredible life through startups. Usually, it’s bootstrapping and mostly bootstrapping. Sometime, I have venture-funded startups come on and talk about their experience. But realistically, it’s all about founders, humans that are trying to make a difference in their lives and the lives of the folks around them. Entrepreneurship has been the number one force in my life that has changed it for the better. It brought me from making $4 and 50 cents an hour at my first job and $17 an hour in my first job out of college to where I am today, in a position where finances are no longer a major concern in my life. And that feels like a very weird thing to say based on where I came from.
So in today’s episode, I’m going to talk about building wealth, and specifically, I’m going to talk a bit about my story, the story of Sherry and I building wealth over the past 20-something years. And I’m going to talk about the activities we’ve done in order that have brought us the most wealth in our lives. And I realize that talking about money can be a taboo subject. I’ve never been someone to share my MRR and act like I’m building in public when in fact, I’m actually bragging in public. But I do think that many of us who are out to find freedom, purpose, and relationships, we need to find a way to make enough money to quit the day job or to augment our day job or at a certain point, to make enough money that we never have to work again. Because as much as most of us will say, “I don’t actually care about the money, I care about the freedom,” the money is the means to that end, the money is the means to get to freedom.
Before we dive into that, you should check out, MicroConf Connect at microconfconnect.com. This is our online community and forum. We host it in Slack and we’re approaching 7,000 members. They’re bootstrapped and mostly bootstrapped SaaS founders. Recent conversations in Connect, including a debate about magic sign-in links, how long you should spend diving into a niche before deciding on the product offer, how to safeguard your product from misuse during free trials. At what point in your journey should you invest in a conference booth and more. It’s a vibrant and highly moderated community. Very high signal-to-noise if you’re looking to find and hang out with other misfits like you and I, head to Microconfconnect.com.
Let’s dive in to a lesson on how to build wealth. And look, I could say how to get rich. That’s the gauche way of saying it, but I feel like there a way to talk about this topic tactfully and to talk about it respectfully and to talk about it frankly, with grace and thanks because if nothing else, I have an incredible amount of gratitude for what entrepreneurship has done in my life and the life of my family, and that’s why I want to share this with you today. So last week, I was on Twitter and I saw a tweet from Christopher cgimmer and he said, “My two greatest investments, number one, starting a business, number two, buying Bitcoin.” And that tweet reminded me of an essay, really a half-form blog post that I wrote a year, maybe two years ago.
I thought of turning it into a tweet thread. I thought of posting it on the blog and just never did. But it was a reflection on the life that Sherry and I have built. And I started thinking through what are the ways that we lifted ourselves up from, I’ll say, humble beginnings. I won’t go into it too far, but between Sherry’s family and my family, we have convicted felons, we have drug addicts, we have folks who have been on food stamps, some folks who are still on food stamps. We’ve had people in and out of jail, we have alcoholics, we have a lot of stuff. And I’m not saying this to play the politician role of, oh, look at the humble beginnings we came from. But in all honesty, where we are today is a far cry from where we started. And the number one reason for that is entrepreneurship.
Now, obviously you could say, well, Sherry and I would’ve been okay even without entrepreneurship, and maybe we would have, we were working salary jobs before I started companies, and could we have built a great life, just the two of us working hard as salaried employees? Of course we could have. So I don’t want to sit here and act like entrepreneurship is the only reason that we’re alive today and the only reason we own a home or anything like that, because salary employment and investing in the stock market was the path that we were taking, and we were doing fine. We were certainly middle class and doing well.
But as we look at this list of things that allowed us to build wealth, you’ll notice that entrepreneurship is number one, spoiler. But a bunch of the other ones came because entrepreneurship made enough money that then we could take several bets on different things that we wouldn’t have been able to if we didn’t have that money in the bank. I’m going to be honest, I was actually a bit surprised as I ran through this list. I’d never really thought about it before and to look at which activity contributed cash in what order was pretty fascinating to me.
So in this episode, I’m going to walk through seven wealth creators, and this is not investment advice. Think of it more as a story. The story of Sherry and I coming out of college with 100, $200 in a bank account and building what I feel like is a pretty successful life that I’m very grateful for. And there was a ton of hard work, nights and weekends constantly for several years. I don’t do that anymore, but there’s probably six, seven years of basically clocking nights and weekends to start companies on the side as I was trying to figure it out. There was definitely some skill that Sheri and I built up through putting in the hours or through going to the library or through being on the internet and studying and learning. And obviously, there’s some luck involved as there always is.
In addition, this is not investment advice. This is just the way that we think about allocating our money. And this may or may not work for you or even be relevant. So with that, first item on the list is selling companies. And for the most part it’s selling companies that we started from scratch. Sometimes it was selling companies that I acquired. So HitTail was a SaaS app that I bought in 2011 for $30,000, and by the time I sold it in 2015, the total revenue it generated plus the exit amount was just over $1 million. And one might say $1 million, Rob? That doesn’t sound like that much money. To us at that point in our lives, it was the first moment that we had life-changing money, “life-changing money,” not never have to work again, money, but it changed the way that we went about our day to day. It was the first time I ever saw $100,000 in a bank account, was working on HitTail.
HitTail was highly profitable. It had a 90% gross. No, it had about an 85, maybe 90% net profit margin, net profit because it was just me and a couple contractors. And one might say, “Well, you had $30,000 to buy HitTail. I don’t have $30,000.” Guess what? Three years prior, I didn’t have $30,000 either, but I built businesses like .NET Invoice, I wrote Start Small Stay Small. I had a portfolio of small products and I saved the money from those as well as consulting that I was doing a few years prior to get that 30,000. So I truly stair-stepped my way up over the course of, depending on how you count, it was either six years or 11 years to get to that point where I could acquire a SaaS app and grow it. And I had built the skills to do that and I’d put in a lot of hard work along the way to be able to do it.
Prior to that, I had, at any given time, I had around a dozen. It was like between nine and 12 small products doing hundreds to single digit thousands per month. And I cobbled those together to make a full-time living. And it was a great lifestyle. I worked 12 hours, 16 hours a week. We had young kids, but I was always worried that I wasn’t going to have revenue or income the next month or the next year. And I was constantly thinking about, am I going to have to go back and get a job? Am I going to have to go back to consulting? And once you taste the freedom of not doing those things, you really don’t want to go back. I became unemployable pretty quickly. Now, moving from that life-changing to sunset money where you can just ride off into the sunset. Some people call it FU money. You could say it’s never have to work again, money, but that of course was selling Drip.
And one might say, “But Rob, you invested 150,000 or $200,000 into getting Drip built. So when you sold it for millions of dollars, I can’t do that because I don’t have 150 or $200,000.” Guess what? I didn’t either three years prior, but I bought HitTail for $30,000 and grew HitTail, which was doing, it was around $2,000 a month at the time. I grew it to 30,000 MRR and socked that money away in a bank account, put it away, put it away, put it away. So I had money in a business bank account to where I could pull that out and build Drip. This is why I get a little infuriated when I see comments, I’ll see them on the YouTube channel, for example, where I talk about if you have an unfair advantage, if you have an audience or if you have a network or if you have money, then use it. And someone will post a comment with, well, if I was lucky enough to have an audience like you, I didn’t build my audience because I was lucky. I built my audience because I’d put in almost 20 years of hard work.
And I know people who build it a lot faster than that, but however many years you put in, it’s not luck, it’s about putting in hard work and reaping the rewards. And so I can imagine someone listening to this and say, “Well, I don’t have $150,000 to build Drip. I don’t have $30,000 to build HitTail. I don’t have $11,000 to buy .Net Invoice,” which is what I bought it for back in ’05, ’06. I didn’t either until I did freelance work on the side in addition to my day job and saved up enough money to buy .Net Invoice, and then parlayed .Net Invoice into money in the bank to buy HitTail and then parlayed that. You know what I mean? It’s like it took us a long time.
If you think about it, the typical startup journey you hear about these days, “typical,” I’ll put in quotes, people say, “Oh, in three years I quit my job. In a year, I quit my job. In five years I became a millionaire.” I started building and trying to launch software products really around probably 2002, 2003, and I had my first thousand dollars revenue month in ’05, ’06. Think of how long that is. That’s a lot of nights and weekends, and it’s not what you see on Twitter today. It took us a long time because we had no backstop. We did not have parents who would bail us out if we went to zero, if we lost our apartment, if we didn’t have money to pay for it, we couldn’t move in with anybody. Not having a backstop makes it really scary and it can make you risk averse, which is what we were because we had to show up for our jobs every day and trade dollars for hours because we had to make a rent payment because we had no backstop.
And so I did a talk several years back called 11 Years to Overnight Success, where I started the timer at 2005, which is around the time I acquired .Net Invoice and ended it in 2016, which is when we sold Drip. And that was the moment where I never had to work again. And it took us 11 years to get to that point. Why did it take so long? Because I stair-stepped, because I did it carefully and because we did it in a pretty risk-averse fashion such that we would never lose the house. We didn’t put a bunch of money on credit cards, we didn’t take out a second mortgage to invest in our business. You might be more risk-averse. In fact, you might have a backstop if you have rich parents, if you have $200,000 in the bank that you’ve earned and saved or that someone gave you, that’s amazing. Then you can take bigger risks and you can do it a lot faster than we did.
But we took one step in front of the other and put in hard work, luck and skill over years. And frankly at this point, decades. When I say think in years not months, what I actually mean is think in decades, not years, but that would be too painful to tell people when they’re first starting out. So that was number one, selling companies. And I realized I included running HitTail, meaning taking profit off of it. So I muddied the waters a little bit. But realistically, the number one driver of wealth building for us has been exiting companies. And the beauty about selling is, at least in the US, the tax laws are so favorable because they give you long-term capital gains in your tax rate is far less than if you draw profits out of a business.
In addition, depending on how you’re growing and what the multiples are, you can often sell for 10 years worth of net profit or 15 years worth of net profit. So you dramatically accelerate the amount of cash you get today, and that allows you to make other bets that may pay off for you as we did in 2016.
You may not want to hear it, but number two on our list is cryptocurrency. And I know some people are cringing. I’m not a crypto bro, I’m not a crypto maximalist, but when I started hearing about crypto in let’s say 2014 or ’15, I was intrigued by it, but much like investing, I didn’t want to spend any time focusing on it because I was busy being an entrepreneur and I wanted to focus on growing a company. But after selling Drip in 2016, we obviously had a large sum of cash and I wanted that to last the rest of our lives. And a very interesting side effect of having a large amount of money is that you can make larger than sensible bets on very risky things.
So prior to that, we had made a few angel investments, and of course, that’s lower here on the list, but we’d made some angel investments in startups. And I started thinking of crypto as an angel investment and I told Sherry, it’s either going to 100x or it’s going to go to zero. So let’s put an amount of money into crypto to where it goes to zero, it doesn’t matter to us. And here’s the thing, it comes back to entrepreneurship because if we hadn’t sold Drip, then could we have put $1,000 into crypto? Yeah, probably. And do I think putting 1% of your net worth or 2% or some very small amount into risky bets is a good thing? I do personally.
In fact, we have done it with angel investments and with cryptocurrencies. Do I think everyone should do it? I don’t know, it depends on your risk tolerance, but to me, I saw what [inaudible 00:14:55] calls asymmetric upside, which is, if this can potentially 100x, could I put $1,000, $10,000, $50,000 into it? Well, it depends on how much you’re worth, right? If your entire net worth is $50,000, that would be foolish to put 50,000 in. But if you literally have millions and millions of dollars sitting in a bank account, is it foolish to put tens of thousands into something that could potentially be worth millions someday? Maybe. So is it super risky? Of course. But over the course of, I think it was seven months, eight months, we basically dollar cost averaged less than 1% of our net worth. So it was tens of thousands of dollars into several cryptocurrencies. This is ETH, it was Bitcoin, I think it was Litecoin at the time. I think I picked three or four.
And again, it was either going to 100x or it was going to go to zero. And when I say dollar cost averaging, what that means is instead of buying a big chunk all at once, you buy a small amount every day, every week, every hour, whatever it is to get up to your target allocation. And I genuinely wrote it off, expected that money never to come back. Much like any angel investment check we write, I don’t include that in our net worth anymore. I consider that it’s zero until it’s not. And one could say, “Well, you got a little lucky.” Yeah, probably also could have bought two years later when it crashed. Also, could have bought a couple years after that when it crashed.
But if you dollar cost average in and you don’t put any more in than you can lose. It just didn’t seem that risky. I’m pretty risk averse person. I’ve never had a backstop. And so for context, we started buying ETH around, I think it was somewhere between six and $10, and Bitcoin was at 600 or so. And obviously, as of this writing, they’re at 3300 and 66,000 respectively. Which just feels bizarre, right? Crypto to me was just a mechanism. It was just a thing that could go up. I have no desire to persuade you to purchase it, right? And I’ve gotten into discussions where people will ask the usual question, well, why is it valuable? Why not just buy gold, isn’t it a bubble? And it’s like, I don’t know. I just view it as an angel investment. It’s a lens of opportunity. And again, never could have done this without having the exit.
And the interesting part about this is within months, it started going up, I think it was six or eight months, it started going up so quickly that actually, it scared me because it went from tens of thousands up literally into the single digit millions, and it became almost… It was like a fear of liability about the volatility. And so we started dollar cost averaging out as much as we could. Back then it was actually hard to sell crypto. There were all these limits on exiting, and that was a good thing because I think we would’ve sold more than probably would’ve been wise. We were held in by these limits, and those limits allowed us to leave more in, that then of course grew over the following five, six years. I just don’t think we would’ve kept it that long.
So I’ve appreciated how those limits probably went against the scarcity mindset of, oh no, it’s going to go down and we’re going to “lose” a bunch of money even though we’re still playing with house money. So in the subsequent years, we have definitely sold seven figures, obviously playing with house money plus, plus, taking chips off the table, but still have enough that if it continues to go up, that we ride that wave as well. So what’s the learning there? Is it everyone should buy crypto? Is it everyone should dollar-cost average into risky assets? I think it’s that making money creates opportunity and allows you to make bets on things that otherwise you never could have. And again, this is where it comes back to entrepreneurship.
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Number three on this list is running profitable companies or owning profitable products. Some software, some knowledge products. So think of things like running HitTail, running my product portfolio back in the day. Dr. Sherry Walling, my wife runs Zen Founder, which is a very successful executive and start-up founder coaching practice zenfounder.com if you want to check that out. I had a micro agency back in the day. And of course, book sales, since we publish our own books, you can actually make decent money if you sell 20,000 copies like the SaaS Playbook has sold. There are no big hits in this one. This one is really number three on the list by virtue of how many years we’ve done them.
Sherry has run Zen founder, I think since, I don’t know, maybe 2013, 2014, so a decade. And I ran HitTail for five years. It was highly profitable. The product portfolio was six, seven, eight years. Sherry’s written two books. I’ve written four books. Each of these things, we just have done them for a lot of years, so none of them was a breakaway, mad influx of cash, but each of these was either additive to our day jobs or it was a nice steady income stream to keep us going long enough to have some of the other big hits.
Number four on the list is angel investing. And for a while, I’ll be honest, this was number two on the list, and this is mostly due to an angel investment that I was able to make in WP Engine. There are also a few startups we’ve invested in that have returned, I’ll say single digit multiples. So let’s say a 3x, a 4x, a 5x, which they’re nice, but they’re not the return that the WP Engine did. And we also have a couple that kick off dividends that again, are nice to haves, although we pay income tax on them.
But realistically, the power law plays out here through my investments. Sharon and I have 20 plus angel investments on our own in addition to the ones through TinySeed. And when WP Engine had what I think was considered a private equity growth round in 2018 or ’19, we got bought out and that was enough money that we could pay cash for our next house, which we had to do because I didn’t have a job. I couldn’t get a loan because I didn’t have a job. Think about the irony of that. This was after selling Drip, but after having all this, but angel investing is another one that is 100x or go to zero. And any money that we’ve written, we’ve basically written off the moment we write the check.
And again, someone might say, “Well, I can’t angel invest.” And it’s like, well, you got to make money first, right? We only were able to do it by building companies and having enough revenue that we had money in the bank that we could potentially invest. In addition, who invested in WP engine? Well, it was a handpicked list. It was oversubscribed. And Jason Cohen approached me and said, “If you want to invest, I’ll save money in the round for you.” Why did he do that? Because he had read my blog and he had read Start Small Stay Small, and he said, “I think you could advise me on virtual assistance and potentially email marketing and potentially SEO. These were things that he saw that I was knowledgeable in.
So did I “earn” that? I don’t know. It was a combination of hard work because I put two to 400 hours into my blog every year between 2005 and 2011. A lot of times during lunch hours at my day job. When other people went out to lunch, I would go and I would write. So there was some hard work there. Was there luck? Absolutely. And was there skill? Yeah, it’s debatable, but that was the first angel check we ever wrote. In fact, we were not accredited investors. And so there’s a bit of luck there that he was willing to do what’s called a friends and family type situation. So I’m super grateful for Angel investing.
Now, if we had never done angel investment, would we still be fine? Would we still be well off? Would we still have wealth? We would, but it’s that nice to have thing that allowed us to level up our standard of living. And to be honest, it’s just pretty fun. I love being involved in startups, as you can imagine, as my life’s mission is to multiply the number of independent self-sustaining startups in the world, and therefore, angel investing being number four on this list is apropos.
Number five is salaried employment. This is working for other people. Both Sherry and I had many W-2 jobs in our lives. It’s the default. It’s what you do when you’re starting out, most of us. I kind of wished I was just a contractor freelancer when I started, but I was too risk-averse, and I wanted a steady paycheck to pay for that apartment that we lived in in Sacramento, California, where the rent was $720 a month for a two-bedroom place back in 2000. Nothing wrong with salaried employment. I learned so much. I really learned how to code as a salaried employer. I learned how to hire. I learned how to interview. I learned how to manage.
I think folks who don’t have a salary job before they go out on our own are at a bit of a disadvantage if you haven’t learned those skills. So would I say you should get a salary job before going out on your own? I wouldn’t say that. Some people naturally can just do those things, are better at management, are better at hiring. They have the confidence, somehow they just figure it out. I was not one of those. I was very inexperienced. I was very timid. I was scared to do things like interview other people. I didn’t know how. And I learned those on the job and it made me a better entrepreneur once I decided to strike out on my own.
Number six of seven is investing in what I’ll call typical investments like stocks, bonds, REITs, and so on. The challenge that we saw there was you need money to make money. You can put money away every month, which we were doing. Oh, hey, I’ll put $400 a month away, or $1000 a month at a certain point, or even $2,000 a month. And so in a year you save 6,000, 12,000, 24,000. And when you think about how much you actually need in the bank or in investments to retire, that’s a lot of years. There’s a reason you might have to work 40 or 50 years to get there. And so I quickly saw that although Sherry and I were making money, and we could afford a home in California, I saw that we were not going to get rich by saving. And that is something I think in the early days, again, 20, 25 years ago, I thought we could penny pinch or save our way into wealth.
And some people might do that, but I didn’t see it as a path for us. And that was one of the motivations for starting companies. One, I wanted freedom, but also, I wanted an opportunity to be more in control of my income. And the idea that I needed more money to make money was frustrating to me because no matter how much I saved, it just didn’t grow fast enough. And by the time we were starting to make money, like real money from HitTail or Drip, we had saved up, I think it was around $350,000 in investments. And we were what? In our early to mid-30s. And so that’s not terrible, but that’s a lot of years and a lot of working to not have enough money to be able to retire on.
These days, we are almost more in the barbell strategy. You can Google that if you haven’t heard of it. But we have, I’ll say, a traditionally small amount of money in typical investments like stock bonds and REITs, and we have more money in highly risky assets like a crypto, collectibles, startups and other alternative assets. And then we have a bigger chunk in extremely safe assets like cash or these days in the high interest rate environment in savings accounts or an equivalent that paying four or 5% on cash makes sense to do that. So I’m still a proponent of stocks, bonds, REITs and et cetera. We still have money in there, but it’s definitely become more of a background thing I’ll say, or just something. It’s an infrastructure thing of we put this money in and it’s great to watch it grow in your index funds, but it is not a major driver of wealth. It’s more of a way to maintain wealth or to grow wealth, but not to actually make wealth.
And the seventh and for the most part, final thing that gave us any type of noticeable amount of money, obviously there are things like savings account interest over the years. Have we made single digit thousands? I’m not going to include stuff like that, but this is the last one that I think has made us tens of thousands or hundreds of thousands in lifetime wealth. And this was investing in real estate and it was in the early ‘2000s. We since have not bought a bunch of real estate. As I said, I have money in other things, and I know there are folks out there screaming at the microphone talking about the amazing tax write-offs. And I know there are tons of advantages to it, but it’s not something that we are presently in.
The thing I was looking for was an edge. And so in the early ‘2000s in Los Angeles, we were buying up units and houses with two on a lots. And so we at one point had like seven units. And you could do this through leverage, right? I think it was three or four properties and seven total units. Many of them unpermitted as they are in LA. And you could do this through leverage because you could buy a half a million dollar or a $300,000 property with 5% down or something. And that cut both ways because when the market plummeted, of course, then you are losing a ton of money. But what I realized was that we had no edge, in that we had money and other people had more money and other people had inside deals and other people knew more about real estate than we did. And as such, I felt like I was the retail investor who was getting taken advantage of. And even though we owned these homes and there was some equity in them, we were really at the whim of the real estate market in LA.
And as it started to crash in, it got soft in ’06, it started going down in ’07 or flatlining, and then in ’08 it started plummeting. We sold all of that because I didn’t want to be in debt, hundreds of thousands of dollars to the banks or have my properties foreclosed on. And it was something that that was the moment. If you think about that timing, that ’06, ’07, ’08, that was the moment that I had the realization of what is my edge? Well, my edge is I’m a software developer, I know how to write code. Is there a way that I can monetize that? Because not everyone can do that. And that’s when I realized, oh, if I learn to market and I know how to code, almost no one does that. And so that turns you into a pretty incredible force because if you can write copy and you can position products and you can do SEO, you can run ads, you can build something that people want and are willing to pay for, there are very few people that can do that. And that is where I realized I had the edge.
And so at that point, we did sell the real estate that we had, and it sounds like we were real estate moguls or something. It’s like we were leveraged to the gills. And if in total we made 100,000, $200,000 over, it was many years of nights and weekends, as I was also doing software products. I was that guy that was trying to figure out the hustle. How do I raise our lot in life? How do we get out of working dollars for hours and making $30,000 a year, $50,000 a year, and actually get to a point where we have enough money that we can “make a difference,” right? That we have enough money that we can now make money by investing in typical investments or by dollar cost averaging into crypto. And that of course, led me to entrepreneurship, to software entrepreneurship and also writing books and all that. I just can’t underscore how much that changed mine and Sherry’s life.
So to recap, seven ways that Sherry and I made life-changing wealth in our life, number one is selling companies. Number two is investing in crypto. It sounds so weird to say. Number three, running profitable companies. Four, angel investing. Five, salaried employment. Six, investing in typical investments like stocks, bonds, and REITs. And seven, investing in real estate specifically in the early ‘2000s.
Hope you enjoyed this. It’s a bit of a story walk down memory lane, but also trying to pull out some learnings that I hope can help you as you move forward. And thanks to Christopher Gimmer for posting that tweet and reminding me of this thought process that I had a year or two ago so that I could revisit it here on this show. It’s been great being with you here today. If you keep listening every week, I’ll keep recording. This is Rob Walling signing off from episode 709.
Episode 706 | 2/20/200 Validation, Prior Art, and Designing by Committee (A Rob Solo Adventure)
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In episode 706, join Rob Walling for a solo adventure where he discusses a variety of topics. He starts with why it’s important to both consider and credit “prior art” in business. Rob outlines his 2/20/200 idea validation framework used to repeatedly evaluate ideas. He also covers why, though there are some advantages, designing by committee has some significant downsides.
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Is your outsourced development team dropping the ball?
Maybe you’ve worked with a team that just couldn’t grasp your vision and needed constant oversight because they weren’t thinking strategically. Or maybe you ended up wasting hours micromanaging, often needing to jump on late-night calls across massive time zone differences to get alignment. And in the end, they delivered a sluggish app with a frustrating UI that didn’t come close to the solution you had envisioned. If any of that sounds familiar, you need to reach out to our sponsor – DevSquad.
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Topics we cover:
- 2:37 – Learning from, and crediting, prior art
- 10:27 – The 2/20/200 Idea Validation Framework
- 16:03 – Be wary when designing by committee
- 21:09 – When to crowdsource feedback
Links from the Show:
- Register for MicroConf US in Atlanta, April 2024
- Do Things That Don’t Scale by Paul Graham
- David Sacks (@DavidSacks) | X
- Hackers and Painters by Paul Graham
- Episode 705 | From Bootstrapped to Mostly Bootstrapped
- Episode 628 | The 5 P.M. Idea Validation Framework
- Use This PROVEN Formula to Validate Your Next Startup Idea
- Validate Your SaaS Idea FAST (Step-by-Step SaaS Validation Process)💡✅
- Start Small Stay Small by Rob Walling
- Metallica: Some Kind of Monster
If you have questions about starting or scaling a software business that you’d like for us to cover, please submit your question for an upcoming episode. We’d love to hear from you!
Subscribe & Review: iTunes | Spotify | Google
Is your outsourced development team dropping the ball? Maybe you’ve worked with a team that just couldn’t grasp your vision and needed constant oversight because they weren’t thinking strategically, or maybe you ended up wasting hours, micromanaging, often needing to jump on late-night calls across massive time zone differences to get alignment, and in the end, they delivered a sluggish app with a frustrating UI that didn’t come close to the solution you had envisioned. If any of that sounds familiar, you need to reach out to our sponsor, DevSquad. DevSquad provides an entire development team packed with top talent from Latin America. Your elite squad will include between two to six full-stack developers, a technical product manager, plus specialists in product strategy, UI/UX design, DevOps, and QA, all working together to make your SaaS product a success. You can ramp up an entire product team fast in your time zone, and it rates 75% cheaper than a comparable U.S.-based team.
And with DevSquad, you pay month-to-month with no long-term contracts. Get the committed, responsive development team that your business deserves. Visit devsquad.com/startups, and get 10% off for the first three months of your engagement. That’s devsquad.com/startups. Welcome back to another episode of Startups For the Rest of Us.
I’m Rob Walling, and in this week’s episode, I do a Rob solo adventure, where I’m going to talk through a few topics, always bringing it back to being a bootstrapped or mostly bootstrapped startup founder. Before we dive into that, I want to let you know it’s your last chance to get tickets to MicroConf Atlanta. The event is April 21st through the 23rd. Speakers include Rand Fishkin from SparkToro, Asia Orangio from DemandMaven, Stephen Steers, myself, and Dr. Sherry Walling. It’s going to be hosted and emceed by me and Lianna Patch of Punchline Copy.
I’m also going to be doing a fireside chat with Ben Chestnut, the co-founder of Mailchimp. He does not do very many public appearances, and so I’m very excited to host him at MicroConf this year. MicroConf.com/us, if you’re interested in grabbing tickets. Again, tickets are going to sell out soon, so if you’re thinking about joining me and about 225 of your closest bootstrap founder friends, head to MicroConf.com/us. My first topic of today is how the startup world and the bootstrapper, MicroConf community, and I’m kind of breaking those.
Those are overlapping Venn diagrams, but they really are two different things. I think of the startup world as probably being more of the Silicon Valley high growth stuff, and then bootstrapping, and MicroConf being maybe a subset of that with some overlap. But the idea is that the startup world struggles to not only learn from prior art, but to credit prior art. It’s two related things, but they really are different. So if you’re an academic and you go, let’s say get your PhD in psychology, or in computer science, and you’re writing papers or writing a dissertation or a thesis, it is 100% plagiarism if you claim someone else’s idea as your own, without giving credit.
It doesn’t mean you can’t talk about ideas that you’ve heard elsewhere, but you give them credit. So if you go on Twitter and you say, “I had this great idea, it’s to do things that don’t scale,” or even if you don’t say, “I had this great idea,” but you go on and say, “Here’s a secret to success, little known, do things that don’t scale in the early days so that those will eventually lead you to be able to scale up,” but you never mention that Paul Graham wrote an essay called Do Things that Don’t Scale, and he wrote it back in, I don’t know, 2006 or 2007. And it is a very commonly known idea and thought that he came up with, and you don’t credit that, you are plagiarizing someone else’s idea, because the people reading that think you came up with it by default. If you say something and don’t credit, they believe you came up with it. Not a week goes by …
Literally, not a week. Sometimes it’s more than that, that I don’t see someone on Twitter, or YouTube, Reddit, Hacker News, claiming a concept, or even not claiming it, but not crediting a concept that’s pretty well-defined, that either I invented or Paul Graham came up with, or Jason Cohen, or Hiten Shah, that has pretty obvious and clear prior art, and it’s not like someone saying, “Oh, work hard for success.” Right? That’s a pretty generic way of talking about it, but if someone says, “You have to work hard, and you need skills,” and then there’s a little bit of luck involved. Well, obviously, that is exactly the framework that I talk about for achieving success, is hard work, luck, and skill, and so you can rephrase those two things or whatever, but if you pick those exact three things, the odds of that being a coincidence that we both came up with it, that you came up with it on your own without the influence is pretty unlikely.
And this is really common, like in the creator maker influencer space, the info product, info marketing space. People are just kind of plagiarizing, and I find it frustrating, I think, as someone who does a lot of deep thinking about this stuff and comes up with a lot of frameworks, and seeing things, whether it’s mine or someone else’s, it just never feels right that folks on the internet, in the startup space, I don’t know why they feel like they need to do that. I don’t believe that it’s an accident. I think it’s pretty intentional, but the thing is, is it’s not just crediting prior art and just saying, “Oh, yeah, that person came up with this idea, but here, I’m going to build on top of it,” or, “Here is how I implemented it,” or, “Here is how it impacted me.” It’s not negative to you to just say that, to just give the credit, but the other thing is not just crediting prior art, it’s learning from prior art, and I see so many folks trying to reinvent the wheel and justify it by saying, “Well, I’m going back to first principles,” or, “That’s rule of thumb, common wisdom, therefore, I’m going to go against that.”
Like the teenager in the family, every what, generation rebels against the prior generation, right? There’s an example of Ryan Breslow, Breslow. I don’t know how you pronounce his name, but he was the founder and CEO of Bolt, and he was the guy … I don’t know, he’s a 20-something who just thought he knew everything, basically, and he went on Twitter, and what, flame Stripe and Y Combinator as being some type of mafia, or a cabal or whatever. Anytime I hear this type of phrasing, I’m like, “Oh, boy, someone really wants some clicks rather than fighting the good fight.”
But anyways, Bolt was giving loans to their employees so that employees could buy stock options, and then Bolt lost 97% of its value, and so anyone who took out loans to buy their stock options now owes the company money, sometimes thousands, sometimes tens of thousands of dollars. At the same time, this founder, Ryan Breslow, sold millions of dollars of his shares in secondary, so he seems to walk away okay, but it’s kind of a disaster for employees who are now on the hook for these funds. The thing is, this was already attempted. If you listen to the All-In Podcast, you’ll hear David Sacks talk about this, where this had already been attempted in the ’90s, and it was proven to be a disaster, but he was touting it as this great new invention, this employee-friendly thing. A, did no one tell him this is a catastrophic idea, they tried this 30 years ago, and this same thing happened, or B, did people tell him, and he waved that off, right?
He said, “Well, no, I’m going back to first principles. They did it differently. They did it wrong in the past.” I’m not saying we should be tied to every mistake that everyone makes in the past and never try things that didn’t work, but you have to learn from that art and do it differently. You have to learn from the failures and not just try the same thing again and expect a different outcome.
If we are not as a community learning from prior art and reading books like Paul Graham’s Hackers & Painters, or the old blog post from Joel Spolsky, old posts from Peldi Guilizzoni, Patrick McKenzie, my books, my old blog posts and podcast episodes, if you just come on the scene and you don’t read any of that, then you can’t stand on the shoulders of giants. There’s a reason that in academics, you study and you go to school to learn what people before you have learned, so that you don’t have to reinvent everything from scratch every two weeks. If you come on the scene and you don’t read any of that, then prior to yesterday’s Twitter feed or Hacker News, do we just start over from zero every week or two, and we don’t drag anything along with us? Now, you could say, “Well, dragging things along is baggage,” and I want to, once again, go back to first principles, but at least know, “What’s been tried?” At least know, “What’s been talked about?”
And you can make a case to disagree with it, but even that, just knowing what the common wisdom is, and then zigging when everyone else is zagging, at least make that a deliberate decision, not just a decision of, “I’m going to do this because I didn’t educate myself that I need to actually market and sell this,” even though, every week on this podcast I’m saying that. You go and start a B2C business, it has high churn, and you’re surprised everyone is price sensitive, even though every other week, I talk about that. You go and start a B2C two-sided marketplace, try to bootstrap it with no audience, even though I’ve said it so much, it’s become part of the Startups For the Rest of Us drinking game. And look, I’m not saying just me. I’m not saying, “Oh, I should say things, and everyone on the internet should hear it.”
It’s not the case. There are so many smart people with experience that are talking about these things, and yet, there are so many people who are making the same mistakes over and over because they’re not doing any of the learning or the research on their own in order to stand on the shoulders of giants. As you start your journey, it’s hard enough already. Learn from the mistakes of others. You do not have to make every mistake yourself, and hopefully, if you’re a creator, if you’re recording videos, if you’re putting out podcasts, if you’re tweeting, that next time you mention someone else’s idea or framework, that you give them credit.
My next topic is a concept I mentioned on a podcast four or five years ago, and then poof, it just disappeared. I had forgotten it. I think it was during an interview, and the idea of it … I want to bring it back up today because I’ve realized that there’s a lot of value in this framework. It’s about early stage product validation, okay?
So if you’re a later stage founder, you may want to skip this section, but the framework I’m calling the 2-20-200 validation framework. So you know how I have the 1-9-90 rule, right? That’s where I think about 1% of tech companies should consider raising venture, about 9% should consider raising some type of funding, whether it’s angel, TinySeed, indie funding, whatever, and then about 90% should just bootstrap. It’s directionally correct. It’s directionally accurate.
As Braden Dennis said on the show a couple of weeks ago, “This 2-20-200 validation framework is similar, directionally accurate.” The idea here is that there are three steps, three stages that can happen in order as you try to validate or invalidate a startup idea, and the numbers stand for the approximate number of hours that I think you’re going to spend doing them. So two hours, 20 hours, 200 hours. And the idea here is the first stage of two hours is something you can do relatively quickly. So if you have five different ideas that you’re thinking about evaluating, well then, you spend two hours each to do this very first step.
And that first step really involves just implementing the 5 P.M. Idea Validation Framework that I’ve talked about on this podcast. You can Google that if you aren’t aware of it. I’ve recorded a YouTube video about it, and I am including it in my next book, which is about the earliest stages of building and launching a SaaS, and that book is already written, actually. I’m just going back and revising a few elements of it, but 5 P.M. Idea Validation Framework is something that, where you go through several steps and you can do it in literally a couple of hours. So if you have five ideas and you want to spend 10 hours over the course of a weekend, or a week, to just get a little better picture of which of these ideas might be the winner …
And when I say winner, I mean better than the others. You go through the two-hour stage of the 2-20-200 framework. 20 hours is where you take it to the next step, and this is where you either do landing page validation, or you speak one-on-one with potential customers, or you do both. I tend to do both when I’m thinking about building a product. The idea, of course, is that if you’re going to have a marketing funnel and a low-touch product, then you put up that landing page and you try to drive traffic, and the way that you’re going to ultimately market the product, and you see what kind of opt-in you get, and you see what kind of traffic you get, and you see how many emails you collect, versus if you’re going to do high-touch sales, and obviously you want to have more conversations, I think doing both is always better.
The idea behind 20 hours is, “How long does it take you to put up a landing page and/or reach out to your warm network for these conversations or reach out to your cold network for these conversations?” Set up ads. SEO takes a while, but cold outreach, whatever you’re going to do to start gathering qualitative and quantitative data around this. You’re not just sitting in a research modem like you are with a SEO keyword tool maybe within the two-hour section of this, but you’re getting out and spending more time. This is where, if you have five ideas, you probably don’t want to do all five ideas at the 20-hour mark.
It’s just a lot of time to invest, and that’s where the first stage, where it’s only two hours into each idea, is helpful to maybe narrow you down to one or two, and then you move on to this second stage, where you spend 20-ish hours. And then the third stage is the 200-hour stage, and that’s where you think about building an MVP. And, of course, an MVP can be a no-code MVP. It can be a human automation MVP, like I talk about in Start Small, Stay Small, or it can be a full-blown coded MVP, and whether we call it an MVP or a V1 or something to get into the hands of people to see if they like it, what parts of it resonate and what don’t? And honestly, I’m putting together a video course right now for MicroConf that’s going to be out in several months, and I dive more deeply into this because there’s a lot to say about it.
But the idea behind the 2-20-200 framework is to level-set in your mind that it’s not just this big amorphous cloud of “Validate.” It is there are specific stages that you can go through. I’m not saying this is the only way to do it. You can validate any way you want, but this is just a repeatable way to think about, “How am I going to go about being a little more confident?” This is the thing, right now, you’re probably 0% confident that this is a great idea.
After two hours, are you 10 or 20%? After 20 hours, are you 30, 40%? After 200 hours, do you get to 50, 60, 70%? If it works, maybe. That’s kind of the goal, is to get a little more confidence before you invest a ton of time, tens of hours, if not, hundreds.
You get a little more confidence, that the thing might work and that you might actually be building something people want, because that really is the hard part, right, building something people want and are willing to pay for. Credit to Paul Graham for saying, “Building something people want.” I added the and are willing to pay for, but doing that is really hard. I’m not saying everything else is simple, but there certainly is more of a playbook once you’ve done that, and my hope is that the 2-20-200 validation framework can be a sort of … It’s not a playbook per se, but sort of a compass or a guiding light as you think about validating your ideas.
All right, my next topic of today is about design by committee and why I have always believed that it is by far the least efficient way to do things and that you just get bland, crappy output. Your art or your product or whatever it is usually sucks if a bunch of people have input into it. One example I can think of is every school project I ever did, where it was a group project, the more people involved, just the worse the quality was, right? Unless it was like a hand-picked group of people who are all on the same page and had the same vision, it was like the vision just tore everybody in different directions. And even at larger companies that I’ve worked at, after Drip was acquired, or with TinySeed, which isn’t a huge company, I tend to keep input to a minimum of, that everybody around here is really smart and competent because that’s what we like to hire, that’s who I want to work with, but I bring in one, maybe two people even to make really big decisions because the moment that I have six, seven, eight, nine people weighing in on a decision, A, it grinds it to a halt, and B, I find the output is subpar.
And that two exceptional people who are on the same page with a similar shared vision can build incredible things, but the moment you get to three, four, five, it can often derail that vision. One example of this is a Metallica album called St. Anger. And if you’ve ever watched Some Kind of Monster … That is a documentary. It’s like two and a half hours. It’s actually pretty long, but it’s of Metallica almost breaking up.
Is it 20 years ago now? Yeah, it’s probably about 20 years ago, and they bring in basically a therapist, like a … It’s like a marriage counselor. No, he’s actually a sports counselor, but if I recall, they’re paying him at 40 grand a month to be on call, and he’s trying to keep the band together. One of the things that a couple of the bandmates had an issue with was that two of the members of Metallica, Lars Ulrich and James Hetfield, had pretty much written all the songs up until then, and the band’s been together since what, the ’80s, since the early ’80s?
So I mean, you’re talking 20 plus years, and these two guys had written almost all the songs and almost all the lyrics. Other people would come in with a riff or whatever, but then they would take it and they’d run with it, and there were some complaints, I think it was mostly from Kirk Hammett who’s one of the guitarists, that they wanted input. And so in this documentary, Some Kind of Monster, it’s pretty fascinating documentary, actually. If you’re at all into their music, it’s cool, but even if not, just seeing the dynamics and the craziness of trying to keep a band together, it’s a fun watch. I’ve seen it a few times, but one thing they do is they are writing the songs together as a group, and you can …
It’s just painful. It is just painful to watch them come up with a riff and to hear the song be like, “This is actually a cool song,” and then they’re like, “Cool, so throw out lyrics,” and people are just throwing out random sentences that have nothing to do with each other, and they string them together as the lyrics to these songs. And so if you listen to the lyrics of that album, they’re terrible. They’re terrible, compared to the cohesive … Look, I’m not saying Metallica are the best lyricists at all before that, but at least there’s a story there.
At least there’s poetry. At least there’s a cohesiveness to each song prior to that, but on this album, in particular, which … Look, a lot of people hate on this album, especially folks who really are into Metallica. I actually really enjoy the snare sound. It sounds like he’s banging on a beer keg, but kind of has this weird …
It’s a different sound, and it has kind of almost a punk-ish vibe, even though they’re playing metal, but I don’t dislike the album specifically about two or three songs that are good, and the rest I would pass on, but even then, the lyrics are awful, and I don’t typically pay attention to lyrics that much in Metallica songs, but it is noticeably cringe. And I think 99, if not 100% of the reason, that is the case, is because they designed this by committee. They didn’t collaborate. They didn’t get two people or three people together and all with the same vision. It was, “You said you wanted to write, and the therapist said that we have to let you write, so let’s sit here and just write stuff out on a sheet of paper. Just call things out.”
It almost feels half-hearted, and it certainly feels like they did not put out the best end product they could have because of this one or two people doing it could have done a much better job than the group doing it together. And so why do I bring this up, and why does it relate to startups? Well, back to my point earlier of, whether you’re on a big team or a small team, I feel like some folks are uncertain around what they’re doing and they feel like getting more opinions will add more certainty to that. And what I’ve found in rare exceptions is that the more people get involved, the more noise there is, and more chaos is created. Now, I will say that I’ve found it helpful to kind of semi-crowdsource some naming stuff recently, where I am trying to …
I mean, I’ve had to name three books in the past. I guess it’s like maybe year, is that right? Yeah, probably last year, I’ve had to name three books and I’ll have to name a course, and I always want those names to be really good and catchy. And so I do brainstorming and I talk to some people and I go to ChatGPT, and I come up with a list, and then I narrow it down, or I come back three days later when it’s cold, and I start narrowing and narrowing, and then I start asking opinions, but I don’t go and ask 20 people’s opinion. I go to like …
I’ll say my inner circle, and it’s like three or four people that I trust, that I know have taste and I know have an understanding of the space, and I say, “Hey, I have this handful of titles.” I don’t give them 50 titles to choose from, but maybe I’ll give them three or four, what I call short titles, which is like The SaaS Playbook, right? That’s the short title, and then I give them three or four subtitles. And with The SaaS Playbook, it’s build a multi-million dollar startup without venture capital. And so I have three or four of my tops that came out of like 50 plus, but it’s usually pretty obvious which of these I think are going to be great, and I get feedback there, and then I iterate, and I might even brainstorm again, then I go a little broader.
I might go into the TinySeed Slack, or I might go to a MicroConf Slack, and get some input, and it’s always noisy, right? It’s always fuzzy. You’re guessing like, “Oh, all right, more people like this.” That doesn’t necessarily mean it’s the best one, I’m going to use it, but there’s a signal there, right? And then maybe after that, I might wind up on Twitter, and at that point, I’m probably trying to more confirm my own favorite pick or have two that are so similar that it maybe doesn’t matter, but I certainly don’t want to go to Twitter with 10 different options because you’re going to get 10% of the people liking each of the 10 options, and then how much good does that actually do you?
So I do think that getting a lot of voices and input at a certain point can help, especially the further along it is, right? Let’s say you’re building a feature, you’re trying to figure out how it is complicated, how to build it, you get one or two people together, and you crank on this thing, and you put it out, and it’s art and it’s science, and you’ve got this amazing screenshot or this design that you’re using, then you bring it to some people who maybe kind of know how your product works, so they’re kind of in the space, right? And then you bring it to a few inner circle customers, and then you get broader and broader and broader, but you refine it as you go. So I’m not saying you can’t get other voices involved, but if you start with 10 people trying to design that same screen or that same idea, it is so difficult, so time-consuming to get everyone on the same page in a way that you can then be productive and actually move forward in a way that’s not just compromise. “Well, we all disagree, so let’s just do the thing in the middle,” and the mushy middle is like eating a mayonnaise sandwich.
It’s very bland. A note to the listeners, I put mayonnaise on my turkey sandwiches. I also put mustard, and cheese, and often lettuce, and guacamole. I don’t dislike mayonnaise. Last time I said a mayonnaise sandwich, several people thought that I was ragging on mayonnaise, when in fact, what I’m ragging on is a sandwich that is made up of two pieces of white bread and mayonnaise in it.
That is the analogy I’m going for when I say a mayonnaise sandwich. If it had turkey in it, I’d call it a turkey sandwich, but in this case, I’m saying, yeah, two pieces of bread with mayonnaise is just very bland. That’s the analogy. That’s all we have time for today. Hope you enjoyed this episode.
Thank you for coming back this and every week, listening to Startups For the Rest of Us. If you haven’t given a five-star rating in iTunes, Apple Podcasts, Google Podcasts, Spotify, wherever your greater podcasts are served, really appreciate it. If you have, could you please go to Amazon or Audible and rate The SaaS Playbook as a five-star? You don’t even have to leave a review, I believe, and it helps me continue to progress on my mission to multiply the world’s population of independent self-sustaining startups. I’ve been doing that since I’ve started blogging in 2005, so almost 20 years.
Yeah, next year it’ll be 20 years, and each year, as I’ve pushed that boulder up the hill, I’ve been able to increase momentum and grow the audience and grow the number of people that are impacted by this message. At this point, I do it because it changes people’s lives. I want everyone who wants to be an entrepreneur to have the same freedom, purpose, and healthy relationships that you and I do, so I always appreciate any effort you can put forth to help me continue on that mission. This is Rob Walling signing off from episode 706.
Episode 615 | Bootstrappable Businesses, Cargo Culting, and How Pricing Affects Growth (A Rob Solo Adventure)
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In episode 615, join Rob Walling for a solo adventure where he covers what makes a business bootstrappable (and things to avoid), cargo culting, and how large of a business you can build at different customer lifetime value levels.
Episode Sponsor:
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Topics we cover:
[1:51] What makes a business bootstrappable?
[14:15] Cargo culting
[20:05] How large of a business can you build at a specific annual contract value or lifetime value?
Links from the Show:
- Bootstrapper’s Guide to Outside Funding
- Episode 613 I Hacking Your Founder Psychology
- Episode 602 I Explaining SaaS Metrics to a Child
If you have questions about starting or scaling a software business that you’d like for us to cover, please submit your question for an upcoming episode. We’d love to hear from you.
Subscribe & Review: iTunes | Spotify | Stitcher
Welcome back. It’s Startups For the Rest of Us. I’m Rob Walling. Thank you so much for joining me. Today, I’ll be talking through a couple topics inspired by listener questions, and then maybe one or two solo adventure topics that I’m going to bring in. So definitely going to hit on what makes a business bootstrappable versus not.
I want to talk about cargo culting in startups. I received a question about how large of a business can you build at specific levels of lifetime value or ACV. Depending on how long those take, I might add a fourth topic in as well.
Before I dive into that, it would be amazing, even if you’re subscribed to another tool, if you would go to Spotify right now type in Startups For the Rest of Us, give us a subscribe. If you’ve gotten value from this podcast and want to give a little bit back, I’d really appreciate it.
This episode is actually one of ‘the show must go on’ type episodes. I had a guest lined up and they had to postpone for a couple of weeks, and I hop on a plane to Scotland tomorrow. Not tomorrow when you’re hearing this but tomorrow when I recorded it. Since we ship every Tuesday morning for 600 and 15 episodes in 12 years, I want to get something out there. So I’m going to kick off.
The first topic is what makes a business bootstrappable versus not. This has come up a few times. There was a question, maybe six months ago about this. I listened back to that episode. I listened to the answer I gave and I felt like it was fine but it was not great. So I sat and actually gave it more thought. I wanted to revisit this topic. What I realized is that the default is bootstrapping, that I start by saying, every business is bootstrappable, except in these conditions.
These are seven or eight things where I think makes it a lot harder, or near impossible. The reason I start with the default is bootstrappable is traditionally if you just think about bootstrapping and venture funding, so you don’t take angel investments, or a TinySeed indie funding type thing. You just look at bootstrapping versus venture, even just in startups.
This is not in brick and mortar, not in dry cleaner car wash. You just think about software and tech, including hardware, biotech, just startups that are going to be high growth and become multimillion dollar businesses. I think somewhere in the neighborhood of 1% of those companies started each year or each decade or whatever you want to put it, are a fit for venture and should raise venture.
It’s a small number. Now maybe it’s 1.5% or maybe, I think the number is like 0.7% of companies that try to get venture funded, get it. Yeah, maybe the number is one or two, but it’s a small number. The rest have traditionally bootstrapped because that was what you did. It is the only option.
With indie funding coming out, where you have angel investors who are willing to put in money for a company that may throw off profits in the long term, and you have TinySeed willing to invest in smaller outcomes, if you sell for $10–$50 million, that is usually an abject failure for venture capitalists, but for TinySeed or for some angel investors, if you can invest at the right amount, then by the time you get to that $10, $20, $30 million, the return is ample enough that it that it works for you.
With the advent of that funding, I loosely think of it as this rule of 1-9-90, where around 1% should raise venture-backable businesses, around 9% should think about indie funding, and around 90% should probably still bootstrap. Again, maybe the indie funding number is 20%, but it’s not 50%. There are a lot more businesses that can and should be bootstrapped than there are should take any type of funding. There are a number of reasons for that.
But with that in mind, coming back to the question of what makes a business bootstrappable versus not, I’m going to say the default is that you should bootstrap unless, and then I’m going to walk through several points. The first one I thought of is revenue is pushed down the line, meaning think of Facebook, and how long they had to exist before they could monetize it. Google is similar, where they had to have servers and developers and build up these networks, and Facebook had to move from school to school.
A lot of expense there where they needed money for that because the ad model is way down the line. Usually, if a startup uses the ad revenue model, the revenue is pushed way down the line because they don’t run ads from the start. You need to get traction. As you start getting traction, you can raise money and as you raise money, you don’t need the ad revenue. Frankly, building ad tech is difficult. Also, if you have it too early, you don’t gain the traction and the momentum.
You need that critical mass. So if you imagine Google or Facebook having ads from day one, it could have changed the outcome. If your revenue is pushed way down the line, and this includes even Dropbox, where they’re free. They are freemium and you can get a lot of value out of Dropbox.
I don’t remember the exact number of megabytes you can get before you have to pay them. But I remember using it for quite a long time. It wasn’t until I started doing video and more audio that I needed to start paying for Dropbox. I think back in the day, Dropbox used to say, of all of our customers that sign up in a given year, it’s like 2%–3% convert to paid within a year.
Think about all that they have, the support and all costs of that hardware, of the storage, of customer support, and all that money is pushed on the line. But they built a pretty good business on it. Revenue is pushed down the line. If it is postponed and you can’t just monetize early that were SaaS, we charge $50 a month. First day, you’re a customer, right? That is the opposite.
The second thing that makes a business really hard to bootstrap is if the market is winner-takes-all, meaning something like Uber, where really Uber and Lyft are wanting to. And when I say winner-takes-all, you know what that phrase means. It doesn’t actually mean all, but it does mean most.
Uber is big, and it’s a lot bigger than Lyft. It’s because it needed to move very quickly. Because once everyone has that Uber app downloaded, both the drivers—two-sided marketplace—and the folks that need rides are unlikely to download another app unless Uber really makes big mistakes, which they did.
If you watch the growth of Lyft when Travis Kalanick was making his mistakes, getting ousted as the CEO, and Uber was talked about having such a toxic corporate work culture, if they hadn’t done that—it was a huge stumble—I think they would still be many, many, many times Lyft. Lyft played a big catch up because I know that a lot of people actually deleted Uber at that time.
With that said, if it’s a winner-takes-all market, you have to move really fast. Amazon was in another space like that where it’s like, yes, there are other online retailers. But who else? It’s like Walmart, aren’t they number two in e-commerce? But Walmart had 60 years and thousands and thousands of stores already. So that’s how they got in.
That’s not a bootstrap. They didn’t bootstrap that. They put tons of money behind it. Ecommerce on the internet. Again, winner takes all does not mean 100%, but Amazon has a huge chunk of that, and Jeff Bezos knew that and therefore did not try to bootstrap Amazon. He raised funding from the early days.
Another thing that makes a business hard to bootstrap is—similar to Uber—a two-sided marketplace. If you have reach into one or both of those sides—you already have an audience of drivers or of folks who want a ride or you already have an audience of people applying for jobs and employers who might hire folks—it’s a different story. But if you literally have zero audience in a space, and you’re trying to do a two-sided marketplace—no reach, no customer list—bootstrapping this is very, very difficult.
Even if it’s not winner-takes-all. Not all two-sided marketplaces are winner-takes-all. Elance, Upwork, guru.com, there are others. Now I would say that Upwork has certainly owned most of the market. I don’t even know if it’s the majority. But there are other two-sided marketplaces in that space. Bootstrapping them would be very difficult. I don’t know which of those three bootstrapped if any.
But if I were starting a two-sided marketplace, I would either want reach into one or two of the sides, or I would want buckets of money to be able to reach, because it’s like launching two SaaS products at once. Because you have to have two go-to-market strategies. I mean, it’s just such a headache. You’ve heard me say this before, please stop trying to bootstrap two-sided marketplaces, if you don’t have an advantage.
Another thing that makes it hard to bootstrap—it’s possible, but it’s hard—hardware. It’s just really expensive. I heard from a friend who ran a SaaS company, who then started a hardware company. He said, this is ridiculously hard, ridiculously expensive, and takes forever. So is it possible? Sure it is. Is it easy? No, it’s not. I would certainly think about raising funding if I was going to do it, if it’s a hardware biotech with big R&D expenses.
Another thing that makes bootstrapping hard is similar to that pushing revenue down the line, but it’s taking a percentage, a cut of processed revenue. A good example of this is Stripe. Stripe takes 2.9% plus a transaction fee. That would be very, very, very difficult to bootstrap that business. Because all the infrastructure you have to build upfront, in order to support that, then people just trickle in and you’re taking 3% of $1,000 the first few months, so you take in $30 off of that.
How do you pay for the servers? Even if you’re coding yourself, how do you keep yourself alive and everything, in terms of having money to live? That is why Stripe went through YC and then they obviously raised a kajillion dollars. Is it possible to have, let’s say, an ecommerce startup where it’s like an abandoned cart software or even start a shopping cart of your own or whatever to compete with Shopify, have a niche and take a cut of revenue? Sure it is.
I did notice when Shopify launched back in 2006 or 2007, they were purely a percentage of GMV (gross merchant value), a percentage of the revenue. They quickly switched that within six months to where they have subscriptions. Same thing with Gumroad. Gumroad originally just took a cut. I think it was like 8% total. So it was like 3%, whatever it was, it doesn’t really matter what it was. But now they’ve really been pushing their subscription plans since then.
Another thing that makes a business not bootstrappable or harder to bootstrap is having massive per user costs. Even if it’s not massive, not having monetization. So I guess this ties into the earlier one of really pushing revenue down the line, but it is having higher per user.
I come back to Dropbox. When they launched—which was over a decade ago—they couldn’t use AWS because it was too expensive. They rolled their own hardware in data centers. There’s an upfront cost to buy those and to store everything.
Then the last two are needing a network effect, which I guess really is like, mostly a two-sided marketplace. But you could have three sides and everything. So that relates to the two-sided marketplace.
Then the last one I was thinking of, which I don’t actually think should be included in this list but I wrote it down with a question mark. I was saying, bootstrappable businesses, I was thinking that it’s easier to bootstrap a business when the audience is online, the customer base is online. Then I looked at how many TinySeed companies are going after home improvement contractors, CAD engineers, lawyers, investment firms that invest in derivatives, there’s a whole list.
Yes, these people, it’s not that these customers are not sending email or using web browsers. But they are not hanging out on Twitter, in private Slack groups, on Facebook groups, on Stack Exchange, Hacker News, and Reddit in the way that developers, designers, founders, and some other groups are.
Everyone is “buying” anything that’s online. But what I mean is, are they really hanging out and easy to reach? Home improvement contractors, construction firms, architects, interior designers. There are some hunts where they hang out, but it’s not going to be at the level of technical folks.
Originally, I was thinking, I’ve always targeted folks who are online because I’m on online marketing. I’m not going to do a lot of cold calling and in-person events and stuff. But I actually think it is a great opportunity there.
I know there’s a great opportunity because I see the companies that we’ve funded and the companies in the MicroConf space that are actually going for audiences that are mostly not online. Is it more expensive to reach them? Yes. That’s why your price point is higher. Your ACV affords you the luxury of doing that. There’s often less competition. It’s more of that customer paying than it is the competitor paying.
So that was my list. It’s probably not exhaustive, but I wanted to put it down here because I felt like my last answer was shorter. I didn’t think I communicated it in the way that I wanted. So hopefully those seven points helped give you a frame of reference when you’re thinking about your next business.
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Alright, my next topic is cargo culting. If you haven’t heard that term, I’m going to read a little bit from the Wikipedia page that essentially defines it. A cargo cult is a belief system of indigenous people in Melanesia.
Basically during the Second World War, allied military forces used to airdrop supplies in large numbers, and technology and all that stuff. Then the soldiers who were on the ground in Melanesia would trade with the islanders.
After the war the soldiers leave, and this thing called a cargo cult arose. Cargo is what was being dropped and the indigenous people attempted to imitate the behaviors of the soldiers, thinking this would cause the soldiers and their cargo to return.
This included things like dressing like a soldier, performing parade ground drills with wooden or salvaged rifles. They misattributed what was bringing the cargo, which was completely unrelated to them being soldiers, and it was completely related to someone flying a plane over and dropping all the supplies. So that’s the definition of it.
I see this in startups where some startups are not successful because they did things. They’re successful in spite of the things that they did, in spite of the decisions they made. I brought this example before where it’s like Apple or Basecamp, or someone says, well, they just built great products, and they didn’t do marketing.
I do believe Jason Fried and David Heinemeier Hansson came out and said, yeah, we don’t do marketing. We don’t track metrics. We built a great product, that stuff. To be honest, Dave eased up on that (I think) on that narrative. When I interviewed Jason Fried a couple years ago at MicroConf, that’s not how it came across. Actually, he said, we did some things right. We also got lucky. And I appreciated that honesty from him.
But there are other examples of this of, you take 100 companies that do tracks or analytics. They are doing blocking and tackling marketing, whether that’s SEO content, pay per click, cold outreach, partnerships, integrations, whatever, all the things that we talked about on the show. The 100 companies that are doing those, from what I see, from my experience, the companies who succeed are doing those things.
If you took 100 companies who just said, well, I’m just going to deliver a great product, a couple of them would succeed. They will get lucky. I talk about hard work, luck, and skill. In this case, I’m basically saying blocking and tackling is having the skill to do it then putting in the hard work.
Could you feasibly have really little hard work and skill and just get really lucky? Absolutely. Out of 100–500, even bootstrapped startups, you’re going to have a few that do. That survivor bias pointing to them, and then saying, well, look, they made it work. They built this amazing business. All they did was build a great product. I say, no, that’s not all they did. They also got really lucky,
They were either super early to a space. They accidentally stumbled into just a huge vacuum of demand, which is unusual these days in software. Most demand has been satiated by some type of product. So there is some competition.
Let’s say a product was beloved by everyone, and then got hacked and was shut down or it got sold and shut down. Suddenly, there was a big vacuum there. You went in and realized, oh, I can build this product. You need to have some skill, and then put in the hard work to build a good or great product.
But if that demand was already existing, and you jumped right in, you can’t say, we didn’t need to do marketing so you don’t either. Because unless you—you being the other person listening to them—have the same situation where you’ve stumbled into this amazing demand, or super early to a space where it’s like, oh, my gosh, this tool or this ecosystem is taking off WordPress or Stripe or No-Code or you know something where you just hit it at just the right time.
Again, maybe it’s skill that you did that, or maybe it’s luck. But unless the other person also has that in place, you’ve succeeded, probably in spite of some of the things you didn’t do rather than because you didn’t market.
I’ve talked about being early and getting lucky for other reasons. I’ve heard some stories where the founder is almost acting coy, like they succeeded without working hard. Like yeah, we just made it. Either we’re that good or I don’t know, they don’t want to admit the hustle.
Again, except for a couple founders I know who have gotten exceptionally lucky, I can’t think of any founders I know who have not worked their ass off to build a great company. It is a lot of hard work in getting some things right and some things wrong. But it’s moving fast, it’s working on the right things, it’s being willing to make mistakes, and it’s being willing to put in the hard work.
By hard work, I don’t mean 80-hour weeks, I mean really focused time of executing on something and not being all over the place, not skipping from one thing to the next, not doing things half ass, like seeing them through and showing up every day. Whether it’s a podcast, or a SaaS app, or a book, showing up every day and shipping and getting something out into the world.
I think that’s all I have to say on cargo culting, I just wanted to bring it up as something to be aware of. I think it’s an anti-pattern, right? It’s an anti-pattern to look around and think that you don’t need a lot of the tools.
You know what? We want the world to be that way, don’t we? We want to just I’m a product person. I want to just build a great product. I really don’t want to have to market it. I want it to market itself. It just doesn’t happen that way very often. It’s very, very rare.
Sherry talks about this. She comes on the show periodically. The last time she came on the show, she talked about her new book that launched. She said she really just wanted her to get a book deal because the book is great. But in fact, without a social media presence, without an email list, without some type of audience and name, she said she couldn’t get a book deal, and that sucks.
I don’t want the world to be that way. But those are the facts. It’s just the way the world is and I feel similar about startups. It’s like it’s easy to want to think that the world is a certain way. But I think the reality is quite different.
All right, the last topic of the day is a question from Brian. He actually made a comment on the startupsfortherestofus.com website. He was talking about the episode where I explained SaaS metrics to my 11 year old at the time.
Brian says, “Great episode, extremely bright child.” Thanks, Brian. He says, “The example you used in this episode produced a lifetime customer value of $200, which you described as an amount that is ‘fine’ for a small business but really hard to grow a company.
Perhaps an idea for an upcoming episode could be to look at different lifetime value metrics in a bit more detail and map these on to different kinds or sizes of businesses. I know this is quite macro, and you would have to speak in general terms, but I personally would find this episode really helpful for loose mapping of future business product pathways in my own projects.”
I summarized this as, ‘how large of a business can you build at a specific level of ACV (annual contract value) or lifetime value?’ I think it’s a great question. I think there’s a pretty simple answer to it. Of course, podcast drinking game, it depends. Yes, I got it in there. But realistically, my rules of thumb or my mental generalizations are, let’s think about it as ACV because lifetime value can be misleading. Because if you have very, very low churn like 1% a month, then you’ll get your lifetime value from that customer over 8.33 years.
That’s not helpful when you’re bootstrapping because you’re going to run out of cash. I like to think about either average revenue per account (ARPA) per month, or we can say ACV, which is just how much you receive on average from each customer in a year. So one of those is much more relevant. Because as a bootstrapper, you need the short payback periods from your marketing.
If you’re doing pay per click ads, four months, six months, seven months, you get further out than that. You just need more cash in the bank and quite a bit in order to not go to zero before you pay that back.
Here are some general rules of thumb. Usually, in most cases and almost all the cases I see, the lower your price point, the higher your churn. The lower your price point, the lower your lifetime value, not only because of the numerator, but because of the denominator. If you remember, lifetime value is your average revenue per account per month divided by your churn percent.
So if it’s $50 a month of charging and 5%, churn then it’s 50 divided by 0.05, which is a $1000 lifetime value. If your churn is high, and your average revenue per account is low, it goes double really fast in terms of lifetime value. So that’s point one.
The hard part about saying how large of a business can you build at a specific revenue per month or annual contract value really depends on the size of the market. Because look at Netflix, or Spotify, or any of these subscription services aimed towards consumers where they’re charging $6–$15? That’s the big range, but they build nine-figure ARR businesses, is that right?
Yeah, that’s hundreds of millions? If not, do any of these get into the billions in revenue? I actually don’t know. But I wish there were textboxes on the Internet. I could type these questions into and just give me the answer instantly.
But you get my point. You can build a massive business, but you need massive scale. You need a huge total addressable market and total reachable market. That is not what most of us as bootstrappers are going to be able to do.
You can’t just think about how large of a business at a specific ACV. It doesn’t map. But I will say in general in the bootstrapped software space, the bootstrapped SaaS, you do have to think about the total reachable market.
Let’s say that you have podcast hosting or podcast editing software or something like that and your price points are a bit lower, because you have prosumers and others using it. Your price points are in the $10–$100 for most and then you do have some enterprise folks in a dual funnel. That space is large and it’s growing.
Versus if you are starting a business that serves construction firms, or that serves venture funds, venture firms, or accelerators, there aren’t that many. They actually are pretty easy to reach than construction firms, but there are not millions of those available.
There are tens of thousands. It’s not a huge number. Your ACV or your average revenue per account per month per year has to be pretty high. I’m thinking along lines of $5000, $10,000, $25,000, $50,000 a year in order to justify the work to sell and support if it’s construction firms or just the small market of accelerators or venture funds.
Versus you can build a multimillion-dollar or an eight figure business in podcasting with that probably not average revenue per account of 20—I would hope it would be more than that—but certainly it can be a lot lower.
Similar to email service providers, like Drip’s lowest pricing plan was $50. Average revenue per account depended on that at the time, but let’s say it was $70 to $100 for a certain period of time, but that email space is huge. The number of companies that need an email service provider, the expansion revenue, and the ease of marketing in that space means we can acquire customers for not very very much, basically.
The ACV could be a lot lower than someone selling into a space where everything is cold outreach. Where it’s like, I’m going to do LinkedIn, I’m going to do in-person events, I’m going to do cold calls.
These are the axes I’m looking at. How hard is it to find your customers? Are they online? Are they online all the time? It’s the Hacker News crowd and Reddit and just developers and that kind of thing? And you just build that audience and get it going? Or are they really hard to reach and you’re going to have to be doing the calls? The cold calling.
These are really the drivers of how big of a business you can grow, as well as that total reachable market term. No one says it that way. But TRM, I don’t know how else you would say that. The total reachable market of how many folks that you can actually reach that you could potentially convert, and then the average revenue per account in churn. Those are the things I would put into a blender.
Again, it can range. There have been businesses that have applied to TinySeed. I think one that got in there had 1500 potential customers. That’s it. There’s a way to expand beyond that, but it’s a very small number. As a result, for us to invest in that company thinking it gets into the millions of dollars in ARR, that company has to charge a lot more. Again, $25,000–50,000 per customer per year in order to justify that.
So I like this question, Brian. I appreciate you sending it in because I think it’s good for us to think about these rules of thumb and to think about the axes of it’s not just a CV, but it’s what’s the cost to acquire the customers, what’s the churn like, and what are our price points like? I hope me talking that through was helpful not only for Brian, but for you as a listener.
Thanks again for joining me this week. As a reminder, if you have Spotify, it would be amazing if you search for Startups For the Rest of Us, give us a subscribe, and a like. I don’t think it’s a like. It’s probably a thumbs up or a five star rating or something to really help us get just a little more traction, a few more listeners, and I’d really appreciate it. This is Rob Walling, signing off from episode 615.
Episode 602 | Explaining SaaS Metrics to a Child
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In episode 602, Rob Walling explains SaaS metrics to his kid. This is a great episode to listen to if you are unfamiliar or not well-versed in SaaS because we dig into from first principles, starting with dollars, revenue, and the purpose of businesses, all the way to SaaS metrics like MRR, ACV, and LTV. And, even if you are well-versed in SaaS metrics, you’ll likely learn a few things from this conversation.
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Topics we cover:
[1:55] MicroConf Local London tickets are on sale
[3:17] Starting with the basics: money, dollars, and businesses
[7:01] Revenue
[7:12] Expenses
[10:51] SaaS
[13:29] Recurring revenue
[13:58] Average revenue per account (ARPA)
[14:56] Monthly recurring revenue (MRR)
[15:08] Average revenue per customer
[17:08] Annual contract value (ACV)
[18:18] Churn
[19:30] Differences between Revenue Churn and Customer Churn
[21:18] Lifetime value
[22:10] Average customer lifetime value
[25:49] Customer Acquisition Cost (CAC)
If you have questions about starting or scaling a software business that you’d like for us to cover, please submit your question for an upcoming episode. We’d love to hear from you.
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I was inspired to do this episode by a quote that’s attributed to a bunch of different people. I think most often if you search for this quote, you find it attributed to Einstein. I don’t know if he actually said it, but it basically says, “If you can’t explain a concept to a child, then you don’t understand it deeply enough.” When I heard that, I thought SaaS metrics are so boring, convoluted, and complex.
What’s cool in this episode is actually certain metrics, I say monthly recurring revenue, what does that mean? Then he’s able to define it because the definition is in the three words, but then there are a couple of terms where it’s not obvious what they actually mean. You can hear him thinking about it, because he doesn’t speak the jargon like a lot of us do. You can hear him struggling to define it. I’m going to actually say, yeah, that’s a bad name for this thing but it’s just what is generally acceptable at this point. It’s what most of us use.
Anyway, I hope you enjoy this episode. It’s very different from a lot of the stuff that I do on the show. But I would say that if you are maybe unfamiliar or not super versed in SaaS metrics, this is a good episode for you, because we really do dig in from first principles, starting with dollars, then making it all the way to lifetime value and a few others.
I was also going to do expansion revenue, but it was running long so I decided not to do that. Even if you already know SaaS metrics, I still think you’ll learn something from this because I’ll be honest, I learned a few things from this conversation as well.
Before we dive into that, tickets to MicroConf Local in London are on sale. Actually, they are going fast. I think we’re going to sell out, if we haven’t already, because I’m recording this a week or two in advance. But if you go to microconf.com, you can go to our events menu and snag a ticket assuming they’re still available.
Local:London is a one-day event, May 18. We’re going to be hosting three or four amazing speakers. Asia Orangio will be there, and Brennan Dunn. I’m going to be there doing a talk. It’s just a fun get together. It’s a fun gathering to be able to hang out with other Microsoft bootstrapped and mostly bootstrapped founders. And we keep the ticket price really low. It’s around £200, depending on a few factors.
Hopefully, that’s something that you can make it too because I would love to see you and do a fist bump. I never fist bump before COVID, but now, unfortunately, that’s just a better way to do things than shaking people’s hands. Anyway, I would love to meet you face-to-face, if you’re listening to this, and you’re able to make it. With that, let’s dive in to me explaining SaaS metrics to my 11-year old.
Rob: So you know why we’re here today, right?
Fisher: Yes.
Rob: I want to start at the beginning with the basics. Do you know what a dollar is?
Fisher: Yes.
Rob: Of course Do you know that dollars can buy […]?
Fisher: Yes, they can also buy other things.
Rob: So dollars are our currency. Do you know that there are other currencies in other countries?
Fisher: Yes.
Rob: Can you name one?
Fisher: British Pounds.
Rob: There you go. You like the Brits, don’t you?
Fisher: Sure, why not?
Rob: So dollars are what make our economy go around and it’s what you would get paid if you get a job. Do you get paid dollars on any recurring basis?
Fisher: Yeah, I have an allowance for doing chores and such.
Rob: Cool. You get that money from us. Where do your mother and I get our dollars? How do we make our dollars?
Fisher: From your jobs being an entrepreneur.
Rob: Right. So we have jobs that are maybe a little different. I know you know different than most people. You and I know some folks who work as teachers, or who work as doctors. They are paid by a school or by a hospital. But your mother and I run our own companies.
You know what a business is, right? Can you summarize what a business or a company is? Why you might want to start one?
Fisher: I guess an organization of multiple people with what’s the defining factor of a business, like a pyramid of authority, hierarchy with someone at the top.
Rob: Oh, that’s interesting. You think about that. That’s the internal structure. Sometimes the business is just one person like your mom, really until the last six or eight months. It was just her in ZenFounder, so there wasn’t any need for that authority or internal structure. I think of a business as an organization that seeks to produce a profit by creating something that people value enough to pay for.
Fisher: Organization of people.
Rob: Yeah, one or more people. Here in the US, they’re called LLC, you can have a sole proprietorship, you can have a C-Corp. Then in Britain, they have a Limited Corp, I think, Private Limited. You’ll have to forgive me, I’m still just learning that stuff. But that business, because there are nonprofit organizations that are set up to do certain things, there are benefit corporations, but really what we’re talking about is a for profit company. What does a for profit company do, do you think?
Fisher: I don’t know. They give people stuff and people give them money.
Rob: Right. Examples of that, can you think of any companies that you buy things from with your dollars?
Fisher: I don’t know, Lego?
Rob: That’s a good example. Target.
Fisher: I sometimes buy stuff from Target.
Rob: Buy Lego from Target.
Fisher: Lego usually, as well. I don’t know. Amazon has better prices, but they’re a massive mega corporation. So is Target […].
Rob: So Amazon’s another business that you give your money to. Ultimately, there’s a lot of (I think) nuance around profit being the main motive of companies, or just one of several because there are these multiple bottom line-companies now that want to make a profit and also help people, which I think is good and noble; I’m actually invested in a couple of those.
Let’s say that you pay your money to a business like Target or Lego. For every dollar you give them, it costs them $1.20 to produce, market, ship, and provide you with that product.
Fisher: Then they’re losing money, though.
Rob: Okay, so does that work or not?
Fisher: No, they’ll bankrupt themselves.
Rob: Okay, good. So you’re already bringing in a term of bankruptcy. That’s great. When you give them money, do you know the term for that, what they call that inside their company?
Fisher: Revenue?
Rob: That’s right. Revenue is the dollar you give them. But what if it costs them 70 cents to manufacture and provide all the service or the product to you? Do you know what that’s called? That 70 cents.
Fisher: I don’t know. 70 cents relative to a hundred would be profit, but I don’t know it. Manufacturing costs, maybe?
Rob: Yeah. There are two things. You’re getting at it well, actually. The global term or high-level term is an expense. There’s revenue and expense. But you’re even going within expenses. There’s something called cost of goods sold. It’s also often summarized as COGS, that is manufacturing cost, shipping, and some basics.
We have revenue, which is the dollar. You want to say $100, that makes more sense to you because you never give Lego $1. Let’s give them $100 for a set. And all of their expenses, including their COGS and shipping and Target takes when they sell it to them is 70 cents. That’s their expense. Then the 30 cents that’s leftover for Lego.
Fisher: $30.
Rob: $30 that’s right. I’m still in the dollar. Yup. The $30 leftover is?
Fisher: The profit.
Rob: Yeah, there you go. Okay, so now we have business fundamentals. We have money, revenue, expenses, and profit. Okay. Now I want to switch up the business type and switch from Lego to (let’s say) that I started a software company or you started a software company. That’s now the product you’re selling. To get started, can you name a few pieces of software that you use on a daily or weekly basis?
Fisher: What software, like programs?
Rob: Yeah, just name a few. There are a bunch of them, right?
Fisher: Like apps, I suppose.
Rob: Include games.
Fisher: I play Rec Room and Minecraft sometimes.
Rob: I think we paid for Minecraft on the iPad. I think Rec Room is free, but there’s currency inside of it. That’s going to be their revenue stream. What else?
Fisher: What else? What other programs? I don’t know the Amazon App if I want to.
Rob: Yeah, that’s software, but realistically, so Amazon, you don’t pay for their software. That’s just a catalog to buy through them. How about, wasn’t there one called Kahoot!?
Fisher: That’s like a quizzing app.
Rob: Right. But didn’t we pay? You downloaded it for free then you could pay for a premium plan.
Fisher: That was Lookit for school. It’s like Kahoot!
Rob: They’re learning apps and we paid a subscription. You get some special stuff, right? Some upgrade. How about other software? Those software all download to your iPad, and it runs locally. You could turn off WiFi and it would work. What about software like Google Drive, Google Docs, and Google Sheets? Those run on the Internet, don’t they?
I know there’s an offline mode, but let’s just assume that there was no offline mode, because there was actually many, many years before they had that. Realistically, you need WiFi to access that, don’t you?
Fisher: To access a document?
Rob: Yeah, in Google Docs.
Fisher: Yeah. I guess.
Rob: Like to edit a document without offline mode.
Fisher: Assuming there’s no offline mode, yeah, you would need WiFi.
Rob: Do you use any online web-based video or photo editors or is it all app-based?
Fisher: I use Adobe Express Photoshop sometimes.
Rob: Is that downloaded onto your iPad? Is it an app or is it in a browser?
Fisher: It’s both.
Rob: Got it. It’s both. Okay. So that’s the thing. If it’s local, it’s downloaded to your iPad, then it’s just software or apps programs, as you said. If it’s any browser, there’s this term, and it’s Software as a Service. The term is terrible. So it’s SaaS, right?
Fisher: Wouldn’t it be a service, if it was an app?
Rob: There can be a money line where Google Drive or Google Docs, you can access it in the browser, and it goes out onto the Internet into their servers to retrieve your documents is what it is. But they also make an app. It’s the confusing part. They also make an app but that also goes out to the server, they call it in the cloud, right? You’ve heard this. It goes out to the Google servers to pull your docs back when you want to edit them.
Fisher: Docs also just redirects you to the app.
Rob: Got it. So the app versus browser thing maybe is not the best distinction. But I think the big thing is Software as a Service is where your data is usually not hosted locally. It’s hosted not locally on your machine, but it’s hosted on Google’s servers, or it’s hosted on Dropbox’s servers.
Think of Spotify, which is more of an entertainment app. I create playlists and those playlists live on the Spotify servers. I can access them from any device. Software as a service, terrible name, agree?
Fisher: Sure. It’s not like you build your company around it or anything.
Rob: What company are you referring to?
Fisher: I don’t know. You use that term a lot. It’s not like you build your life around that term.
Rob: Well, because Drip was Software as a Service.
Fisher: Not that not that much exaggeration, to be honest, but yeah.
Rob: Right, my life is built around it. Well, that’s the thing. It’s this very left brain nerdy term that I think is overly technical. I wish there was a better term for what we do. So you remember Drip, it was software that people could use to build their email list so they could communicate with their audience. Remember that?
Fisher: Yeah.
Rob: Okay. People paid monthly for Drip. That’s Software as a Service. That’s usually monthly or annual. It’s not a one time fee. Some of the apps that we buy that you pay for like Angry Birds, Plants vs. Zombies, where you pay $5 or $10. Then you don’t subscribe. You just get to play the game.
Fisher: Yeah, you did it yourself by using those two examples.
Rob: Yeah, you get it?
Fisher: Yeah. They’re good games, though. Yeah, that is the case. You buy the game and then you play it.
Rob: Right. Well, Software as a Service is different. You get what’s called recurring revenue. What do you think that means?
Fisher: Recurring revenue is revenue that reoccurs. So multiple payments in a month or a week.
Rob: Right. It’s standardized. It could be anything, but it’s kind of standardized in general on monthly payments or yearly payments. Those are usually the two options, I’d say in 80% of the cases. What if I were to give you this phrase, average revenue per account per month, average revenue per account? What do you think that means?
Fisher: Account?
Rob: Yeah. There’s a different way to say it, average revenue per customer.
Fisher: Okay, if an account is paying $5 for your service a month, that would be in fact, the average revenue per customer per month.
Rob: That’s exactly right. In this case, account and customer are interchangeable; ARPC or ARPA. What if I had 10 customers or 10 accounts paying me $5 a month, then I had 10 paying me $15 a month because they use the more premium version. What would my average revenue per account be?
Fisher: 10 paying you $5 and 10 paying you $15. $15 times 10 is $150 and $5 times 10 is $50. So you get $200 in revenue a month for your service.
Rob: Awesome. So that’s total revenue per month. That’s called MRR. Monthly recurring revenue. MRR is what you just defined. That is the total monthly revenue that I get from all of my customers. What is the average revenue per customer? Because I have 20 customers.
Fisher: 5 and 15, $10 per customer averaging?
Rob: That’s correct. Yup, exactly. You could get there one of two ways, the same amount are paying you $5 and $15 that it’s in the middle at $10. Or you could get your MRR, you went to MRR, which is $200. Then you said, I’m going to take my MRR, and I’m going to divide it by my number of customers. That’s the formula for average revenue per customer. So you came across $10. Now $10 would be very low and you’d have high churn, but we’re not going to do that today.
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So we have MRR, we have average revenue per customer or average revenue per account. What do you think I mean when I say annual contract value or ACV?
Fisher: The word that confuses me is contract. Annual is yearly, and value would be how much is worth relative to something else, but contract?
Rob: Yeah, it’s weird. It’s another clunky phrase that I wish was different. Maybe ACV stood for annual customer value, the value that I received from a customer in a given year.
Fisher: It would make more sense.
Rob: Yeah. And do you know what that means? Let’s say a customer pays me $10 a month, what do you think is their annual customer or contract value?
Fisher: 10 times 12 is $120.
Rob: Right. So that’s it. That’s ACV.
Fisher: $120 a year?
Rob: Yeah, but if you get a thousand of them, then you get $120,000 a year. With that, I want to cover just a couple of more things. This is all revenue. You notice that this is all money coming in. We haven’t talked in SaaS about anything going out. So we’ve talked about MRR, ARPA or ARFC, annual contract value.
One of the hardest parts about SaaS is that your customers can cancel anytime. What if a customer, if you say they’re going to pay me $10 a month, do they pay you that forever? What if someone decides they don’t need it after three months and they cancel? How much have they paid you?
Fisher: $10 a month that’d be $30. You’re expecting $120.
Rob: Right. So in that case, you expected them to pay you $120 in a year, but they only paid you $30 and they’re gone. Do you know the word for that when someone cancels that we use inside SaaS?
Fisher: Cancel? I don’t know.
Rob: Yeah, that’s called cancellation. But the way we represent it as a metric or as a number is we call it churn. Churn is the percentage of your customers who cancel in a given month. Churn with an N. Churn. You know, like churning butter. It’s that word. The reason it’s called that (I think) is because it’s like you’re churning butter. It’s you’re turning it over. You turn butter over and over to make cream, white milk. You turn cream over and over to make butter.
You can tell I’ve lived on a farm. But you’re turning customers over in this case. What if I had 100 customers at the start of a month, and then 10 customers canceled during that month? What do you think as a percentage? What do you think my churn would be?
Fisher: 10 out of 100 would be 10%. So you have 10% churn.
Rob: That’s correct. That’s called customer churn. There’s also something called revenue churn, which is, let’s say I had $10,000 a month in MRR (monthly recurring revenue) and $1000 worth of MRR canceled. It doesn’t matter if it’s one big customer, or if it’s a thousand $1 customers, but it’s that amount of MRR churn. So $1000 out of $10,000. What would that revenue churn be?
Fisher: $1000 out of $10,000. $1 out of $10 or $10 out of $100 revenue churn.
Rob: Right, 10%. It’s the same number because these are contrived examples. 10% churn, does that sound high to you or low to you?
Fisher: I don’t know.
Rob: Imagine that every month you turn 10% of your customer base. So you go from 100 down to 90.
Fisher: That’s quite high.
Rob: Then you churn nine that month, because it’s 10%. So now you’re at 81 then you churn 8.1.
Fisher: And then you bankrupt yourself.
Rob: Well, that’s what happens, right? 10%, churn, I believe you, you churn out 90% of your customers, and I forget what the number is, but it’s eight months or something. It’s the end. It’s expensive to find new customers. It’s the death of SaaS growth, it makes it hard to grow when people are canceling. That’s a more advanced topic to talk about, eliminating churn and why that happens and all this.
But I want to get to this concept called lifetime value, which is what do you think that means, lifetime value of a customer?
Fisher: The only thing I could guess is, how much money they could give you in their lifetime, I guess? I don’t know.
Rob: That is another one where lifetime is maybe not the best term for what it is. It’s like the relationship value of the customer.
Fisher: The lifetime is how long they use.
Rob: Yup. How long they use your software, how long they pay you for your software. That makes sense. We call it lifetime value. It should honestly be relationship value or something like that. Let’s say someone signs up, they pay you $10 a month, and they stick around for 20 months, and then they cancel, what was their lifetime value?
Fisher: Okay, they gave you $200.
Rob: That’s right. Usually you don’t look at it as an individual customer. You look at an aggregate because when you have a thousand customers, they’re all paying you different amounts. Some cancel at month 6, at 9, at 12. You have to average it out. To calculate the average lifetime value of your customer, first, you need to calculate the average lifetime of your customer, the average time a customer stays with you.
I want to name the formula for this and have you tell me if you think it’s intuitive or not. If you had 5% churn, for easy math, it would be 1 over 5% which is 1 over 0.05. How many months is that? One divided by 0.05 is the number of months, the average lifetime of your customer.
Fisher: 2?
Rob: Close to estimate, it’s zero.
Fisher: 20?
Rob: Yeah, if it was 0.5, that’d be 50%, and your average lifetime, it would be? So the lifetime average would be 10 months or 20 months with those numbers. The way you get your lifetime value of a customer— remember this is relationship value—is you take that lifetime, 10 months, 20 months, and you multiply it times your average revenue per customer. If we go back to our example earlier, average revenue per customer per month is $10. Remember, we did the average. If your average lifetime is 20 months, we take 20 times $10. Audio math is riveting, isn’t it?
Fisher: Equals $2000?
Rob: $200. That’s an average revenue over the lifetime of your customer. It’s called the lifetime value of a customer on average. And $200 is actually fine for a small business. It’s really, really hard to grow a company with a $200 lifetime value. I feel like that covers the revenue side, the money coming into the business.
I really want to talk about the two largest expenses. There are tons of expenses in any company, even in SaaS. There are the incorporation fees and there are legal fees and you have a payment processor like Stripe and you pay a small amount to them, but really the two biggest expenses, what do you think they are?
Fisher: I can see the document where you’ve listed these things.
Rob: Well done. Hacking the system.
Fisher: I can see it on the dock and I was going to guess salaries anyway, paying your employees.
Rob: That’s right. That is the number one expense.
Fisher: Other expense is how much the time was worth making the product.
Rob: Yes, that’s right. It’s different. Remember we talked about COGS or cost of goods sold with Lego and how they might have a lot of that because they have a huge manufacturing plant. They have people on the floor and they’re paid for the plastic. There are all those things. SaaS really just has time, doesn’t it? And time is money. You’ve heard this expression, right? Let’s say I hire five engineers, two support people, a customer success person, and a salesperson. What do I have to pay all of those people? Back to our first thing, dollars?
Fisher: I don’t know. I can’t estimate all those people.
Rob: I’m not asking how much but what do you think I pay them in? Do I give them granola bars to show up for work?
Fisher: No, no, you give them money.
Rob: Monies. Monies or salaries are your number one expense. The other one and it’s another SaaS metric, much like we talked about it, MRR and average revenue per customer, annual contract value. These are metrics that we track and pay attention to and try to improve. The last one I want to talk about is CAC.
Fisher: That’s funny. CAC.
Rob: Cost to acquire a customer. What do you think cost to acquire a customer means?
Fisher: I guess it’s an estimation, but you could estimate how much money you spend on the products you acquire. I don’t know.
Rob: You’re getting there. Yeah. It’s how much money you spend on marketing.
Fisher: Oh, it’s marketing. Okay.
Rob: And it’s averaged. So realistically, if you’re buying ads, it’s usually easy to calculate costs to acquire a customer. Because you know that if each click is $1, and 1 out of 10 clicks results in a customer, you’ve paid $10 to acquire each customer. That makes sense.
Fisher: Yeah.
Rob: Okay. It’s harder when you’re doing things like producing content, because really, what is the cost of your founder’s time? Sometimes I’ll see CAC estimated as all of our marketing expenses, divided by the number of new customers we receive in a month, and it’s across all of those things.
The hard part is, you do want to drill down further because you want to figure out where you’re low. Why would you want to figure out where your low CACs are? If I had three different marketing approaches, let’s say I was running ads, and it was $10 to acquire a customer.
I was creating content, meaning I have maybe videos on YouTube, and it’s costing me $50 to acquire a customer. Then I’m doing outbound sales, like reaching out to people on LinkedIn, Twitter and email, and it’s costing me $100 to acquire a customer. Well, which one of those is best? And why is that important?
Fisher: Well, LinkedIn and YouTube. The last two approaches I already forgot.
Rob: The first one was ads, it was $10, $50, and $100.
Fisher: Then reaching out for people for $100 bucks for a single customer would obviously be the weakest. You would probably eliminate that one and spend that money on salaries or more marketing.
Rob: Right, the other approaches that are working. You’d rather try to optimize.
Fisher: That’s why you need to know the weakest approach.
Rob: Very good, sir. That’s your SaaS metrics. Do you feel smarter for having had this conversation?
Fisher: I don’t know. I kind of already dealt with all of them.
Rob: You knew most of these things. All right. Well, we won’t tell the people that because the whole point is I was supposed to be explaining it to someone who didn’t already know these.
Fisher: Plot twist. Your editor doesn’t cut this part out.
Rob: I thought we were going to leave it. Do you have a YouTube channel you’d like to plug?
Fisher: Yeah. I know you’re not going to do it but subscribe to my YouTube channel.
Rob: How do they find it? They go to youtube.com and they search for what channel?
Fisher: This is going to cringe, I’m not going to lie. I haven’t played Among Us in 12 months and this is a reference to that.
Fisher: Yes. Because no one even spells it with a Y anymore, or else you’ll cringe. It’s just the laws of dignity now.
Rob: Laws of dignity thermodynamics. Am I right?
Fisher: Yeah, editor, editor, man, I’m sorry. You had to listen to 35 minutes of unsmart people talking. Thanks for editing stuff.
Rob: Thank you for joining me on the show today.
Fisher: Bye.
Rob: If you enjoyed that episode, let me know. I’m @robwalling on Twitter. Let’s connect there. If you haven’t downloaded our two free guides, these are never released podcast episodes plus PDF guides. First one is Eight Things You Must Know When Launching Your SaaS. The next one is 10 Things You Should Know As You Scale Your SaaS.
These are my learnings from 15–16 years-ish in SaaS as well as mentoring, advising, and starting companies. I put them all into these two episodes and these two guides. If you go to startupsfortherestofus.com, enter your email, and we will send those to you.
Thanks as always for joining me again this week. I look forward to being back in your ears again next Tuesday morning.
Episode 600 | When to Hire Your First Manager + What You Should Be Focused On (A Rob Solo Adventure)
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In episode 600, join Rob Walling for a solo adventure as he dives into topics ranging from when to hire your first manager to a mental framework for deciding which things to work on vs. what to delegate to your team. He also shares his thought process behind when things take multiple iterations and how to know whether or not you are on the right track.
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Topics we cover:
[1:04] A mental framework for deciding what things you should focus on as a SaaS founder vs. what to delegate
[7:28] The importance of resting and taking proper breaks as a SaaS founder
[14:28] When to hire your first manager
[14:50] The two main components of management: supervising and leading
[18:45] The importance of continuous iterations
[26:21] Why you need to manage your own psychology as a founder
[28:11] Hitting a big podcast milestone: 600 episodes
Links from the Show:
- Strawberry Fields I Beatles
- Yesterday I Beatles
- Episode 200: Customer Acquisition Plans for Bootstrappers
If you have questions about starting or scaling a software business that you’d like for us to cover, please submit your question for an upcoming episode. We’d love to hear from you.
Subscribe & Review: iTunes | Spotify | Stitcher
Welcome back to yet another episode of Startups For the Rest of Us. I’m your host, Rob Walling. I’m doing a Rob solo adventure this week. I’m going to talk through some thoughts and mental frameworks about certainty versus uncertainty. Which things should I be working on versus delegating, supervising versus leading? Might even touch on a concept called spell burn and talk about thought processes behind when things take iterations and how to know if you’re on the right track.
The first topic I want to cover today is a question that I’m asked relatively frequently. It’s something that I’ve just written down in my book that I’m working on. I’m working on a book about building seven-figure SaaS companies, mostly bootstrapping. This question of, what should I be focused on versus which things should I delegate, which roles, which responsibilities, and which tasks. The framework that I have around this is certainty versus uncertainty.
There are so many tasks in a startup that you’re relatively certain what the outcome will be. Email support is a certainty. You’re going to get some emails, and it’s a certainty you’re going to have a response to those emails, right? There’s not so much creative work or big levels of, is this going to happen? Is this going to work? I need to try a bunch of different things before I figure out what works.
In the early days, the first month to three months, yes, there are new questions. You don’t know what’s coming, but eventually, you get your canned responses. You’ve seen 80% of the tickets that are going to come through and you figure out ways to put stuff into KB and to make support a repeatable process. This is similar even with software development without actually writing the code.
Unless you’re building something incredibly novel, incredibly difficult. AI, machine learning, or something maybe with VR—unless you’re doing that, the odds are that once you know which features to build, getting that feature built is pretty predictable. You know that you can build the page to have the checkbox with the setting that says whether people should send email or receive email. It’s a checkbox. You can build this.
You may be off on that time estimate, is it going to take a day or is it going to take three days? That’s a little uncertain, but getting that task done is pretty predictable. Thus, I would call it a certainty versus which features should we build in order to get closer to product-market fit or in order to satisfy more customers? Which features should we build next? How should we prioritize these? It’s uncertain, it’s kind of foggy. You do not have absolute data. You don’t know exactly which is going to work. Frankly, you’re probably going to have to make some mistakes along the way. You’re going to build some features that maybe you shouldn’t have built.
We did that. I’ve done that before. You build them and then you think a year or two later, no one ever uses that. Why did I build it? But you need to get enough successes when you’re doing that, that you keep pushing the product forward.
Another big area of uncertainty is in marketing. When you don’t have any marketing approaches that are working and sending constant consistent leads to your site, it’s going to be some uncertainty of, we don’t have any data on which approaches we should try. The first thing I would do is go to my rules of thumb like what are the five main B2B SaaS marketing approaches. I will reveal those in my upcoming book.
I would pick one of those, I would dive deep on it, and you try it. You go months, you go all in, and you spend the time. It may work and it may not. The uncertainty there is kind of unnerving. But being a founder is making hard decisions with incomplete information. As you think about these two paradigms of certain versus uncertain, realistically, as the founder, you should be diving into the things that are hard and that are uncertain because you’re the best equipped to figure those out.
There are some exceptions I’ll say. Could I just hire a marketing genius unicorn who can come in and take the uncertainty, try a bunch of marketing approaches, and figure them out? Is that possible? Yes. Is it likely? No, you are going to have to find the 1 in 10,000 marketers, someone in Asia […] or […]. There are a few other folks I’ve worked with who are that good that they can take the strategy, try a bunch of things, figure it out, and then make them more certain.
Once you’re six months into running ads and they’re working, once you’re six months into SEO and content and that’s generating leads and it’s growing your business, that becomes more of a certainty. At that point, that’s when you can start to think about handing it off. You hire someone, you bring somebody in who’s really good at that particular thing. You bring in an amazing content marketer and amazing SEO writer.
This is now a proven aspect of your business, just like your product is. Deciding what to build next is really, really hard before product-market fit because you’re flailing all over the place. You don’t really know. You see, I don’t have 80% of the features that I need. Flash forward to three years, you have product-market fit. You’re doing $2–3 million a year. It becomes a lot easier. From experience, it becomes a lot easier to look ahead almost a year and say, this is probably what we need over the next year.
There’s always going to be stuff that makes its way in that you didn’t hear about. By that time, you’ve heard so many suggestions. You’ve heard the gamut of what someone could possibly want in your product because there’s maturity and it’s become a more certain piece of your business. In fact, that’s at the point where we hired our first product manager, the first time that the two co-founders of Drip did not make every single product decision about what should be built.
You know a lot about how it should be built—although we had designers helping us with that—the first time was when we were doing a few million dollars. We could have possibly done it a little earlier. I’m going to be honest, there was a lot more uncertainty before that point.
The lesson I want you to take away as a founder or an aspiring founder is that the areas of uncertainty are going to be the ones that you don’t want to lean into. Your comfort zone is in areas of certainty because you know that you can do them. You can write the code and ship the code to make the app.
The uncertain piece is, do you know what to build to make the app viable, to make it into not just a hobby but a business? The answer is probably not. You need to lean into the uncertain. The riskier aspects of your business at the start because those are the ones that make you uncomfortable. Those are the ones that are going to help you. You’ll actually grow the business. You can use this as a guiding principle of the moment. I have enough money to hire someone, whether it’s a part time contractor, whether it’s a full time person. I would always be looking to essentially offload the areas of certainty.
Customer support is an early one. Software development, it is more of a certainty. I know there’s craft to it. I’m a developer myself. I really used to be a developer, but I know the craft that goes around development, and that as a founder, you care more than anyone else. That’s true, but honestly, if you want to grow this business and you want to build something that people want, get there fast, and be an ambitious startup founder, you are likely leaving growth on the table by hanging out in areas of certainty for too long.
My second topic is about as a founder, giving everything to your business without taking the proper breaks or the rest to recharge. It is a recipe for burnout. This is also a recipe for not operating at a high level, not operating at your peak productivity. For this, I want to use an analogy from a tabletop role-playing game. It’s called Dungeon Crawl Classics. If you’ve heard of Dungeons and Dragons, this is a game similar to that.
You roll the dice. It randomly decides if you hit or you don’t a creature and how much hit points you do. There’s solving the puzzles. There’s exploration. It’s an interactive game. It’s a fun game. You can play in person or some folks play it online. The thing that I like about Dungeon Crawl Classics, which I’ve never actually played.
I have the rulebook and I listen to some podcasts of people who talk about it, but one of my favorite elements of DCC is—it’s called Dungeon Crawl classics—this concept of spell burn. It’s this phrase they invented to define this mechanic of the game. What spell burn is, if you are a Magic user or a mage, follow me on this even if you don’t like role playing games, just follow me. I’ll get back to startups.
Spell burn is if you are a spellcaster, you can burn some of your stats to add to your die roll. When you go to hit or cast a spell to roll back your stats. You have things like strength and agility and I forgot what they’re called in DCC. The DND words are strength, dexterity, wisdom, intelligence, constitution, and charisma. Each of those defines something.
Strength is how strong you are. Dexterity is how agile you move around. Again, DCC has different names for them. I think it’s agility instead of dexterity, but with Dungeon Crawl Classics, you can burn points of strength, points of agility. I think maybe charisma is the third one. When I say burn, basically, these attributes range from 3 to 18. You can say, I’m going to take three of my strength points.
Let’s say, I have 15 strength points. I’m going to take three of my strength points, I’m going to add them to this die roll, and then your strength temporarily drops down to 12. That weakens you. It makes your attacks work less. It literally is taxing your physical form, but it’s like you’re pushing it into the spell you’re casting. Then you know you roll your die and if you hit it without the added three, then you made a bad choice.
If that three is the difference between hitting and missing, you only use this when you really, really need it. It’s going to be a total party kill or you’re going to get crushed. The concept here is that you are literally sacrificing part of your physical form in order to be successful at this action. I’m hoping you can see the obvious path to what I’m about to say about startup founders.
How many founders do we know, myself included, who burned parts of ourselves mentally, physically, and emotionally, to be more successful at an action or to be more successful at our company? How many of us sacrifice sleep, sacrifice exercise, sacrifice personal relationships, sacrifice alone time for emotional recharging? Startup burn, maybe that’s the term for it. I think of it as spell burn. It is taking aspects of yourself and grinding them down and giving it to this other entity so that it can succeed.
In the short term, it will work. In DCC, if you spell burn your points down too low, you eventually can die. You can sacrifice your life to die to cast this last spell. The way you recharge is you take rests. I think healing potions might also work. I actually don’t know. You can tell I like the concept but haven’t actually played the game. But long rests is what starts to recharge you. I think you recharge one point per day or whatever to give you an idea of how long if you sacrifice three, five, or eight points, it can take a long time to regain these back.
It’s the same with startups. It’s the same with your company. When you give all of your emotional energy and all of your time—your 40-, your 50-, maybe your 60-hour weeks if you’re doing that. You empty your bucket for your company or your product and you don’t have any left for the rest of your life, you have to eventually take a rest. You have to step away in a way that recharges those batteries.
Personally, we ran a tiny seed retreat about 10 days ago before I’m recording this and then we had MicroConf right after it. I always know for at least the first two or three days after a MicroConf, I’m going to get almost no work done. I’m going to barely be able to talk to any other human, my wife and children included. I basically strapped on a VR headset for two or three hours. I played a bunch of games. I read about tabletop RPGs. I listen to podcasts that have nothing to do with business.
I watch some TV shows. I don’t really watch TV but I needed to do something that I wasn’t thinking about, interacting with, or diving into the business because I had spell burned myself into a place of exhaustion, which is what happens and it’s okay. I know that going into it. In fact, I’ve talked to several people on my team, Producer Xander and others. Basically, it’s the same thing. We all felt that way because you put so much into it.
The lesson I want to say is, look, it’s okay to do that but know that you have to take this in seasons, and you need to recharge quite frequently, probably more frequently than you think you do. While you will have seasons of maybe working long hours and being really emotionally intense about it. If you do that for months or years, it will absolutely grind you down. It will lead you to burnout, it will lead you to unhappiness. It’s just not a long term sustainable approach. Anytime I can talk about tabletop RPGs and relate them to startups, I consider that a win.
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My next topic is around management. More specifically, it’s a question I received from a founder that was saying, when should I hire my first manager? As a startup founder, should your third hire be someone who manages other people? That was kind of the question we were getting at. To answer that question, I had to frame it with this framework that I have around management. I think there are two components to management, there’s supervising and there’s leading. They’re two very different things.
The supervision is more of a mechanical approach. It’s taking care of vacation requests, it’s being a liaison between them and HR, it’s doing monthly or weekly one on ones, it’s annual reviews, it’s worrying about pay in terms of their salary, and that they’re well compensated, that they’re happy. It’s the mechanics of interacting with that person on your team versus leadership or leading, which is the way I define it is guiding them, mentoring them, and overseeing their actual on-the-job actions.
I want to give an example to illuminate this. If you’re a developer, it’s often that you’ll have a tech lead who is not your manager. That tech lead is probably doing code reviews for you, mentoring you in terms of software development, making sure the code base is great, guiding architecture. There are all types of things happening, but the tech lead is often not your supervisor or your manager. That often is a director of engineering or a manager of engineering.
In the case of Drip where I was the co-founder, I supervise the entire team. Everyone reported to me. That was because we never got more than 10 people. Frankly, you shouldn’t have more than six direct reports, let me just put it that way. But that’s what made the most sense. I had the most management experience. I was handling all the day-to-day operation and mechanical supervision of everyone.
The leadership—the technical leadership—specifically, was much, much, much more on Derek’s plate. He knew Ruby, I didn’t. He and I would architect things. We would talk about things. We would guide it technically, but he was the tech lead. That was his role, right? All the engineers look to him for technical guidance. Then they look to me for, can I take time off, what’s going on with my health insurance?
Similarly, with customer success, once we had two customer successes, Anna became the head of customer success. She was the technical lead of our other customer success person, but everybody still reported to me. So supervising versus leading. That’s how I want you to think about it. You could have a 10-person company and you could be the supervisor or the manager of 10 people, they’re all reporting to you.
I think at that point, you can’t possibly be a subject matter expert in all the areas and you have to have someone leading at least a couple of those areas. Usually, it’s product/engineering, customer success. I can imagine there being a sales leader. If we were a heavy sales organization, that would have been the case. I didn’t have the skill set to do that.
The reason I make this differentiation is I think the technical leadership or the customer success leadership, that can happen really early. You can have someone who is a good individual contributor be a good leader, but being a supervisor and providing that, I’d say it’s more advanced or more in-depth like feedback and giving critical feedback about performance, that often takes a lot of work. It takes some practice or having worked with a manager that you respect who’s doing a really good job.
I think really early on in your company, delegating leadership of development, leadership of sales, or leadership of customer success I think is an absolute win. I think by the time you’re at three or four people, maybe five, you should start thinking about that. If you have anyone who is a little more senior, delegating that without delegating the supervision, if they don’t have the experience.
Then when you get to the point where you directly have about six direct reports, not including any founders, you should really start thinking about, okay, am I able to promote any of the leads that I have into a full-blown manager where they’re both supervising and leading? I hope that’s helpful for you in thinking through the concept of when should I hire managers for my company.
For the fourth and final topic of today, I want to talk about iterating. I want to talk about how sometimes things take a lot of iterations, sometimes they don’t, and sometimes you nail them from the start.
For this one, I’m going to have another analogy and not tabletop role playing games, but is another one of my favorite topics, The Beatles. So my youngest son and I listen to all the alternate takes of Strawberry Fields Forever. I’m sure you’ve heard this song. The cool thing about The Beatles is they have so many great songs but then they also have all this outtake footage where there are literally at least 26 takes of Strawberry Fields Forever that were recorded. Then there are a bunch more that they were just doing in practice and not recording.
This is an addition to the demo version that John Lennon recorded at his house. The crazy thing about it is they’ve released takes 1, 4, 7, and 26. They’re on Spotify. You can find them on YouTube. Then there’s the final version. Then there’s a demo version. So there are literally six or seven versions of the song.
My son took to this one version that is very different from the others, and of course, these aren’t just takes. When you think of a musician doing 20 takes of something you think, oh, they hit the wrong notes. They were offbeat. But this is The Beatles. They’re genius musicians and almost every take is a full take-through that could have been pressed to vinyl.
That’s not what they’re doing. It’s not that they’re taking it because they screwed up. They’re adapting the song and they’re changing the song over time. When you listen to take 1, it’s a very stripped down almost acoustic thing with kind of a keyboard behind it.
“Let me take you down ‘cause I’m going to strawberry fields. Nothing is real and nothing to get hung about. Strawberry fields forever.”
Then they take six or seven, they’re adding horns in.
“Let me take you down ‘cause I’m going to strawberry fields. Nothing is real and nothing to get hung about. Strawberry fields forever.”
Then there’s the take 26 that has cellos. It has backward drum beats playing in it, it’s way faster. It is just almost a completely different song. The melody and the words are still there but the feel of the song has evolved from John with his guitar into this, frankly, incredible work of art.
“Let me take you down ‘cause I’m going to strawberry fields. Nothing is real and nothing to get hung about. Strawberry fields forever.”
All that to say they didn’t do that with every song, but they were willing to put in the time and they were willing to follow their gut to get to a vision that they had in their head. You know John Lennon, Paul McCartney, or George Harrison that they had a vision in their head of what that song maybe should sound like, but they didn’t know exactly and they just had to work it and work it and work it and get there.
Then there were songs like Yesterday that Paul McCartney woke up and the melody was in his head and he thought that he had heard it somewhere else but he remembered it anyway. He’s playing the song with different lyrics. Originally, it was called scrambled eggs. Really bad words. Not like “yesterday, all my troubles seemed so far away” is a good song. But it was like “scrambled eggs, oh, how I love your legs.” I think that was the original lyrics.
It’s terrible but he’s playing this for people saying, have you ever heard this? Have you ever heard this? Because I think I’m ripping this off by accident because it was just in my head. That was it. He wrote the lyrics. My understanding is there are two takes, literally two takes, that’s it, of that song. Because the song was done. He knew it had hit the vision and he knew it was amazing. I think it’s my favorite Beatles song. I think it’s one of my favorite songs of all time, to be honest.
It is, I think, still the most covered song ever, that has the most cover versions of any song ever written by anyone is Yesterday. I think there’s a little testament to it’s probably a pretty good one. Here, on one hand, we have Strawberry Fields Forever, with all this iteration over days and days and days, getting not a full orchestra, but most of an orchestra involved and having all these versions, and then we have Yesterday that pops into a guy’s head that he does two takes of and then it’s done.
There are other examples of this, not just The Beatles. I’ve been to several Picasso museums. It’s funny, Picasso’s art is fine. It’s not like I’m enthralled with Picasso, but Picasso’s creative process is incredible. There’s a reason that I have a Picasso guitar tattooed on one of my arms because I’m enthralled with the fact that he would paint the same painting in different ways 20, 30, 40 times because he was iterating trying to figure out how am I going to get this to work? How does this fit together to where this finally lives up to my taste of what I want this to be.
That’s how he invented Cubism. You can google that, but it’s an entire branch of art. It’s a style of art that just didn’t exist. He learned the basics, he learned the fundamentals, and he painted paintings like everyone else. Then he just started iterating and iterating. You’ll see there’s one room—I believe it’s in Barcelona, the Picasso Museum in Barcelona—where there are 25–30 versions of the same painting with different colors from different perspectives, with different views, and it changes each time.
I’m so struck. I sat in that room for 10, 15 minutes and just stared at these works of art that any one of them is a work of art and could be hung in a museum, but they didn’t live up to his tastes. It wasn’t what he wanted. He knew he was not getting the results that he wanted so he kept iterating.
Similarly, Einstein spent how many years iterating and developing relativity, it did not hit him instantly. I think that’s a long way of saying that in startups, it’s the same thing. Sometimes you will start a marketing approach to content, say SEO. It kind of works from the start, but it doesn’t really. I think founders who aren’t long term successful, they throw their hands up and say, this doesn’t work. AdWords, Facebook ads, they just don’t work. But they do and they can.
They may not work in your space, that’s true, but did you think that maybe you didn’t iterate enough? Did you think the execution is off, that you need to play around with it more? Maybe you need to get better at Facebook ads, Google ads, content, SEO, maybe you need to give it more time. There’s a balance here. You don’t want to do something for a year and spend all that time and have it not work.
Also, I think, giving a marketing approach a month or giving a product three months to find the product-market fit is too short. There’s someplace in between where you need to see the progress along the way that as you iterate, there should be some progress made. You should be getting some traction with it slowly. You start to see that light at the end of the tunnel. You start to see take 26 on the horizon or painting number 30 where you think I’m getting there.
I’ve said before, so much of being a founder is managing your own psychology. Part of that is knowing yourself. If you’re the one who tends to just skip from one thing to the next and you don’t iterate, you don’t improve it, and you don’t put in the time to figure out these hard things, then you probably need to stick with things longer than feels rational, longer than you want to.
You need to get reinforcement from a mastermind group, from a co-founder, from someone else who has some insight in your business because oftentimes we have blind spots. We need a different perspective to help guide us or to help push us when we want to skip to the next thing.
Conversely, if you’re the person who sits and grinds on something for nine months—I tried Facebook ads for nine months and they didn’t work—probably too long then. You probably should have got some outside counsel before. Maybe you should have considered hiring a consultant. Maybe you should have just bailed on it and moved on to content SEO.
There’s this balance of knowing yourself and knowing what your tendencies are. But realizing that even geniuses, even the best there have ever been—people like Einstein, Picasso, and The Beatles, these names are synonymous, they are used as examples of geniuses. Even these inventors, artists, and musicians had to iterate over and over and over on their works to get them to be successful, to get them to live up to their taste.
I think to a lot of us, this is where we put our creative juices. This is how we get that feeling of building something. This is our dopamine rush. For some people, it’s writing a song or painting and for others, it’s shipping a feature or it’s building a multimillion-dollar company that changes your life. I hope that thought of sometimes needing many iterations, sometimes, though in rare cases, that kind of thought process or mental framework is helpful to you this week on your entrepreneurial journey.
Speaking of showing up every week for 12 years, this is episode 600. I debated whether to even bring it up because I’m just not sure how important that number is. It shouldn’t be any different than 599 or 601. It happens to have a couple of zeros at the end but you show up every week to build something like this. When these 100-episode milestones hit, I always think I should do something different and special. I should bring on these guests and we should reflect on things we’ve done and how we’ve done it.
We have done that, right? Mike and I had our wives on for an episode. That was probably episode 200. I’ve done reflection episodes, look back episodes, we’ve had people send in audio clips, we’ve had all that all the stuff. I think that’s great. Maybe at 700, I’ll do that again. I think it’s a good reminder to think about sometimes just showing up every week and putting in your time, whether it’s this podcast or whether it’s showing up every day to ship that next feature, celebrate your milestones, and I’ll be celebrating privately.
I’ll probably hang out with my wife and kids tonight and raise a glass to episode 600. But as you build your product, as you build your business, as you build your company, remember to think in terms of years, not months. Sometimes just showing up every day or every week and putting in the work is what you need to do to get to where you want to go.
Thank you so much for joining me this week and whether it’s for the last six or last 600 episodes, it’s been my absolute pleasure to get on the microphone and be able to think about these things and talk about them, and hopefully, these are helpful to you this week or this month or this year as you build and grow company. Signing off from episode 600. We’ll be back in your ears again next Tuesday morning.
Episode 593 | Retaining Employees + The Ideal SaaS Business (A Rob Solo Adventure)
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In Episode 593, join Rob Walling for a Solo Adventure as he chats about accidentally deleting all of his old tweets, retaining talent, the ideal market for a SaaS business, and more.
The topics we cover
[3:10] Deleting old tweets
[8:43] Retaining talent
[12:39] Ideal market for a SaaS business
If you have questions about starting or scaling a software business that you’d like for us to cover, please submit your question for an upcoming episode. We’d love to hear from you!
Subscribe & Review: iTunes | Spotify | Stitcher
I had a fun episode this week. It’s a Rob solo adventure. I’m going to talk through a couple of listener questions, tell a story or two to kick us off. There are first stories that still kind of pain me. It goes under #toosoon, but it reminds me of those times where if you have written a database query, and you forgot the WHERE clause, where you write, update this column in the database to XYZ, then you forget to hit WHERE, you submit that clause, and you wipe out a whole column in a table and you have to go back to a backup.
It also reminds me of the time, Derek will be fine with me sharing this, but this is probably 2014, maybe even late 2013, we’re like a year into Drip. Sunday night, my phone rings, the first problem is we didn’t call each other, it’s all texting. If someone calls me, I consider that they are being held hostage in an overseas prison somewhere or that something’s on fire, their house or our servers are on fire. I literally picked up the phone. I said uh oh, that’s how I answered it, and it was Derek just sweating bullets. He said do we have a backup of the database? I said yes, we have a backup. What happened?
He had done something like that where I think he forgot the WHERE clause, it was in the credit card table. I think we had a hundred customers at the time so it would have been bad but not the end of the world. Basically, I think it had overwritten all the credit card numbers in the table or something like that. We didn’t even store the full credit card. Maybe it was the Stripe customer ID that allowed us to charge it, it was easily fixed, and we lost no data.
I remember that feeling when I did that, I did it to an ecommerce website back in, it must have been 2001. This is before Shopify. We had built a custom ecommerce shopping cart and the whole website was all custom. I did that to the order’s table or the order in progress table or something, and it’s just the worst feeling because I hit this update, I forgot to say which row to update, and it’s taking way longer than I think it should to execute. Why is this going? About 10 seconds in I’m like oh, good Lord, how do I cancel this command? Of course, it’s already done tens of thousands of rows of damage.
That was another one. We had a database backup and refreshed it. The reason I’m telling all these stories is that a couple of friends of mine over the past year or so have started deleting old tweets and I didn’t really understand that. They set up a service that recurring go back x months and just deletes anything before that in their account. I was asking one friend about it. I said, why do you do that? He said people will go back through your tweets, they’ll go back 10 years, 12 years, and they’ll dig something up like quoted out of context, basically. I just never wanted that to happen.
When he said it I was like yeah, I guess it could happen but it feels a little overly paranoid. Then of course, in the past three months, I’ve seen this happen twice to notable people where someone just comes back through and says something, well, that’s not really what I meant or cultural norms have changed. There are all different types of things that can happen.
The most recent one was someone built a copy of Wordle on iOS and just duplicated it. Wordle wasn’t even original to the guy who built the web. Is there a web version? I don’t play Wordle, I don’t know. Who built the version that’s popular right now, it’s actually from some game show in the ’70s or the ’80s.
Anyway, this guy builds a copy and there’s this big hubbub. They go back through his tweets and they just roast this guy. There’s a big pile on because it’s Twitter, of course, and there’s a certain group of people who kind of just want to be angry about stuff all the time.
Anyway, I’ve sat, watched these, and kind of listened to […]. I think, you know what, I don’t say controversial things in general, that’s just not that’s not my bag. That’s not how I built my personality or my brand. That’s just not really who I am so I’ve always been careful. I have nothing that I’m worried about in particular, but I started tweeting in I believe it was 2009, so we’re talking 13 years.
Over that time, I found out because I signed up for some software and it said I had 9300 tweets, likes, and retweets. Not actually that many, which I think shows a little self-restraint and also a few years where I completely quit Twitter while I was building Drip.
All that said, I thought, what does it hurt if I go back and I delete even the first 8 years, 10 years of my tweets. I don’t need them. They’re these super ephemeral things anyway. These aren’t like blog posts.
I went back through robwalling.com and I had a couple of hundred essays there. I read through a bunch of them and I was like these don’t hold up. These were really a point in time where Digg was a big thing, social media, or social news websites, it’s not relevant anymore. I even had to prune some of those a while for both for SEO purposes, but just to get the old thinking off of the site.
I was like yeah, I’m going to delete 6000, 7000 of these. I think it was the first 10 years basically in my history. I feel like since 2018, 2019, I’ve been tweeting more, and I’ve been more consistent about it, really giving more thoughtful tweets, doing threads, and that kind of stuff. I figured, hey, I’m going to keep that and delete the rest. I don’t see any downside to doing it.
I went into the software, it was recommended, and it was good, it was fine to sign up. It’s relatively inexpensive. I started using it and their date picker is a little finicky. I really struggled to get the first 10 years, 8 ½ years, or something, and eventually, I did. It’s like cool, those are all the tweets. You have to go through this whole process of downloading an archive and uploading it into the software.
I took a deep breath, it was a Sunday afternoon, and I hit submit. I sat back and it said deleting 9300 tweets, likes, and retweets. My eyes got wide. I was like what? It is that hair stands up on the back of the neck, all the blood rushes out your face, and I’m like it’s deleting everything, everything I’ve ever tweeted.
I get this mini panic attack. I knew the date thing was finicky, but it’s deleting everything. I like to go and look for a pause or stop button. I emailed their live chat. Of course, they’re in Eastern Europe so it’s midnight, 2:00 AM, or whatever it was. I hope that your bug is not deleting my entire Twitter stream, all my tweets forever. Of course, it did.
For hours, I was in shock that all my tweets, they’re gone. Before long, I realized it doesn’t matter and that’s the shocking revelation is it just doesn’t matter. That’s how ephemeral these things are. No one noticed, not a single person pinged me, asked me about it, mentioned it, called it out. I deleted a tweet I think from less than 48 hours prior and it just doesn’t matter.
There are a couple of things. The interesting thing is that man, it sucked and it’s kind of a funny story to tell in retrospect. The other interesting thing is that I feel like if I deleted all my essays or all my podcast episodes, that would matter because people go back, they listen to them, and there’s still value. If I deleted my book, pulled it down from the internet, people would still buy and read that book, my first book Start Small, Stay Small.
It continues to reinforce this idea in my mind of ephemeral things like social media and I guess the questionable value that I see in them. Of course, you’re going to still see me on Twitter because that’s what we do and that’s where we hang out.
All that to say, I don’t know if there’s a great lesson to take away from this other than it definitely made me continue to think about social media, what is the value of it, and knowing that the value is probably not in any type of long term staying power. It’s much more about that at the moment part of the conversation.
My next topic before I get into some listener questions and comments is from a conversation I had with a founder who was asking me how I can retain this person? It is a senior dev at his company, who I think is working part-time, half-time as a contractor, and works on other projects as well. The founder was asking me, how can I motivate this person to come and work with me full time? He has a lot of options. This is the gist of the message that I sent back to him.
I said, I would ask what he was looking for. Some people are less motivated by money and they might want one of the following: control over what they work on, to have a big impact on the app they’re working on, to know for sure the job is stable, to not have their spouse/family be suspect that they’re making a bad choice taking the job, more money, flexible working hours, to manage or not manage people, remote work, autonomy, the potential for advancement, ownership along the lines of stock options or profit-sharing. I would just ask him what’s important and try to give that to him.
The reason I’m reading that here is when you’re hiring or retaining, keep in mind that not everyone is motivated by money. I think in sales and on Wall Street like in finance, traditionally, people are motivated by money and that’s why they gravitate towards those things. I don’t think it’s a stereotype as much as it’s mostly the way things are done. In a lot of other roles, money is lower on the totem pole than that list of things that I just mentioned.
In particular, I think in this competitive job market where everyone can be remote, anyone can now get a job at Google or Facebook and get these really high salaries because they basically pay above market. If you’re qualified, they pay above the market rate in your city or town. Think as a founder of other ways to motivate. It’s harder to do when you’re first hiring because you don’t know the person and it can be awkward to figure it out or ask.
Retaining is different because oftentimes, you’ve worked with that person and you kind of learn what their personal life looks like. You realize that, wow, for this person, maybe working four days a week, just working 80% of the time is actually a huge benefit to them. They will stick around a long time, a lot longer, if you are able to give them that flexibility, or as I said, to know that their job is stable, to have a huge impact on the app that they are working on, and have more control to manage or not manage people.
There are all types of things. I think we often get stuck on this transactionality of it where it’s salary and benefits and it’s kind of those things. As startups, we still have advantages over these larger companies. It’s not just remote work like it has been for the past decade, but it’s several of these other things. It’s the flexibility to be able to meet people where they are, where they want to be met, and potentially retain some people who might otherwise leave even if you don’t have the money to pay them top dollar.
My next topic is a topic submitted by a listener, and actually, I want to go back on what I said earlier about not losing anything by having my tweets deleted. The one thing that I lost is I tweeted a question. I said Courtland Allen’s come on the podcast, what should we talk about? There were about 25 or 30 pretty interesting topics and we only covered maybe five of them in that. Then I’ve covered I think four or five since then. There were still 15 or 20 topics that I think could have made great conversations and of course, they’re gone now.
This was from that. I had already copied it into our Questions Trello board. A question is if you had to start a new SaaS today, what are all the criteria that the market or the app would need to have? There’s a lot and this varies by person.
I remember sitting down with Derek Reimer before he’s going to start starting SavvyCal and he had his list of personal requirements. I think some people, if you’re a true lifestyle bootstrapper and you just want to build $100,000, $200,000 a year app and live the amazing four-hour workweek life, then your criteria will be different than someone who wants to build seven- or eight-figure business and sell it for $30 million or $40 million and get there in three or five years. The markets are different, the problems that you’re going to tackle have to be different to have those different velocities.
My list is from someone who has stair-stepped his way up into a place where I’m not going to build a small app anymore. If I were ever to build a SaaS again, I would not want it to be a six-figure ARR company because I’ve been there, I’ve done that, and it just wouldn’t be interesting. It wouldn’t be learning for me at this point. Even building a low seven-figure SaaS app would be retreading old ground.
My criteria come down to several of the following. I don’t know if this was an exhaustive list, but I jotted a few down coming in because there are a lot of things to be thinking about. The first thing, of course, is business to business. I wouldn’t go to consumers and I frankly wouldn’t want to be marketing to aspirational folks or prosumers. There’s just too much price sensitivity and the churn is too high.
The next thing though and what’s super important to me is that it has some organic reach, meaning that people are searching for it. This goes all the way back to the Start Small, Stay Small days, but not just that they’re searching Google for it but there just is a market-proven out for it because inventing a category or building out a market is not something I’m particularly interested in.
If you think of Drip and how it started, before it was an email service provider. It was actually an email capture widget and there were no other apps doing that. There was no sumo.com. There was no OptinMonster when we launched, or maybe OptinMonster was WordPress, and it launched within a few months of us. It was really right around the same time.
We were moving into this new category and then what I realized was there was so much demand in this existing category of email service providers and that the big ones weren’t able to provide for their customers and that’s why we basically moved into that space. Within months of launching in 2013, we moved into that space. It was very fast. I would want there to be an organic reach because I have the experience and the resources to be able to get in front of whether it’s search volume or wherever else that reach is playing out.
Another thing I’d be looking for is some kind of virality. It doesn’t need to have this incredible built-in viral loop like a social network, but when I look at SignWell which is e-signature from Ruben Gamez, when I look at SavvyCal which is a scheduling link software from Derek Reimer, they both have pretty neat viral loops of when I go to sign a document and I invite other people, they see this neat app that’s easy to use and better than the other products on the market.
Even that little bit of virality that is a natural spread, that’s a really nice flywheel. In the early days, it wasn’t that important but when you get to 100 customers, you get to 1000, you get to 10,000, suddenly that loop becomes a chunk of growth.
The next thing I would think about is I would not enter a space that didn’t have notable expansion revenue because I want net negative churn in any app. After building Drip and having that negative churn in that app, you get spoiled, frankly. I call it the golden ticket. I called it the cheat code of SaaS, but net negative churn is 100% an incredible lever in SaaS companies.
Everyone else who’s not SaaS is trying to get to recurring revenue and SaaS has built-in recurring revenue. We get that cheat code for free, but net negative churn is then the next level. It’s where if I had zero customers this month, my company still grows, -1%, -2% churn. It means you grow by 1% or 2% even if no one signs up, it’s incredible. That would definitely be something I’d be looking at.
The other thing is I would, at this point in my career, only leverage an existing asset that I had. Whether that’s an audience, my network, something to that effect, or something I’ve built, I wouldn’t start from scratch in just a brand new space like I’m going to go build software for construction managers these days because I have advantages that I can and should use. In fact, all of my apps up until Drip pretty much didn’t use any of my advantages. Maybe you could say HitTail did, but I remember having tens of paying customers for my audience at the time, which is not huge.
Everything before that was things like I had an ebook for bonsai trees, I had software for .NET developers, I had no .NET audience, wedding website, SaaS, have any reach into the wedding industry, printers, lineman jobs, which was jobs for powerline electricians. I was grinding it on the marketing approaches. It was SEO, the pay-per-click, the display ads, content marketing, some partnerships, integrations, and affiliate. I am doing the left brain like knowing your funnel and crack on these apps not using the audience, it was a personal brand.
Drip was really the first one that my audience I think had leveraged well. It obviously was in a different space and a more ambitious project, but it definitely showed in the early days with the growth that I had an asset to leverage. Again, I want to reiterate, if I was on step one of the stair-step approach, some of these wouldn’t apply. Maybe I don’t have any assets to leverage, maybe I don’t need net negative churn because I’m just looking to build something that’s going to make my house payment.
Two more things that I would want in a SaaS if I were to enter a space. One is little or no platform risk, ideally no platform risk. What I learned is that almost everything has platform risk to some extent. You have a web hosting provider and you’re kind of on their platform if you think about it.
Sending email, I remember thinking that email is essentially this open-source protocol and that Drip would have no platform risk. Then you send 100 million emails a month through SendGrid and people start marking them as spam, so now SendGrid says, hey, maybe we need to shut down your account.
You have platform risk there or SendGrid is cool with it and the email blacklists were like these bizarre, archaic 25-, 30-year-old things run by these curmudgeonly people who kind of could just add you if they felt like it. It was really this bizarre look into that whole space and it’s one I don’t care to go back to. If they put you on the blacklist, now your IPs are blacklisted and your deliverability goes in the tank.
That’s where I’m saying it’s tough to have a business with really no platform risk, but as small as possible is something that I would want because I don’t want someone else in charge of my destiny. If I want to build a several million dollar company and have a lot of folks relying on it for their livelihood. It’s just not cool to wake up at night and think, can this be put out of business overnight?
Lastly, it’s kind of a two-parter. I would enter a space where there’s not a ton of price sensitivity and that would probably mean having a dual funnel where on the higher end, you can charge $500, $1000, $5000 a month to big players who come through, Fortune 5000 companies who are real enterprise or mid-market.
Also, you have inexpensive entry-level plans, whether you have a free plan or whether you have that $20–$50 entry plan much like an email service provider could have, much like Percy Pricing works if you have an electronic signature or if you have a CRM. People can come in on a small team and hey, it’s $15 a user, $30 to get started. By the time you have 10, 20, 30 people on that team, you get both expansion revenue but you also have that lower-end funnel where you can have a lot of customers.
We see a lot of TinySeed companies come through and they are purely mid-market and enterprise where they only have high price plans. Those are great businesses too and they can grow really fast because the contracts are so big. The ones that I see growing fastest have two funnels and they have the self-service low price funnel.
Squadcast is a great example of this. They are studio quality podcast recording software in your browser. You can think about the avatars that they have where they have the fly fisherman on the low end who’s really a hobbyist, Dungeons and Dragons podcast who $5–$10 a month is kind of where they want to be.
Then you can think about Startups for the Rest of Us, Tropical MBA, any type of business, or any podcast. Certainly paying $50, $100, even $150 a month for my recording software is not that big of a deal. Then you have massive podcasts studios or even radio stations who need to record remotely due to COVID and they can and should pay $500–$5000 a month. You think about that as that dual funnel is having the high end and then those low end plans.
The nice part about both of them together is, (a) your revenue can keep growing each month even if you’re not landing these huge deals because you do have the influx of the lower priced plans kind of like a more self-service model, but (b) the more people you have using your product, the more chatter is, the more of a brand you have.
The difference between having 1000 and 20,000 users/customers like active users is in the Facebook groups, in the Slack groups, on social media, on Reddit, or on Hacker News, people are like, yeah, I’m familiar with that, it’s a great product, you just have so many more. If you had 10,000 customers paying you $10 a month, aside from the obvious price sensitivity that I think would happen as well as the high churn, 10,000 customers are kind of an army, especially if you build a great product. That’s where these dual funnels are quite exceptional.
Those are several criteria I’d be looking at if I was building a new SaaS. Yours may be different or maybe you can borrow a few of mine.
My next topic is actually a thank you email from a listener Pawel Brzeminski who has actually offered some good advice and corrections on my Episode 581, inflation for founders. He wanted to send in some kind words. He says, “I should have included some nice words about your podcast. Startups to the Rest of Us have been absolutely transformational to my entrepreneurial journey. You may not remember, but I came to MicroConf back in 2015 and did a short attendee talk.” I actually do remember.
“The talk was about how I was starting Snap Projections from zero, then grew it to high six figures in a very competitive space, and sold it to a public company within four and a half years for a life-changing sum of money. This would not have been possible without your podcast and the additional resources you’ve created. I’ve always had tremendous respect for everything you do to support young entrepreneurs and enable them to succeed, so big thank you to you.” Cheers, Pawel.
Thanks for the comments. As I say, I put these in a label in Gmail and they mean the world to me. A huge amount of my satisfaction these days comes from emails and stories like these of folks who say your podcast got me through a hard time, whether it was a hard time in business or just a hard time personally. I have podcasts and virtual mentors who don’t know who I am, personally, and I listened to them and they get me through these hard times. If I can be that for you, if I have done that for you, I consider it an honor and I consider it my life’s work. It’s my legacy at this point.
My mission, which is now the mission of this podcast, MicroConf and TinySeed, is to multiply the world’s population of self-sustaining independent startups. I hadn’t realized that I started doing that in 2005, 17 years ago. I just kind of started writing a blog and writing about entrepreneurship. I hadn’t realized it when I wrote my book in 2010, started the podcast in 2010, and started MicroConf in 2011.
These are just steps along the way, you just take the next step, and there is no strategy behind it. It was just something that I was doing to meet other people and to hopefully help folks but also just to get thoughts and ideas off my chest because I come up with these frameworks, I see mental models, I see what worked for me, and it just seemed the right thing to do to share them with people. It would be boring if I didn’t. Just running businesses for me is fine, but it’s not as interesting as interacting with other interesting people.
It wasn’t until probably right around the time I was leaving Drip. It was three, four years ago, where I was like you know what? This is the mission now. This is my legacy and what I’m going to do for the rest of my life is to multiply the world’s population of self-sustaining independent startups. Thanks, Pawel.
If you have a success story and you want to mail it in at questions@startupsfortherestofus.com, as well as if you have any questions or any topics that you’d love to see discussed on the show, even just random little topic ideas or specific questions about your business. I’m actually running very low on questions at this point and so that would likely be covered relatively quickly in our next listener question episode or two. That’s going to wrap us up for today. Thanks, as always, for joining me this week and I’ll be back on your earbuds again next Tuesday morning.
Episode 568 | MailChimp Sells for $12 billion
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In Episode 568, Rob Walling talks about MailChimp selling for $12 billion to Intuit, the largest exit for a bootstrap company, ever. Not that all founders aspire to grow to this scale, but it’s truly an incredible day for bootstrapped founders to know that we have the potential to get to this level without raising institutional funding.
The topics we cover
[1:41] $800 million in ARR without outside funding
[4:14] Acquisition multiple
[7:42] Everyone sells, eventually
[9:31] Respect for MailChimp
[11:49] Disappointed with the UX
[13:21] Equity vs higher salaries and bonuses
[18:00] Long term outlook for existing Mailchimp customers
[21:21] Never say you’re never going to sell
[21:42] Being an email service provider today is hard
Links from the show
- Episode 519 | Profit Sharing, Stock Options, and Equity (A Rob Solo Adventure)
- Rob Walling (@robwalling) | Twitter
If you have questions about starting or scaling a software business that you’d like for us to cover, please submit your question for an upcoming episode. We’d love to hear from you!
Subscribe & Review: iTunes | Spotify | Stitcher
This is truly an incredible day for not only bootstrap founders. Not that we aspire to grow to this level, but to know that we have potential to get to this level without raising institutional funding.
I saw it mentioned in several places that the cofounders of Mailchimp, Ben and Dan, didn’t raise any institutional funding. I am curious about the stories behind that. Did they raise friends and family? Did they raise a fund-strapped round? Certainly, they didn’t take money from accelerators because they launched before accelerators existed. Y Combinator was the first one of course in 2005 or 2006, and Mailchimp was born in 2001.
This is such a testament to the profitability and the scalability of not only software but subscription software because software before—let’s say Mailchimp, Basecamp, the other SaaS models that we see today—was a really expensive on-prem software. The companies that grew big selling these contracts were Oracle, Microsoft, Adobe, and other companies that charged literally seven figures or eight figures for multiyear contracts. Companies like Mailchimp were really the early drivers of this lower monthly subscription fee software.
No fewer than a half dozen people have reached out to me over the past few days asking for my opinion, not only because I’ve been a long-time fan of Mailchimp, but because I started Drip and entered the ESP (email service provider) space.
Essentially, people say Mailchimp is a competitor of Drip, and I would always say that Drip is a competitor of Mailchimp because let’s be honest, Mailchimp was sending a billion emails every weekday. While I had thought that they crossed $1 billion in annual recurring revenue, it turns out the most recent numbers—I believe—from Forbes are $800 million in revenue.
I just want to pause there for a moment and think about that. This is not $800 million in valuation. As many startups we hear about these days, growth of $800 million, $1 billion in valuation, and still doing literally $10 million, $20 million, and $30 million in ARR, what an incredible feat to reach that level of revenue without taking any substantial outside funding. It’s just really unheard of.
There are no confirmed numbers on this, but the best estimates I’ve heard on Basecamp’s revenues is that they are low nine figures, that they’re $100 million, $150 million, and highly profitable because they only have 50 employees. They’re throwing off—Jason Fried said from the MicroConf stage—tens of millions of dollars in net profit per year. That’s an amazing business.
If all of that is true or in the ballpark, Mailchimp is the next level. It’s almost another order of magnitude larger. If you say Mailchimp’s revenue is around $800 million and they sold at $12 billion, that’s a 15 times ARR multiple, which is good. That’s a nice, healthy multiple, I would say. Obviously, it’s higher than the 4–6 or 4–10 multiple you might commonly see in SaaS apps that are growing and doubling each year in between $130 million and $140 million.
As you get bigger, the multiples tend to increase. You can ask my co-founder of TinySeed, Einar Vollset, who is in that space and knows so much about SaaS exits because he’s been part of advising so many SaaS founders in exiting. A 15X ARR multiple at this level is high but not unheard of. This is realistic.
Someone wrote into this very podcast. I forget if they were at $500,000 or may even have been just a couple $100,000 in ARR. They sold for a 30 times ARR multiple. At that point, it’s more of a strategic acquisition and the multiples become meaningless at small numbers, but this is quite an exit.
I’m going to start with my first thought on this. I think the multiple is good. They could have gotten more on the public markets probably, but in their shoes, going public is not an exit.
A lot of people don’t understand that going public is just another funding event. It is a liquidity event for a portion of your shares. You can sell some of your shares once you’re public, but that doesn’t mean that as founders, you get liquidity on all your shares. It doesn’t mean that you’re bought out. It doesn’t mean that you walk away. Usually, you’re then running the company.
So even if they could have made $5 billion or $6 billion each and they could have made $7 billion or $8 billion each doing an IPO, if you don’t want to deal with Sarbanes-Oxley and all the craziness around being a public company, then why would you do that?
I heard some people commenting on that, of why wouldn’t they just go public. It’s just a different animal. I’m going to be honest, I’m surprised that Mailchimp sold. In my head, I never thought that they would sell or IPO. Not because anyone told me that, it was just the impression I had.
I used to use Basecamp and Mailchimp as the examples of (I would say) the statement everyone exits eventually. Everyone sells eventually. That’s usually the case. Then, I would bring up the counter examples except for Basecamp and Mailchimp really. Those two have been around a long time and haven’t sold.
Usually, founders—whether they bootstrapped or raised funding—eventually get tired of what they’re doing, and they want to move on to the next thing. The millions of dollars in liquidity from these assets we build is so much better oftentimes in cash in your pocket.
I also used Drip and Baremetrics. These were two others that I remember saying probably are never going to sell, and yet both have sold at a certain point whether it’s getting burned out, whether it’s getting tired of it, or whether it’s seeing a number in front of you that can pay for both your kids’ college funds and mean you never have to work a day in your life again. Even if you know you’re going to work, you don’t have to. You have the freedom to work on what you want.
When you see that number on a piece of paper, it’s a really interesting choice. That was my first reaction when I heard it. I was surprised that they were considering it.
I actually saw an article of a rumor that they were considering selling a few weeks back. At first, I didn’t believe it. Then, I thought, you know what, something must have changed for the founders because if you think about it, let’s say they were operating at $800 million ARR.
I just chuckle because it’s just so crazy. They only had 1200 employees. If we do even lose math and just say $200,000 or $300,000 a year was the cost for each of those employees, you’re talking $240 million–$360 million. We throw a server cost and we throw whatever other costs on, but SaaS at scale can be 30%–50% net profit margins. If we say $800 million, we’re talking $240 million–$400 million a year being thrown off. It’s mostly bootstrapped as I often say on the show.
The founders certainly are not hurting for money. I don’t feel like they sold for the money. My guess is they each have enough in the bank that they never have to work again. They probably had that a decade ago or more, so something must have changed.
Obviously, they haven’t talked about it, and they can’t right now. They have to make the employees feel okay. We’ll get into that a little later. There is some anger and outrage around that that I’ve seen reported. They have to make customers feel okay. They have to make Intuit feel okay. I think the deal doesn’t close for six or nine months. That’s par for the course.
Realistically, when I read the article or the rumor, I thought, you know what, this is right. Everyone sells eventually. I’m not saying that to say everyone should sell. I’m not saying if you run a great business that you should sell, but the pattern that I see is that at a certain point, ambitious, creative, and motivated startup founders want to move on to their next thing having that liquidity or not having the thing that they have to manage.
Maybe they’re bored of it. Maybe they just want to get onto the new phase of their life. It’s incredibly hard to build these companies—that’s what we talk about here every week on this show—to be able to cash out, and then move on to the next phase of your life.
Whether that next phase is starting another app, starting a nonprofit, instituting worldwide change, trying to beat malaria like Bill Gates, or whatever it is, in my opinion, founders who have worked hard on their businesses, who have taken care of their employees hopefully—again, we’ll talk a little bit about that—who have given back to their community like I know the Mailchimp founders have, who have built an incredible business, and worked hard for 20+ years on it, for me, I don’t begrudge them as a thing.
I’ve had limited interactions with Ben Chestnut. I think he’s a stand-up guy. I respected him when he was a blogger. Somehow, he, I, Dharmesh, patio11, and Peldi were all blogging at the same time. This is 2005 to (say) 2009.
I noticed them. Somehow, I’m on their radar. I’ve emailed Ben Chestnut a dozen times in the past 10 years. Oftentimes, it’s to invite him to speak at MicroConf which he gracefully declines. But he has entertained the idea and said, look, I’d be interested, but I have this thing that is at that time.
I also emailed him around the time that Drip was going to be acquired because we had inbound interest from several parties. I did email him, essentially let him know that, and said, hey, if this is something that’s on your radar, if you’re interested in talking about it, let’s do it. He said, do you know what? We’re not interested right now, but we’ve had a lot of inbound acquisition over our lifetime. I’d be happy to give you advice if you have any questions.
Again, to me, my impression and all of my interactions is that he’s a stand-up guy. He takes care of his employees. I know that they get back to the community in Atlanta. I have a lot of respect for what they built, and I always did.
There were competitors that we had with Drip where I thought their product was […]. I thought they ran […] businesses. I thought they took advantage of their customers, auto-upgrading and not auto-downgrading. Just doing otherwise shady things—copying competitors, claiming it their own, whatever. I never thought Mailchimp did that. I had respect for them as competitors and just respect for them as a business.
As with any big change like this, anytime a lot of money changes hands or someone gets rich suddenly, someone’s going to be angry. Someone’s going to blame that person or find out perhaps why they don’t deserve it.
I don’t know if it’s jealousy. Maybe it really is, but I’m going to be honest, the anger and outrage that I saw around this made me a little bit angry and a little bit outraged. I think people on social media oftentimes go there to vent.
I get it. Again, Mailchimp is a great company to work for. I’ve had a couple friends I know who work there. They love it.
If suddenly I found out I was going to work for Intuit, I would be upset too because I don’t like Intuit. I don’t like that they lobby the US government to keep us from having easy, free tax filings. I think QuickBooks is a really crappy piece of software. I think most of what Intuit makes is pretty crappy.
Mailchimp, I’ll agree, has gone a bit off-brand in the past few years. Freddie is chimp himself. I don’t see him as much. I feel like the software got more complicated. I feel like the UX got much more difficult to use. I haven’t logged in in years because I use Drip. I haven’t used Mailchimp in years.
I logged in a few months ago. I believe it was to export some subscribers. I was disappointed with the UX. I always thought that they were pretty good with UX before then. They had some mixed bags. They did try to bolt on automations around the time as automations came up and Drip became a thing.
It hasn’t all been sunshine and rainbows, but I’ll admit that the last few years, I’ve stopped recommending Mailchimp to people just getting started because of the complexity of it. But I think that’s where they wanted to go. I have no inside information, but I’m guessing they topped out.
You can only get so big. You just have to start […] and get other pieces of the market because they added landing pages and they added a Facebook ad builder. They just kept going pre email and after email in terms of marketers and what they needed. Instead of acquiring it, they built a lot of it in-house and kept adding bolted things on.
That feels a little more pejorative than I want it to, but I definitely felt Mailchimp being different over the past 3 or 4 years than it was the prior 15 years in terms of the quality of the product and the complexity of it.
The bottom line is they built a great and incredible business. How many other bootstrap businesses have reached this amount of revenue and zero others have sold for this level of purchase price? It’s my understanding.
If I worked for Mailchimp and then suddenly, I learned I was working for Intuit, I would feel bad. I understand that. I can understand being angry and wanting to vent.
From the other side, it kind of becomes cool or popular to hate rich people or to hate when people get rich. It’s not like Ben Chestnut and his co-founder inherited a bunch of money like they won. They built an incredible business and they were the folks who figured out free. They figured out how to do freemium in ESPs and no one else was able to do that before them. A few were able to do it afterwards, but not to the same degree.
One of the complaints I heard from employees or I heard people quoting—this is second or third hand—said, when I was hired, we didn’t get stock options. We didn’t get equity because they said we will never sell or go public.
I’m going to guess that that isn’t what they actually said. My guess is if I were in their shoes, pretty calculated, and pretty careful with words, I could see saying I have no plans to sell. We have no plans to sell this company, so equity doesn’t make sense.
Because if you start giving folks equity, they do want a return on that eventually. Usually, it’s 4 years, 5 years, 7 years, or 10 years. There’s a number. A lot of people don’t want to wait 20 years to cash out on some equity that they got 20 years ago. Usually, once you start giving equity, that is a signal that you’re going to sell. If they didn’t plan to sell, then profit-sharing, bonuses, higher salaries—which is what Mailchimp did—is what I would be doing.
I don’t plan to sell. Plans can change. In startups and in business, any of us know the flexibility and the willingness to not hold onto something. I’m not of the fixed mindset in this. Well, I said that once so we can never change it, I think, is a naive perspective.
I know that folks working at Mailchimp—this is according to news reports—got really good salaries, got really hefty bonuses (15%–30% annually of their annual pay), and the working conditions were good. It wasn’t the craziness of a startup in terms of working long hours and low pay for equity.
As someone pointed out in a Slack group that I’m in—it’s a private founder Slack group—he said, I see enough of these articles that talk about the downside of equity, how Silicon Valley companies issue equity, and then pay people lower than they otherwise should. Then, it goes bust and it’s a big trick, so equity sucks.
In this case, everyone is getting cashed out all the time. People were getting (again) these above-market salaries, plus a bonus, plus whatever other money flowed their way. There was a really generous 401(k) matching. This is the kind of stuff you expect from Fortune 500 companies. They were doing that. They were putting out the cash as it came in. They had the profit so it’s cool that they did it, but I think of that as being in lieu of having stock options.
I also read that $300 million in stock will go to the employees. While I don’t know how that will be divided, that’s $250,000 per employee. Obviously, I’m imagining that some will get more and some will get less.
It’s a non-trivial amount of money. If I were a naysayer, I would instantly say, well, $300 million is nothing compared to the $12 billion that the founders got. You’re right. It’s not. They built the company. It’s the way it goes with startups. Everything is not equal and fair. There was more risk, more years put in, more work—whatever you want to call it.
I do see that side of the argument, but I think if you’re working there, that’s what you’re onboard for. I can imagine being disappointed that it’s sold and that you don’t want to work for Intuit, but I don’t think you can then go back and say, oh, I really wanted equity. It just doesn’t work for me. To be honest though, the real bummer is folks who maybe worked there and then left.
Let’s say you left 10 years ago, 5 years ago, or 2 months ago. You walked away with nothing. That is one of the trade-offs with granting equity, granting stock options, or profit-sharing.
I talked about this in an episode. Just go to startupsfortherestofus.com, type in profit-sharing, and that episode will come up. It was maybe six months ago. It’s actually become one of the more popular episodes where I walk through the pros and cons of each of these.
One of the pros of profit-sharing is that people get cash. They don’t have to sit around and wait for this funny money. Realizing equity in a private company is illiquid. It means nothing until there’s an exit or liquidity event versus here, there’s some cash. But the downside of that is if you leave and then the company sells later, you don’t get any more money because you got your money out as it was going. That is one of the downsides of it. That’s the trade-off.
Again, I do feel for some folks. I can imagine being someone who worked there for 10 or 15 years, got their pay while they were doing it, left, and then didn’t get any rewards at the sale. That’s tough. Also, I guess I keep coming back to the same thing. You can tell how I feel about it. I feel like I’m saying my same opinion over and over.
I get it. I don’t think the founders did anything wrong. Knowing what I know of the founders, I think they will do great things with the money. I think they will make sure the employees are taken care of. I think to the best of their ability, they will make sure the customers are taken care of. I think that they’re not going to sit on this money and go sit on a beach in Tahiti.
My guess is they will invest in their community. They will invest in causes that can change things. Whether it changes things in their city, their state, their country, or the world, it’s a lot of money and you can make a huge difference with that type of money. I think they will.
As with most exits, in the short-term, it won’t make a huge difference. In the long-term, it will probably not be a net win for Mailchimp’s customers. I haven’t seen Intuit treat its customers particularly well over the years. I don’t think their software’s that great. They just happen to be mostly in a monopoly position.
Mailchimp has always competed well and like I said, had good software. With some changes over the past three, four, or five years, I think they deviated from that initial vision, but I don’t see how this makes Mailchimp a better product. I don’t see how long-term it’s going to be a win for its customers, which is unfortunate, but this cycle of business or software.
You build software, you can move fast, and add all these great new features in the early days. Then, as it becomes more mature, it becomes a teenager, it becomes an adult, and then (frankly) a software. By the time it’s even 10 or 15 years old basically, it’s like dog years, it just gets old. It gets hard to make changes, especially as a team grows, as the code base grows, and that legacy. You can’t undo that technical debt. You can’t change winds up tying you to a specific way of doing it. That is a cycle of business.
Then, a new wave of products comes along that is able to do a little better. They’re able to move faster because they’re nimble in their early days, and then those products age over time. That’s just the cycle of business.
I don’t feel like this is catastrophic certainly for the space. I’m glad that there are a lot of competitors in the space. It’s a very large space—email marketing and marketing automation—but that’s my thought. If I was a Mailchimp customer right now, I’d be thinking, I’m going to stick around for a bit but obviously, as time goes on, we’ll be able to see the impacts that this has on it.
A couple more points and then I will wrap. One thing that I’ll say is if you’re starting a company, never tell people that you’re never going to sell or go public. I’m not saying they did that. Other people and employees said they were under the impression they would never sell and go public. My guess is they didn’t say that.
That would be a mistake if you were to do that because do you know what? Everyone sells eventually. I don’t mean everyone in terms of 100%, but 95% or 99%. We just sell. We want to move on. I think I’ve already covered that.
Don’t make a promise or don’t make an implicit commitment that you don’t want to live up to. You can say, I’m growing this business for the long-term. You’re going to get asked in an interview, what do you plan to do with the XYZ Company you’re starting? It’s a plan to grow for the long-term. I want to work on it for a decade or more. That’s what you say because that’s usually what you believe and that’s the way to build a great business.
You don’t build a business to flip it but also, you don’t want to promise someone internally or employees as you hire them that they’re not getting stock options because we’re never going to sell. It’s just not a smart thing to say. Take that as a lesson and be careful with that type of verbiage.
My final thought is that being an email service provider these days is getting hard with inboxes looking more and more at privacy, blocking, and open pixels. The effectiveness of email marketing will continue. It’s certainly better than social media, but it’s not as effective as it used to be. It’s like doing SEO and having Google Analytics. It used to tell you which keywords people were using to find your site, and it doesn’t anymore.
Similarly, email marketing is going to have less and less data to go on. You can always track clicks because they click through to your website, but a lot of things are being blocked. Spam filters are getting better and in fact are getting so good that they’re actually getting bad. These days, some of my emails are going to spam and that hasn’t happened in a long time.
There’s a promotions tab. There are all these things that are creating an uphill battle for email marketing so I do wonder—again, I have no inside information—if I were them running it. I believe the founders are in their late 40s. They’d be thinking about their next act after having worked on something for 20 years.
I have not worked on anything for 20 years aside from my marriage. That’s it. MicroConf is 11 years. Drip was 5 ½ from start to finish. I don’t know if many of you in the audience have worked on anything for 20 years. It’s a long time and it’s a hard problem.
Being an ESP is a non-trivial thing. At one point, after Derek and I had sold Drip, I told him I’m never doing something that sends email again. There were just a lot of headaches with it and I can’t imagine what it would be like at that scale that Mailchimp is out with those billion emails a day during the week.
What I can imagine is that in their shoes, maybe there’s just a major life change that one of them is going through. Who knows? But I can see market forces being in the thought process of what is the future? What does it look like in 5, 10, or 15 years? If anyone can see it coming, they can. They’re right at the bleeding edge of the President being able to see the effectiveness. Maybe they’re seeing across the entire company—all the emails being sent, lower open rates, lower click rates, whatever.
But the bottom line is it’s a tough business to be in, I will admit. I can imagine that that could play a part in it. Possibly, they’ve taken the business as far as they can or want to. Into its market cap, I believe, is $120 billion maybe or $110 billion. Being able to go under the wing of that does give you more resources and a much larger customer base. I know Mailchimp has a big customer base, but I believe Intuit companies have quite a bit more than that.
Honestly, I remember when we sold Drip thinking that the leadpage’s customer base was substantially larger and we’d have a lot more resources. I was actually motivated by that. It was super interesting. Obviously, the liquidity for the founders was great, but I was also interested to learn more things and to be on a bigger playing field. Maybe that could potentially have been appealing as well.
I think it’s a story that will unfold in the coming years honestly. My guess is we’ll hear from Ben or his co-founder, whether it’s through a talk at an event that we attend, podcast interviews, or elsewhere. I think the story will come out ultimately, and it’ll shed more light on why this all went down at this time.
That’s it. Those are my thoughts. Congratulations to the Mailchimp team. Props to them and frankly to everyone who’s involved in building such an incredible business.
Again, it continues to show you the power of B2B SaaS, the power of building an incredible business with not that much cash, and then the value of those businesses because of the subscription revenue, the repeatability of the sales process, and the momentum as you build that brand. We really are in the golden age of entrepreneurship, especially if you can figure out a way to build software. You build it once and you sell it over and over. It’s just a matter of scaling things. There’s never been a better time in history to be an entrepreneur.
That’s it for this week. Thanks again for joining me. I’ll be back in your ears again next Tuesday morning.